by jimmydean » Mon 17 Oct 2005, 15:44:46
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('richardmmm', 't')he only reason that oil production has peaked in the US is because the environmentalists and local states stopped companies from drilling.
there is plenty of oil off california, florida, carolina etc etc, just those areas are banned for drilling.
they are discovering oil in Australia now, there is the whole shelf north of russia, unexplored parts of canada, there are many places to find oil.
it's not about the quantity of oil, it;s about the amount of facilities to produce the oil which is something totally human and nothing to do with a depleted natural resource.
production and refining capacity has been curtailed due to low prices and a glut of oil in the 90s, a result of the high prices of the 70s / 80s. now we have high prices again, oil will start flowing from all quarters.
in 10 years time the price of oil will be lower than it is today and we'll have another glut again. it's just the inefficiency of a capitalist system.
Actually I think it's simply cheaper to import than potentially waste money developing new sites that may not be profitable long term. Also refining capacity has been increased at existing facilities rather than build new ones ... again it's more cost effective than building new facilities. That said this may make economic sense for the oil industry but it's not strategic in ensuring the country has a reliable supply of oil.
In the end the oil companies are making record profits off the short-fall so what motivation do they have to actually start up new drilling operations? As long as demand is met (ie. buy EU imported oil LOL) there will be no incentive to start new operations unless it's mandated by the new oil bill.