Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby Jaymax » Thu 06 Oct 2005, 17:04:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('albente', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jaymax', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')his problem ranks alongside thermonuclear war

That's an interesting quote from Simmons. Where did you find it?


Both quotes can be found in various presentations at Simmon Co Intl
Simmons' transition over the last year from Doomerosity ~4/5 to Doomerosity ~2/3 is subtle, but quite evident if you're looking for it.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dingbat', 'I') haven't seen many true cornucopians on the other hand here much, they seem to get shouted down pretty thoroughly when they manifest themselves strongly enough.

'Cornucopians' seems almost exclusively used by the doomer camp as a dismissive term about anyone who sees a potential continuation of modern society, with or without trauma. I don't think the definition of 'Cornucopian' really fits most 'optimists' on this site. However, there does seem to be a change of late, a more balanced debate (or at least one where both sides are portrayed more readily)... hopefully that's something I've helped along...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dingbat', 'I')'ve been lurking here for a while and although labels like "doomers" and "cornucopians" have a certain use, I think the terms are a bit too black and white for me.

[selfplug]I refer you to Doomerosity for exactly that reason...[/selfplug]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Backstop', 'P')ersonally I disagree with him. Doing the data reform on oil & gas doesn't begin to address the other equally lethal aspects of the global problematique, and so IMV offers no prevention at all of "smacking into a wall."

Unless you regard the market as essential to solving the problem. Back to:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Simmons', 'I')ngenuity is the by-product of panic.

Data reform could induce panic in the market, and the consequent attempts to profit from (ie:solve) the problems which then become apparent.
Doomerosity now at 2 (occasionaly 3, was 4)

Currently (mostly) taking a break from posting at po.com. Don't trust the false prophets of doom - keep reading, keep learning, keep challenging your assum
User avatar
Jaymax
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 259
Joined: Thu 16 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Location: England
Top

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby rogerhb » Thu 06 Oct 2005, 17:06:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I') guess I just don't know who these "doomers" being referred to are. Clearly they must be important, since we keep talking about them. But who are they?


I thought doomers were peeps like Matt Savinar, MQ and Jay Hansen.

I'm happy with the idea that we cannot continue the way we are, and there are going to be a lot of angry surprised and shocked people. That may be manageable, the worrying part is when they are also hungry.

Can we really unwind a just-in-time economy just in time? (hey, I like that, I think I'll copyright that).
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
User avatar
rogerhb
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4727
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Smalltown New Zealand
Top

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby Ludi » Thu 06 Oct 2005, 17:14:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '
')I thought doomers were peeps like Matt Savinar, MQ and Jay Hansen.


But MQ doesn't fit the description of someone who is apathetic, neither does Matt, they're both deeply involved in trying to educate people and trying to encourage people to make changes. At least that's my understanding from what I've seen of their writings.
Ludi
 
Top

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby Macsporan » Thu 06 Oct 2005, 19:44:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')Macsporan, I read your post, and I hope I'm wrong and you're right about the future of our civilization. I'll admit it's a possibility. My heart wants to be an optimist but my head says I'd better play the odds smart or I might not be playing at all.


There are no certainties here one way or the other. I am not a Pollyanna who believes that some God-like scientist will save us in the nick of time, nor am I one of these deluded people who thinks nothing much will happen. I do not believe that this civilisation can be saved at all.

PO, when it comes, will be one of the pivotal events of history, comparable to the Second World War. It will be bad, very bad in that we will lose much of what we have grown to expect. Some of us will lose our lives, one way or another. Fascism, war and concentration camps are a real possibility. On the other hand our depraved, destructive and wasteful civilisation will be destroyed, and that has to be a good thing in the long term.

Neither am I a Doomer who smirks at the end of all light and inevitable death of billions of people.

I believe though that if we can avoid panic, work together and elect decent leaders we could create a sustainable large-scale civilisation that still has electric power, large scale rail-transport, international trade and some prospect of a hopeful future at a technological level comparable to the turn of the 20th century.

Compared to the "thrill a minute" we have grown to expect it will be a sedate place, but it will provide food, shelter, housing, stability, livelihood a setting for rich family, social, intellectual and spiritual life, and most important, a base for future endeavour providing we are willing to live within our energy and environmental means.

Some people will say this is impossible. I say that we haven’t even tried yet.

Whether we get there or not is dependent on many things that we cannot foresee. The chances are for it, I believe, for when people are offered a choice between life and death, they always chose life.

The thing I cannot emphasise enough is that this is not a TV show, a computer game or a spectator sport. Each of us will have to work very hard to bring it about, starting now. It will require extraordinary effort. It will be a heroic time with the very future of mankind at stake.

Those shallow, sneering souls temperamentally disinclined to heroism will need to keep out of the way, at least until we’ve saved their hides for them.

The thing I have against extreme Doomers is that they don't even want to try. Out of cowardice or hatred of their own species they want to throw in the towel before a blow is struck like "hamburger-eating surrender monkeys."

Anyone who speaks for hopelessness and demoralisation speaks for death. Any society that listens to Doomers will disappear from the face of the earth. It is a classic self-fulfilling prophesy.

Me, I'm not listening.
Son of the Enlightenment
User avatar
Macsporan
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 532
Joined: Thu 09 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Australia
Top

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby rogerhb » Thu 06 Oct 2005, 19:53:17

As they say "Your mileage may vary". Different countries responses are going to be very different, and the more successful countries may inspire others to follow, also they may also inspire more conflict, such are the solutions from Homo Sapians.

I'm hopeful for a good local response down here, the gov despite being slow has been making positive sounding squeeks, better late than never. The dislocation is going to be very uncomfortable and disconcerting for most, but if you have kept your eyes and options open and are making sensible preparations it won't be as bad for you personally as for others, and that's the best hope I can offer.
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
User avatar
rogerhb
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4727
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Smalltown New Zealand

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby LadyRuby » Thu 06 Oct 2005, 21:10:42

Macsporan for President!!!! Oh, forget it, he's Australian.
User avatar
LadyRuby
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1177
Joined: Mon 13 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Western US

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby Dingbat » Thu 06 Oct 2005, 21:53:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Macsporan', '.').. Anyone who speaks for hopelessness and demoralisation speaks for death. Any society that listens to Doomers will disappear from the face of the earth. It is a classic self-fulfilling prophesy.


That pretty much sums up my opinion about doomers here in this forum.

They seem to want to respond to this crisis by running for the hills the same way people hunkered down in their backyard bomb-shelters during the 50s and 60s. Fat lot of good it did them.

I'd rather be a force to mobilize the public-at-large and get something moving as a group than this duck-and-cover tactic that doomers seem to pine for.

- Dingbat near Montreal.
User avatar
Dingbat
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 23
Joined: Mon 11 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby turmoil » Thu 06 Oct 2005, 22:06:13

:) Alright Mac, you write the petition, I'll get some pens. :roll:

http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic11506.html

Global sustainability, here we come!
"If you are a real seeker after truth, it's necessary that at least once in your life you doubt all things as far as possible"-Rene Descartes

"When you have excluded the impossible, whatever remains however improbable must be the truth"-Sherlock Holmes
User avatar
turmoil
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1088
Joined: Fri 13 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Richmond, VA, Pale Blue Dot

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby rogerhb » Thu 06 Oct 2005, 22:11:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('stupid_monkeys', ':')) Alright Mac, you write the petition, I'll get some pens. :roll:

http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic11506.html

Global sustainability, here we come!


Slight problem, your countries are part of the Coalition of the Willing (aka Coalition of the Village Idiots)
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
User avatar
rogerhb
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4727
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Smalltown New Zealand
Top

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby turmoil » Thu 06 Oct 2005, 22:23:51

yeah, but let's not burst their bubble quite yet. After all, people aren't panicking yet. :roll:
"If you are a real seeker after truth, it's necessary that at least once in your life you doubt all things as far as possible"-Rene Descartes

"When you have excluded the impossible, whatever remains however improbable must be the truth"-Sherlock Holmes
User avatar
turmoil
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1088
Joined: Fri 13 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Richmond, VA, Pale Blue Dot

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby MonteQuest » Thu 06 Oct 2005, 23:29:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LadyRuby', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I')s this SO hard to understand? :-x


Even if these are all true, it does not necessarily equal the end of civilization, the extinction of the human race, etc. Is that so hard to understand?


Why focus your attention on a few radical extremists views? Who has a credible "madmax" "end of civilization" post/thread on this site? None that I am aware of.

Ludi has spelled it out quite succinctly as to why the "majority" of doomer views exist. Sure isn't due to a lack of imagination. :lol:

Fish or cut bait. Look at the Tech forum thread of mine of "alternatives under construction".

Pretty damn bleak.

Link
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby Macsporan » Fri 07 Oct 2005, 00:08:37

Monte, you're rather too pious.

There's been all sorts of nasty threads ranting on about cannibalism, survivalism, 'my favourite assault rifle', 'I hate the government so much I foam at the mouth', and so forth.:roll:

In any case you've done a fair bit of casual well-poisoning yourself by defly skittling anyone who dares to be optimistic or hopeful.

Cornicopians are fair game, they're just plain deluded; but on the other extreme there really are some deviates around here really do seem to look forward to eating each other's grannies and shooting the postman.

I note you don't descend from Mount Olympus to slap them around.

Perhaps you should if you don't want to give people the wrong impression of what passes for conventional wisdom around here. :)
Son of the Enlightenment
User avatar
Macsporan
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 532
Joined: Thu 09 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Australia

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby MonteQuest » Fri 07 Oct 2005, 00:26:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Macsporan', 'M')onte, you're rather too pious.

There's been all sorts of nasty threads ranting on about cannibalism, survivalism, 'my favourite assault rifle', 'I hate the government so much I foam at the mouth', and so forth.:roll:

In any case you've done a fair bit of casual well-poisoning yourself by defly skittling anyone who dares to be optimistic or hopeful.

Cornicopians are fair game, they're just plain deluded; but on the other extreme there really are some deviates around here really do seem to look forward to eating each other's grannies and shooting the postman.

I note you don't descend from Mount Olympus to slap them around.

Perhaps you should if you don't want to give people the wrong impression of what passes for conventional wisdom around here. :)


I pick and choose what I read and respond to. Most solutions I see posed here are done in isolation, failing to address the Big Picture. I poison no drinkable wells. When I hear another April 18, 1977 Jimmy Carter speech and see a powerdown to achieve it, then I will become somewhat hopeful.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby Macsporan » Fri 07 Oct 2005, 00:37:18

Yes, we're all waiting for that. I hope we won't be waiting too much longer.

In any case I am not expecting too much until the fan is choked and the walls are brown-splattered and reeking.

After all the Great Depression was four years old before the Amercian people elected Roosevelt, which is more than the Australian people ever got around to doing, prefering British stooges and mediocre dunderheads. So it could go either way.

Thanks for noticing us all down here anyway. :)
Last edited by Macsporan on Fri 07 Oct 2005, 08:23:20, edited 1 time in total.
Son of the Enlightenment
User avatar
Macsporan
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 532
Joined: Thu 09 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Australia

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby Jaymax » Fri 07 Oct 2005, 04:37:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'I') poison no drinkable wells.

Some folks would do well to really think about that statement...

Think I'd better have another wee break.
Doomerosity now at 2 (occasionaly 3, was 4)

Currently (mostly) taking a break from posting at po.com. Don't trust the false prophets of doom - keep reading, keep learning, keep challenging your assum
User avatar
Jaymax
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 259
Joined: Thu 16 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Location: England
Top

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby MrBill » Fri 07 Oct 2005, 06:44:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')here's been all sorts of nasty threads ranting on about cannibalism, survivalism, 'my favourite assault rifle', 'I hate the government so much I foam at the mouth', and so forth.


Made me laugh, too true. :-D

I think from my point of view is that perhaps there is a technological/economic solution to peak oil if that is all we had to concentrate our collective energies on, however it is not. We have peak fresh water, peak population growth and some combination of rising global temperatures, whatever their cause, that are making some climates even less suitable for agriculture. Not too mention even with today's petrocarbons, mines & minerals we cannot produce and distribute enough resources to the burgeoning populations of the developing (or not) world.

So, if you ask, can we solve peak oil for the developed world? I am quite optomistic. However, can we save everyone? If we cannot today there is no reason to expect we'll be able to achieve it peak oil with those other looming problems, too. How many can pile into the life raft? Maybe 2-3 billion, but I seriously doubt it will be 8-10 billion? I am pretty optomistic person. I see under normal circumstances markets adjusting in price to ration demand and technological break throughs, but I just cannot see how 2-3 billion privileged people will survive while the other 7-8 billion don't?

I hope we have another 50-100 years to sort this problem out before we find out?
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
User avatar
MrBill
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5630
Joined: Thu 15 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Eurasia
Top

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby MonteQuest » Fri 07 Oct 2005, 16:34:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jaymax', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'I') poison no drinkable wells.

Some folks would do well to really think about that statement...

Think I'd better have another wee break.


And some folks would do well to not consider solutions in isolation.

For example, you cannot talk about coal to liquids without discussing carbon sequestration.

You cannot talk about massive conservation without talking about massive unemployment.

A thread on this is in the works...
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby Macsporan » Fri 07 Oct 2005, 21:58:52

There will be massive unemployment from the Great PO Depression in any case.

There will be plenty of work to do though: covering every available surface with PVCs and windmills, reinstalling turbines in former hydro-dams, installing a mass-transit system in every city, doing much previously mechanised work with picks and shovels, building a nation-wide electric rail network, building sailing ships, digging up parking lots for urban gardens and so forth.

The State will have to organise these things as the Corporate Sector will probably be hiding under a rock by this time.

While there are other dangers threatening us most have to do with the existance of our crazed, oil gluttonous civilisation. As it fades out we can reasonably expect many of these things to improve.

Thanks for pointing out the difficulties ahead, Monte. Your insights will be valuable to PO crisis planners in the future. :)
Son of the Enlightenment
User avatar
Macsporan
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 532
Joined: Thu 09 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Australia

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby medicvet » Sat 08 Oct 2005, 14:18:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Macsporan', 'M')onte, you're rather too pious.

There's been all sorts of nasty threads ranting on about cannibalism, survivalism, 'my favourite assault rifle', 'I hate the government so much I foam at the mouth', and so forth.:roll:

In any case you've done a fair bit of casual well-poisoning yourself by defly skittling anyone who dares to be optimistic or hopeful.

Cornicopians are fair game, they're just plain deluded; but on the other extreme there really are some deviates around here really do seem to look forward to eating each other's grannies and shooting the postman.

I note you don't descend from Mount Olympus to slap them around.

Perhaps you should if you don't want to give people the wrong impression of what passes for conventional wisdom around here. :)


MacSporan, I have loved your posts so far..but although I haven't started a thread 'foaming at the mouth about the govt', don't blame me if I feel that way sometimes. I am a disable vet with ptsd who gets mighty frustrated at the system sometimes. ;)
Human history becomes more and more a race between education and catastrophe.-H.G. Wells

The only basis for a nation’s prosperity is a religious regard for the rights of others. - ISOCRATES
User avatar
medicvet
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 264
Joined: Mon 15 Aug 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Hicktown OK
Top

Re: Hard core doomers -- lacking in imagination?

Unread postby Jack » Sat 08 Oct 2005, 19:24:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Macsporan', 'T')hose shallow, sneering souls temperamentally disinclined to heroism will need to keep out of the way, at least until we’ve saved their hides for them.


How very kind of you to step forward!

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Macsporan', '
')The thing I have against extreme Doomers is that they don't even want to try. Out of cowardice or hatred of their own species they want to throw in the towel before a blow is struck like "hamburger-eating surrender monkeys."


I'd like my hamburger medium well, please...with cheddar cheese, and two strips of extra crisp bacon...and a side of steak fries!

Seriously, your definitions are limiting. As pruning is salutary for the plant, so too it may be for other populations and systems. One must ask whether extreme efforts to assure the survival of all are worthwhile; might it be better to practice triage?

Dismissing those who espouse the foregoing as a type of surrender monkey evades the issue; nor is it accurate to claim that all such persons are cowards or are imbued with hatred for their own species. Rather, they may regard a different approach as optimal.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Macsporan', '
')Anyone who speaks for hopelessness and demoralisation speaks for death. Any society that listens to Doomers will disappear from the face of the earth.


I, for one, do not speak for either of the above. Instead, I support a different solution to the problem - one which will take courage, determination, and will. One which will permit civilization, science, and learning to survive - and, in time, to expand and prosper. Those who refuse to put aside superfluous cargo may find their journey to be harder - or impossible. What term, then, should we apply to those who refuse to make the hard decisions? Evasion of required choices might be termed moral cowardice; let us not become part of that sad company! Rather, let us go forward with clear eyes and firm resolve.
Dieoff. Fun to watch. Better with hot buttered popcorn! [smilie=new_popcornsmiley.gif]
Jack
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4929
Joined: Wed 11 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Previous

Return to Medical Issues Forum

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron