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Peak oil and government question

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby rogerhb » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 16:15:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Renfield', 'I') hope I don't come across as too polyanna-ish here, but I think part of the reason there is such a lack of political will in this country now is because we have no REAL leaders. We have had politicians in the past that have called for sacrifice and been admired because of it. FDR and Kennedy come to mind, Lincoln...


Do you think today's pampered people are ready for the truth? Cue quote from "A few good men".
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Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby Renfield » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 16:24:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Renfield', 'I') hope I don't come across as too polyanna-ish here, but I think part of the reason there is such a lack of political will in this country now is because we have no REAL leaders. We have had politicians in the past that have called for sacrifice and been admired because of it. FDR and Kennedy come to mind, Lincoln...


Do you think today's pampered people are ready for the truth? Cue quote from "A few good men".
No, but maybe they soon will be...

Remember, things were bad pre WWII and that's when FDR came along and inspired a nation. Problem is that's when Hitler came along, too...
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Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby Pops » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 16:25:19

The current administrations constituency (as opposed to their supporters) is the same as it has been for republicans for a hundred years – the 1%. Read a little history and you see the change in tone (or at least the change in delivery) came with Nixon’s Southern Strategy, the religious right was only added for icing lately.

Point being, PO in the medium term will not hurt that constituency and the news machine at the White House can churn out enough red herrings to divert the attention of the 'supporters'.

As for the left, having lost their natural constituency to the well-written bumper stickers of the right, they are too busy pandering to the interests of the other 99 1-percent groups and defending themselves from the flag wearing, apple pie eating bible thumpers.

And finally there is the citizenry, who will continue to do as they always have until forced to do otherwise, in fact I read a post from a PO.com member yesterday outlining his/her plan to do just that.

I can't name a politician who ever stepped into the breach until it was wide enough he wouldn’t need to stand alone.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
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Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby Renfield » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 16:38:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'T')he current administrations constituency (as opposed to their supporters) is the same as it has been for republicans for a hundred years – the 1%. Read a little history and you see the change in tone (or at least the change in delivery) came with Nixon’s Southern Strategy, the religious right was only added for icing lately.

Point being, PO in the medium term will not hurt that constituency and the news machine at the White House can churn out enough red herrings to divert the attention of the 'supporters'.

As for the left, having lost their natural constituency to the well-written bumper stickers of the right, they are too busy pandering to the interests of the other 99 1-percent groups and defending themselves from the flag wearing, apple pie eating bible thumpers.

And finally there is the citizenry, who will continue to do as they always have until forced to do otherwise, in fact I read a post from a PO.com member yesterday outlining his/her plan to do just that.

I can't name a politician who ever stepped into the breach until it was wide enough he wouldn’t need to stand alone.
I agree. It may take a crisis like the Great Depression to create the political will. On the other hand it didn't take an economic collapse to organize the political and social will to end the Vietnam War, Segregation... I realize that we may go the way of Germany or Italy pre WWII rather than the way of Churchill or FDR, I simply point out that maybe a little hardship might be enough to prime a people for a leadership that can mobilize us, not just at the presidential level but at the congressional and even local level.

Especially since it will take US leadership on this issue for the best outcome. The US is the only country that I think can lead a serious multinational response to this crisis.

We often lament our country's seeming inability to make tough choices and changes in our lives to prevent tradgedy, but also remember that one of the most famous political speeches of all time begins, "Ask not what you country can do for you..."

Though we seem to have lost that type of inspiration in our political institutions, I think there still is a part of the American soul that admires that kind of sentiment. It is that part that I count on in the future.

On the other hand I am making preparations to move to the family farm in NoCal late next year if need be.
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Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby Pops » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 16:59:09

I guess one of the things that strike me as unique about Vietnam and civil rights is they were driven by a generation raised with an unprecedented level of luxury. My parents were children of the dust bowl and raised me on janitor pay but I had a standard of living 1,000 times any that had gone before.

We had the luxury of our parents memories of hardship combined with our (at least in my case) underling sense of guilt at our privileged lifestyle and I think felt a duty to right some fairly blatant wrongs.

My children, now in their twenties and thirties are amazed at some of my stories but don’t perceive duty to much but the Gap and Tommy Hillfinger. I love them, and I’m sure my it is my fault they have absolutely no comprehension of hardship, let alone any feeling of guilt regarding the culture they grew up in.

Not their fault of course, but they aren’t going to be very happy when they get the news.

Or more precisely get smacked with the reality – I gave them the news a while back.
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Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby Renfield » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 17:05:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'I') guess one of the things that strike me as unique about Vietnam and civil rights is they were driven by a generation raised with an unprecedented level of luxury. My parents were children of the dust bowl and raised me on janitor pay but I had a standard of living 1,000 times any that had gone before.

We had the luxury of our parents memories of hardship combined with our (at least in my case) underling sense of guilt at our privileged lifestyle and I think felt a duty to right some fairly blatant wrongs.

My children, now in their twenties and thirties are amazed at some of my stories but don’t perceive duty to much but the Gap and Tommy Hillfinger. I love them, and I’m sure my it is my fault they have absolutely no comprehension of hardship, let alone any feeling of guilt regarding the culture they grew up in.

Not their fault of course, but they aren’t going to be very happy when they get the news.

Or more precisely get smacked with the reality – I gave them the news a while back.
Yeah, I'm in the same position with my family only in reverse. I'm in my 30's trying to shake my parents and aunts and uncles up...

I think predicting the efects of Peak Oil, wether you're talking about the political effects, social effects, whatever...

...it's like trying to predict the weather. The variables are so many and so huge that all you can really say is that energy will cost more. How those costs will shake themselves out and how people will behave I think are impossible to tell. Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
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Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby rogerhb » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 17:10:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Renfield', 'T')he US is the only country that I think can lead a serious multinational response to this crisis.


Alas, we have seen what a "US led serious multinational response" is, eg "coalition of the willing", "with us or against us". America can only act in black and white.

We don't need a single country to lead, despite that is what America wants the world to believe, especially if the world believes America is the main part of the problem. (By that I mean the rest of the world not differentiating between the US admin, the American dream (aka propaganda), the American people or the physical land mass). Especially when the world realises the American Dream was one huge ponzi scheme.

I, for one, still live in hope of a UN led solution, alternatively everyone can just go Uppsala route with no agreement required from anyone.
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Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby Permanently_Baffled » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 17:18:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('clv101', 'T')here's a world of difference between actually making the peak oil speech to the nation and making really dumb decisions like building new airport runways and terminals in the UK.

In the UK we have the amount of government money going into renewable energy projects being similar to the rural bus subsidies. There are lots of dumb things government are doing and smart things that they aren't doing with respect to peak oil. That could change completely without anyone giving the peak oil speech to the nation or admitting we have a problem.


I agree with Chris here.

There are a number of decisions the UK government could of taken , without risking a single vote.

Some examples:

1.Airport expansion --- Actually very unpopular with voters here in the UK

2. Olympics in 2012, nobody would of given shit if we hadnt of secured this event. Yet we go ahead and saddle ourselves with billions in commitments to build allsorts of useless shite.

3. Massive house building program. Again , not a huge vote loser , simply because these new builds are not (and never were) effecting house prices sufficiently. The land we are losing to this insane expansion could be very useful in a post peak world

4. Immigration - We are still allowing enough immigration to GROW our population. The government would actually gain votes in being more strict in this area, and it would help post peak. The french , Italians ,spanish and the germans dont give a flying monkey toss if they upset the human rights brigade they deport the smeggers anyway if they're not genuine(get on em!)

There are so many examples of decisions the government could make to help post peak which would not of effected there chances of being voted back in , but yet the go ahead and do the complete opposite anyway!!! I DONT GET IT!! :lol:

On the flip side of the coin, the one issue they very nearly lost power over, they did take to mitigate PO. Of course this was the Iraq invasion. So the one policy that could of lost them power , they chose to take.

I dont understand them

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Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby Renfield » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 17:21:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Renfield', 'T')he US is the only country that I think can lead a serious multinational response to this crisis.


Alas, we have seen what a "US led serious multinational response" is, eg "coalition of the willing", "with us or against us". America can only act in black and white.

We don't need a single country to lead, despite that is what America wants the world to believe, especially if the world believes America is the main part of the problem. (By that I mean the rest of the world not differentiating between the US admin, the American dream (aka propaganda), the American people or the physical land mass). Especially when the world realises the American Dream was one huge ponzi scheme.

I, for one, still live in hope of a UN led solution, alternatively everyone can just go Uppsala route with no agreement required from anyone.
Yeah, well, my country is quite a dichotomy. Capable of so much creation and so much destruction. I hope the right America shows up for the oil end game. Of course, there's a certain matter of a complete imbecile in office now that will have to be mitigated. On the good side his approval ratings are plummeting.
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Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby rogerhb » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 17:32:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Renfield', 'T')he U.S. is the only company in the world that encourages people to drive themselves to work in Army vehicles.


Beware the military-industrial complex!

By company did you mean country?
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Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby Renfield » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 17:36:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Renfield', 'T')he U.S. is the only company in the world that encourages people to drive themselves to work in Army vehicles.


Beware the military-industrial complex!

By company did you mean country?
Ooops...
Yeah, that's what I meant...
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Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 04 Oct 2005, 21:36:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('clv101', ' ')So what’s wrong with this argument? Why doesn’t lack of governmental action indicate a lack of problem?


What lack of action? We invaded Iraq and we are building up our miltary capability, including more nuclear weapons. Iran is in our gunsights.

Since the only near alternative to peak oil is resource wars, they probably have huge plans.

Read the writings of Paul Wolfowitz. Pretty clear their agenda.
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Re: Peak oil and government question

Unread postby TOKYO-EXPAT » Tue 04 Oct 2005, 22:27:19

You are very right Monte... the big problem is I think China will step into that fight and basically declare a new carter doctine... they got screwed on their oil contracts in Iraq because of a US invasion and I dint see them alowing it to happen after they just signed a bunch of contracts with the Iranians.

Why the hell is it that the Isrealis get to have nukes to protect themselves and yet the Iranians dont. I dont see Bush demanding inspections in the one country everyone agrees has nuclear arms and would use them in a heartbeat if they thought they were going to be pushed into the sea. Im not in favor of anyone having nukes.. i live in japan and have been to hiroshima and nagasaki... it should never happen again... but if you are going to have a policy be fair...
ohhh god what am i talking about...

Anyway before PO really starts giving its biggest effects I am expecting WWIII
I think it is going to be inevitable...
It feels like the summer of 1937
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