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Class Warfare

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Class Warfare

Postby threadbear » Thu 24 Nov 2005, 01:24:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zeiter', '
')
Unfortunately, these socialist governments will bring a certain amount of authoritarianness with them into power, but hopefully the underlying social movements can steer these governments in a more libertarian socialist direction.


The socialist-democratic movements in Central and South America, are a reaction against fascist regimes backed by the US. They are anti-authoritarian in their very nature. Chavez could have easily thrown all of the elite pro-big oil media moguls into the brig, but he declined, opting to triumph over them on strength of moral authority, alone. Chavez, Ortega and other social democrats are a whole new breed of cat. The Mayans and Incas are rising and pointing to the way forward, for all of us.
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby MrBill » Thu 24 Nov 2005, 03:45:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zeiter', '
')
Unfortunately, these socialist governments will bring a certain amount of authoritarianness with them into power, but hopefully the underlying social movements can steer these governments in a more libertarian socialist direction.


The socialist-democratic movements in Central and South America, are a reaction against fascist regimes backed by the US. They are anti-authoritarian in their very nature. Chavez could have easily thrown all of the elite pro-big oil media moguls into the brig, but he declined, opting to triumph over them on strength of moral authority, alone. Chavez, Ortega and other social democrats are a whole new breed of cat. The Mayans and Incas are rising and pointing to the way forward, for all of us.



Poverty? Shanty towns? Crumbling infrastructure? Lack of markets? Oh boy, I can hardly wait then? :)
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby threadbear » Thu 24 Nov 2005, 14:43:27

That isn't just a lame reply, Mr. Bill. It's a cornocupia of stupidity. What do you think the present democratic socialists are reacting AGAINST? I'm sure they don't like the shantytowns anymore than anyone else. They are there as a result of corruption on every level of govt, more so in the past than present. If this were not the case these populist regimes fuelled by anger at the grass roots wouldn't last long, would they?
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby Zentric » Thu 24 Nov 2005, 16:40:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'T')hat isn't just a lame reply, Mr. Bill. It's a cornocupia of stupidity.


You've expressed a very lovely and worthy Thanksgiving sentiment, threadbear. :)
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby actionreplay » Sat 26 Nov 2005, 18:15:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('thuja', 'Y')es- corruption plays a significant part in syphoning off funds from these lending institutions and very little of it "trickles down". I wanted to point you all to an interesting article in Newsweek discussing the erosion of the middle class and the increasing disparity between rich and poor. Its not a classic liberal rant and it offers some interesting ideas such as microloans and opening up universities to the underpriveleged. Good article anyways -check it out...

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/10019816/site/newsweek/

Microfinance and education aren't going to do anything for the poor countries because they aren't poor due to a scarcity of capital. They are poor because they don't have economic freedom and security of property. The reason microfinance exists is because big finance thinks it's crazy to invest in these countries. They have no respect for private property at all. Any business investment faces immense risk from the government and any corrupt bureaucrat. Until these problems are addressed they will remain poor, no matter how much 'aid' is poured into them.

Picture how quickly Zimbambwe went from moderately prosperous to completely catastrophic after the takeover from the corrupt "revolutionaries". This has been going on, quietly, in every poor country in the world. And Bono says nothing about it.


I never thought I;d post agreeing with you on economics but - this is correct. There are two things that drive investors away: the first is the prospect of war (ie your investment being bombed to the ground) the other is that the local bureaucrat/warlord/mafia/govt will just stroll in and confiscate or otherwise help themeslves to the fruits of your labour.

The Economist recently had a very interesting on Microfinance. One of the problem with introducing financial services where previously there were none is the problem of credit ratings - obviously, no-one has one, and making provision for bad debts. If you don't know what your risk is, you can't break even loaning money.

Additionally, an article in this week's edition talks about the problems former soviet republics face as regards economic development. One thing they talked about was banking - you need a reasonable banking system for growth, because companies need to raise money, and they do this through equity and debt issuance (shares, commercial paper etc) and loans - all of which require a functional banking system. Very few people can afford to personally absorb the costs of initial setup and maybe a year of nop profits without outside financing. And for banking to flourish, you need the rule of law and protection for private property. No-one is going to loan out money if they think the local bureaucrats will pocket it and refuse to return it.

Arguing about euro-style social policy for these countries that are currently basket cases is icing on the cake - first you got to bake the cake, and that means removing the corruption and making it possible to do business without being robbed by the local strongarms. Worry about the other stuff later.

Microfinance is a good first step towards development of a decent financial services infrastructure, but it will not cure the problem in and of itself.
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby jaws » Sat 26 Nov 2005, 18:58:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'T')he socialist-democratic movements in Central and South America, are a reaction against fascist regimes backed by the US. They are anti-authoritarian in their very nature. Chavez could have easily thrown all of the elite pro-big oil media moguls into the brig, but he declined, opting to triumph over them on strength of moral authority, alone. Chavez, Ortega and other social democrats are a whole new breed of cat. The Mayans and Incas are rising and pointing to the way forward, for all of us.

Anti-fascist socialism is no less authoritarian than grassroots socialism. You can't count the number of atrocities the Soviet Union committed in the name of being anti-fascist. The Berlin Wall was known as an anti-fascist protection barrier.

Chavez isn't going to do anything good for Venezuela because obviously he doesn't know how. What he knows is what he learned as a military man, give out your orders and be obeyed. Unfortunately that doesn't work for an advanced economy.
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby threadbear » Tue 29 Nov 2005, 17:35:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'T')he socialist-democratic movements in Central and South America, are a reaction against fascist regimes backed by the US. They are anti-authoritarian in their very nature. Chavez could have easily thrown all of the elite pro-big oil media moguls into the brig, but he declined, opting to triumph over them on strength of moral authority, alone. Chavez, Ortega and other social democrats are a whole new breed of cat. The Mayans and Incas are rising and pointing to the way forward, for all of us.

Anti-fascist socialism is no less authoritarian than grassroots socialism. You can't count the number of atrocities the Soviet Union committed in the name of being anti-fascist. The Berlin Wall was known as an anti-fascist protection barrier.

Chavez isn't going to do anything good for Venezuela because obviously he doesn't know how. What he knows is what he learned as a military man, give out your orders and be obeyed. Unfortunately that doesn't work for an advanced economy.


I'm sure, Jaws, that the Soviet Union has it's own set of stats about how many people have been killed in the name of Anglo/American imperialism. It's all relative and most political systems need a bogeyman, to scare their people into a unified front against a common enemy.

Recent events have certainly proved the Soviets DID need a strong baricade against fascism. The current oligarchical Russian thugocracy is a testament to the fact that fascist vultures were perched atop the Berlin Wall waiting to pick over the carcass of a dying society.

At the same time, in the US, a whisper of anything even remotely "liberal" is considered profanity in the moronic states--a clear indicator that the Russian's were more accurate in their assessment of the threat of Fascism than the US was about the threat of Communism.

And, I'm no big fan of Communism, but am enthusiastic about the socialist-democratic movement that's taking South America by storm. To equate Russian style Communism with S. American style politics is an indicator that one needs to be better informed.
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby Odin » Mon 30 Jan 2006, 00:20:03

When the right-wingers bash socialism what they are really bashing the Soviet form of socialism, that is, athuoritarian socialism with a planned economy. You can easily have a socialist free market economy in which businesses are co-ops, with the employees hiring management instead of investors doing the hiring. Capitalism is inheirently parasitic because the investors did not earn the money they got from the investment.
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby Specop_007 » Mon 30 Jan 2006, 00:34:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('thuja', 'o')k Jaws- so how about how great free market capitalism has been for the south americans- man they're living high on the hog there.


In a socialist system your level of motivation has no bearing on your standard of living.
In a capitalist system your level of motivation directly affects your standard of living.

So while you have a good point, its easy to counter by saying all they need to do is apply themselves a bit harder.
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby rushdy » Mon 30 Jan 2006, 08:48:34

If any riff-raff try to steal the spuds out of me garden I'll 'av em'
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby Odin » Mon 30 Jan 2006, 13:34:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Specop_007', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('thuja', 'o')k Jaws- so how about how great free market capitalism has been for the south americans- man they're living high on the hog there.


In a socialist system your level of motivation has no bearing on your standard of living.
In a capitalist system your level of motivation directly affects your standard of living.

So while you have a good point, its easy to counter by saying all they need to do is apply themselves a bit harder.


Read my post above. A socialist free market economy would have just as much motivation as a capitalist free market system. It is command economies that stifle motivation and innovation, and socialism does not require a command economy.
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby jaws » Mon 30 Jan 2006, 15:13:14

A free market economy by definition has competition between privately owned enterprise and coop enterprises, and the privately owned enterprises usually win out, though there are still some coops that succesfully operate. They just aren't very flexible.

It's delusional to think that we could have a whole economy made up of coops though.
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby Luckystars » Fri 03 Feb 2006, 23:46:47

The riots in France were all about poverty, they just happened to be Muslims since they are last to get hired and first to be fired. France is a racist nation, in the early 80's the French gov wanted to pay foreign people to leave the country and give up the right to work there forever.

The Euro pecking order, the further south you go the less value you have.

What a joke, who will survive PO, not the French. :badgrin:
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby thuja » Sat 04 Feb 2006, 12:49:43

Yes I could definitely see the likelihood of class based rioting and civil disorder increasing over the next years. Because class is tied to race, this also means the likelihood of race based civil unrest. Last year brought us the French and Australian unrest. The United States is likely to have unrest associated with the Mexican population this year.

My guess is that any agitation or violence on the part of illegal Mexicans/Central Americans will be used by the conservatives as proof that we need to "kick them all out", build a tall border wall, and defend it by military means.

George Bush has offered a bill that essentially alows illegals to stay here if they "register". The conservatives are furious with that idea and will demand a much more militant hard line stance in the years to come.

Peak oil and its associated inflationary/recessionary effects will onl y exacerbate this situation.
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Re: Class Warfare

Postby Odin » Sat 04 Feb 2006, 21:21:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', 'A') free market economy by definition has competition between privately owned enterprise and coop enterprises, and the privately owned enterprises usually win out, though there are still some coops that succesfully operate. They just aren't very flexible.

It's delusional to think that we could have a whole economy made up of coops though.


Delusional? How do you know we can't have a co-op based economy if it hasn't been tried on a large scale. I don't see how it would be less flexible, you're just changing who picks the company management and where the capital comes from (banks, also co-ops, instead of rich individuals). In my mind a Market Socialist system like what I am supporting would be better than capitalism since there are no stock-holders parasitizing the system, the money saved thereby could be reinvested by the business for R&D or whatever, or given to the employees, adding money into the economy that can be spent.

The problem you right-wingers have is that you treat the Market as sacred, an end unto self. This is poor logic. The market is a tool, a means to an end, the end being the distrobution of goods and services. No market can be totally free, a totaly free market with no government intervention would distoy itself as it becomes dominated by monopolies, trusts, and cartels.
"Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis." -Starvid

The 2nd Law of Thermodynamics only applies in a closed system; Earth is NOT a closed system.
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