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THE Jerome Corsi Thread (merged)

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby DantesPeak » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 22:44:12

Matt - you've been mentioned in Congress this evening by Congressman Bartlett. He recommends reading about your "audacious" view of PO. :o

Abiotic oil has not come up in the discussion of PO. :)
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby MattSavinar » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 22:48:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', 'M')att - you've been mentioned in Congress this evening by Congressman Bartlett. He recommends reading about your "audacious" view of PO. :o

Abiotic oil has not come up in the discussion of PO. :)


Link?

BTW, I've emailed Bartlett's staff to see if he would be willing to do an interview. I'm more interested (at this point) in what he tells his grandchildren about our predicament than public policy stuff.

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Matt
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby MattSavinar » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 22:51:33

http://www.c-span.org/watch/cspan_rm.asp?Cat=TV&Code=CS

as of 6:48 pm pacific time, cspan is streaming it.

Best,

Matt
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby MattSavinar » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 22:56:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', 'h')ttp://www.c-span.org/watch/cspan_rm.asp?Cat=TV&Code=CS

as of 6:48 pm pacific time, cspan is streaming it.

Best,

Matt


he's done. it's 6:52 pm.

Oh well.

Best,

Matt
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby DantesPeak » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 23:23:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', 'h')ttp://www.c-span.org/watch/cspan_rm.asp?Cat=TV&Code=CS

as of 6:48 pm pacific time, cspan is streaming it.

Best,

Matt


he's done. it's 6:52 pm.

Oh well.

Best,

Matt


Aren't you entitled to at least 15 minutes of fame? :)
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby VMA131Marine » Thu 17 Nov 2005, 10:46:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'P')lease do not post abiotic oil threads to the Peak oil Discussion forum.

We have a 25 page Official Abiotic Oil Thread here:

http://www.peakoil.com/forum11.html

You too, Matt. :)

I'll let it perk for a while in Current Events.


My apologies.

BTW, Mr. Corsi is on a "peak oil is cacka" writing binge, often pumping out an article every day:

http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/archi ... HOR_ID=246

Best,

Matt


I noted two statements in his latest article which show complete ignorance of the subject:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he transformation from "kerogen" to "fossil fuels" appears to be more a matter of faith, rather than an observed process that can be described in a precise chemical formula such that we can replicate in a laboratory the process by which the compound is produced.


and

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')as anyone ever taken a flask of downed flora or dead protoplasm and produced a hydrocarbon fuel out of the mixture, or is this a process for alchemy?


The first statement is just ridiculous given that there has been extensive work done to develop the kerogen bearing shale oil resources of the Green River Basin and, even though the pilot projects have been mostly economic failures, the process that converts kerogen to oil by heating is not in question. It has been done; it is demonstrably repeatable.

The second statement ignores the fact that there is an operating pilot plant in Missouri that converts waste chicken and other animal byproducts (would that qualify as dead protoplasm?) to oil. Other than an apparently obnoxious odour produced by the processing plant, that process seems to work too.

"Dr." Corsi is also woefully ignorant of the laws of thermodynamics, failing to understand that it applies to closed systems. The organic matter that ultimately forms oil takes energy (heat and pressure) from its surroundings, hence its entropy can decrease at the expense of increased entropy of the "system" with no violation of the second law. Furthermore, if you take his argument about the second law on its face then it also rules out the very 'abiotic oil' that his articles argue in favour of.

What's his next argument going to be? That diamonds aren't lumps of carbon heated and compressed over millenia to a lower state of entropy?
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 17 Nov 2005, 11:05:10

Oil does not come from dinosaurs. Well, there may be a few in the mix, but most oil comes from other organic matter. Usually microscopic marine life. When people say that oil comes from dead dinosaurs, they are either mistaken, or speaking figuratively.

But Corsi takes it literally. He thinks the name "fossil fuel" means we think oil is made from dinosaur fossils. He claims the fact that oil is found underwater means that it can't be really be a fossil fuel, because dinosaurs couldn't live that far underwater! :lol:
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby VMA131Marine » Thu 17 Nov 2005, 13:18:56

The abiotic oil proponents like Corsi can easily make a case for at least some oil, beyond trace amounts, being abiotic by using their theory to predict and find oil in a location that the "fossil" theory says it can't exist. The simple fact is, though, that if abiotic oil exists then the major petroleum companies would be actively trying to exploit it. The financial incentives for doing so would be too great not to.

One thing that the abiotic theory has not illuminated is why the combination of carbonaceous rocks, water, and heat and pressure at depth would produce oil and not just methane. Whereas the formation of oil from organic matter involves the breaking down of long molecules like proteins into shorter hydrocarbon chains abiotic oil theory requires the creation of long hydrocarbon chains from much simpler molecules. On the other hand, I'd have far fewer problems with the supposition of abiotic methane than I do with abiotic oil. Methane seems to be very common in the Solar System and the Universe implying that there are abiotic ways of creating it. Is there any evidence for abiotic methane on Earth?
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby VMA131Marine » Fri 18 Nov 2005, 11:25:08

Fascinating! Considering my previous post in this thread about the possibility of abiotic methane, Jerome Corsi's latest anti-Peak Oil missive on WND would seem to indicate he is following this thread and others.

http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/artic ... E_ID=47471

The problem is that he expounds on a single example that supports his thesis while ignoring the vast body of evidence that says the thesis is wrong or at least not the principal explanation for the fossil fuel deposits we see around the planet. In all the abiotic oil articles I have read, I have yet to see any quantitative (ie testable, which would be a prerequisite for having a provable theory) predictions about how much oil we should find and where it should be found. It should be eminently clear that if oil is abiotic the net production rate cannot be anywhere close to the current consumption rate of 30 Gb/yr.

Assuming that, in fact, abiotic oil is produced at our current rate of consumption for the purposes of a simple analysis, and there's no reason for choosing this rate other than convenience, and assuming that abiotic oil has been produced for half of the planets 4.5 billion year life (for no reason other than that the geological processes which are presumed to produce abiotic oil have been ongoing for at least that long) then a quick calculation shows that the Earth would have produced 6.9X10^19 barrels of oil.

That, by the way, is 1% of the planet's total volume, and enough oil to cover the planet's surface to a depth of 72km - for comparison the maximum depth of the oceans is about 11km at the Mariana's Trench and if you spread the oceans evenly over the surface of the planet, the water depth would be about 2.6 km. So, this is a problem for abiotic oil theory, even if you can come up with a chemical mechanism that works. Is there an equilibrium chemical process that can produce methane and the longer hydrocarbon molecules in the proportions that are observed in existing crude oil deposits? And, if so, why are natural gas fields found at greater depths than oil fields? Gas being much less dense and therefore more bouyant than oil, it should rise to the surface faster and be found in shallower formations than oil if abiotic oil theory is correct. These issues exist of course in addition to the other problems for abiotic oil including specific biological markers and that oil is only found in or near sedimentary formations with a suitable geological trap.

Finally, at the end of the article, Corsi uses this quote:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')homas Gold himself made the point on page 85 of his 1998 book: "Nobody has yet synthesized crude oil or coal in the lab from a beaker of algae or ferns."


He once again completely ignores the Renewable Environmental Resources plant in Carthage, MO that is essentially doing what Gold said has not been done:

http://www.res-energy.com/technology/index.asp

RES's description of how the process works is even more enlightening:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ow It Works
TCP emulates the earth’s natural geothermal process, whereby organic material is converted into fossil fuel under conditions of extreme heat and pressure over millions of years.
TCP mimics the earth’s system using pipes and by controlling temperature and pressure to reduce the bio-remediation process from millions of years to mere hours.
TCP breaks down organic polymers (chains of small molecules) into their smallest units, and reforms them into new combinations to produce clean fuels.


Oops! :twisted:

Dr Russ
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby Free » Fri 18 Nov 2005, 12:06:50

One can not emphasize this point often enough that it doesn't matter for the PO-dilemma if fossil fuels are created by dead dinosaurs, abiotic processing or the energy fairy - as long as the rate of replenishment doesn't match the rate of extraction.

And since the overwhelming evidence of known history of rate of production and discovery seems to suggest that this is the case, there is no need to get ensnarled into such a futile debate.

After all, if the reservoirs are replenished at a sufficient rate through abiotic creation of fossil fuels, why for example doesn't seem this to be the case in the probably best documented oil-producing country in the world, the USA? It would be silly to assume that oil is being recreated everwhere else but there - especially since we all know that it is gods own country.

It is clear to every sane person that this is a smoke screen debate with the sole purpose of creating an impression in the naive public of a fierce conflict within the scientific community when in fact there isn't one.

Similar to other politically motivated agendas like "intelligent design" or the denial of human-induced global warming. They are the laughing stock of all scientists who deserve that name.

The debate is irrelevant, and so is Corsi. He is the equivalent of a scientific troll. Don't feed the trolls.
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby bobcousins » Fri 18 Nov 2005, 15:00:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('VMA131Marine', 'T')hat, by the way, is 1% of the planet's total volume, and enough oil to cover the planet's surface to a depth of 72km - for comparison the maximum depth of the oceans is about 11km at the Mariana's Trench and if you spread the oceans evenly over the surface of the planet, the water depth would be about 2.6 km.


That's a great post, I wish I had made it! I have always been too lazy to do the calculations.

I think what we are seeing here is the rebutttal technique applied to PO. You look at what arguments your opponent is going to use, or even just may possibly use. You then develop a convincing rebuttal. Remember, they are not expecting to persuade their opponents, but the voter, so it doesn't matter if the rebuttal is counter to the facts. It just has to be appealing to a layman so that it will plant itself in their mind. You can hone this technique with focus groups to see what stories appeal best. For example, the story that PO is a trick to boost profits by oil companies appeals to people.

So I would now expect to see some stories appearing that "debunk" the idea that there should be an ocean of oil. The oil companies are hiding it in secret caves or whatever. It doesn't matter if the stories are too ridiculous, people will just forget them. You keep going until you finds ones that the public find plausible. The rebuttals get into the public mind before your opponent even presents his argument. As soon as they hear "PO" they will be thinking "oil company plot".

I would not be surprised to see moles appear who espouse abiotic oil, to test out the new rebuttals and see how we rebut the rebuttals. Then rinse, repeat.

If Corsi's usual targets are presidential candidates, he may well just be keeping his techniques sharp in the meantime. He probably does not care where oil comes from. He may be a troll, but he is a professional troll.
It's all downhill from here
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby DantesPeak » Fri 18 Nov 2005, 19:09:14

Some great posts, well done.

The media in the US frequently doesn't pickup on statements that are irrational even under minor scrutiny. In general, pessimistic themes - like PO - are also discouraged. There are many who truly believe that it is in the national interest to always be positive. I dare say that the President and VP strongly embrace that theory, but enough said about that.

As long as theories like abiotic oil and oil company price fixing conspiracies gain more attention than the real issues, those that seek to distract us from issues like PO are winning over public opinion.
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby WebHubbleTelescope » Sat 19 Nov 2005, 01:00:23

Corsi. the Fat Man
Image

He wants the rapture. That is his agenda. He wants to see the world go down in a nuclear conflict. What a sick pig.
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby Synergist » Sat 19 Nov 2005, 02:56:23

Matt Simmons in many interviews has alluded to the fact that some critics of Peak Oil are paid P.R. pitchmen for the Saudi national oil company.

This guy is almost more than likely Exhibit A.
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby OilsNotWell » Sat 19 Nov 2005, 03:41:35

Yes, that is a fact that some of those arguing against a peak at all (the oil fairy, or abiotic oil), or a peak in the far too distant future to worry about now have monetary incentives at play.

Michael Lynch, for example. Does work for the Saudis and short sellers...

And there have been threads here that detail CERA's (Yergin) background...

And, coupled with the practices of this admin corrupting the media process (like Miller/NYTimes, NPR, WaPo, and many others), paying 'reporters' to write favorable pieces (Armstrong Williams and others), slipping admin propaganda TV pieces as 'news' without attribution, and so much more, that it does suggest that there appears to be a well-laid out plan or structure to utililize the 'media' (expansively defined; including traditional media (print, radio, TV) and alternative (internet, pseudo-authors, paid pundits masquerading as objective experts) to silence critics, reframe the 'debate' or create one where none existed, discredit, switch the message, etc.

I believe I've seen the outlines of tactics such as these applied to what should mostly be a scientific debate in regards to global warming, and turning it into a political debate...

For example, I construed 'State of Fear' by Michael Crichton to be a blatant politicization of the global warming thesis (2-second plot summary: radical environmentalists plot to create eco-tragedies to force political change) Unfortunately, as a work of fiction Mr Crichton did not leave well enough alone and included his scientific 'evidence' of temperature data at the back of the book to try and refute warming trend lines but which had the opposite effect of contradicting his conclusions. Perhaps that may be what we are seeing here with Mr. Corsi.
The overall tactics are fairly transparent when you know what to look for.
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby Taskforce_Unity » Sat 19 Nov 2005, 10:07:14

Hmmz, he's on the direct attack mode:

Corsi directly attacking Rigzone, the oildrum and peak energy blogs

Im wondering were this will lead
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby WebHubbleTelescope » Sat 19 Nov 2005, 16:09:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Taskforce_Unity', 'H')mmz, he's on the direct attack mode:

Corsi directly attacking Rigzone, the oildrum and peak energy blogs

Im wondering were this will lead


Thank gOD they went after TOD and MonkeyGrinder and not me. I would have pooped my pants if the WorldNutDaily came after me.
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby OilsNotWell » Sat 19 Nov 2005, 21:42:15

Relax, abiotic oil still really doesn't mean anything at all. Exxon Mobil is not going to suddenly declare they are going to exploit their new and amazing suddenly replenishing reservoirs.(Although I really do wish that they would so we can all forget about this and do something fun, like talk about classic 70's Mopar cars like the Super Bee with monster carbs.) In fact, this hypothesis (and Gold's work) supposedly has as its basis some phantom old USSR secret studies... Kind of ironic that they are basing their arguments on damn pinko commies. ;)

But, remember, this is all done to generate controversy and publicity to sell a book.

Ignore them as you would a troll. Seriously. The worst thing (more so than insults) to them would be if this thread died right here, right now. They want to be debated, but like a previous poster said, to debate on this point is truly very silly.

Hey, that's a good new term we can use on this theory:

Suddenly Replenishing Reservoirs, or SuRRe! (pronounced 'sorry', buzzz, wrong answer.) ;)
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby VMA131Marine » Mon 21 Nov 2005, 10:12:56

Notwithstanding Corsi's latest fluff piece 'debinking' biomarkers in WND, here's a nice little primer on the subject. Unfortunately, it's probably too technical for Corsi and his primary audience to understand:

http://www.oiltracers.com/biomarker.html

Amazing that for something that doesn't exist there's a whole subset of the oil industry devoted to studying biomarkers ...

http://www.geomarkresearch.com/pdf%20Pr ... oposal.pdf
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Re: Jerome Corsi Versus PeakOil.com

Unread postby Cynus » Wed 23 Nov 2005, 11:46:33

Corsi has now gone on to claim that Christians should believe in abiotic oil because the idea of oil as a fossil fuel is akin to believing in evolution. That is to say abiotic : fossil fuel :: creationism : evolution. The logic is so tortured I'm surprised steam isn't coming out of his ears, however, I'd love to see a moa or great auk so I'm going to ask him if he can get me an abiotic great auk :)

http://www.wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=47529
Is abiotic oil a new argument for Creationism?
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