by BiGG » Mon 16 May 2005, 10:53:47
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Agren', '
')You sound like a proponent of the "new economy" in 1999. Screw all the old, screw calculations, screw everything but faith.
You don't have a scientific background, if I guess correctly? Of course numbers are needed, of course hard data is needed. If anything is to replace oil it's going to be needed on a massive scale. If you (not necessarily you personally, but someone that you can link to) can't show calculations showing how that is going to happen, how much of oil usage that can be switched to ethanol or whatever why should anyone belive you, it's all down to faith at that point.
You are aware that we are using more oil than ever before, right? "Hardly moving away from".
My main point on all of these boards here is I think most of you are missing some very important points when running your “calculations”. It seems everybody can only add up how much we are using and not add up replacements and how much we can save if we
“want” to. I have mentioned this several times where macroeconomics insist we make the move slowly or we
will have the crash everyone here is afraid of. Forget about new era fuel replacements right now and start with looking at what we can save …….What about these calculations?
We “have” cars that get 40-60 mpg right now instead of 15 or 20…. Getting switched over to them takes several years but it is coming quickly now and that cuts consumption in in that category by at least half using old technology. All of the alternative fuel cars cut consumption dramatically even more. This alone is gigantic here
Geothermal can save up to 70% of heating air & water and up to 50% for cooling air in homes. Look at the numbers of homes in the United States that could cut huge portions of consumption “calculations” …. This isn’t even showing the zillions of business that could do the same and this is very easy to do. You can have one installed right now by simply having a well drilling machine poke a few shallow holes in your yard …….. look what this alone would save if half the homes switched over or 75% of them! 75% of the homes in the US are single family/duplex detached homes btw. Bigger systems can be used for bigger building also but look at what we could be saving right now and think about the rest of the planet doing the same.
Housing units primary Heating Fuel:
*54,928,000 Piped Gas
**6,134,000 Bottled Gas
**9,501,000 Fuel Oil
.***635,000 Kerosene or other Liquid Fuel
Housing units with secondary Heating Sourses:
**4,323,000 Piped Gas
**1,378,000 Bottled Gas
.***571,000 Fuel Oil
.***768,000 Kerosene or other Liquid Fuel
Cooking Fuel:
*37,552,000 Piped Gas = Could Be Switched to Electric
**5,060,000 Bottled Gas= Could Be Switched to Electric
.****16,000 Kerosene or other Liquid Fuel= Could Be Switched to Electric
Water Heating Fuel:
*54,444,000 Piped Gas
**4,063,000 Bottled Gas
**5,398,000 Fuel oil
.****23,000 Kerosene or other Liquid Fuel
Natural Gas Air Conditioners:
99,000 Gas.
Why isn’t hardly anybody here talking about these types of things and other oil replacements? Scalability & EROEI has little to do with any of this transition …….Macroeconomics’ does though and after looking into that issue I think you will see how we have many viable options already existing for replacing what’s needed regarding consumption. It’s all about Logistics of putting it in place and that’s happening right now by the powers that be.
Doomers = “We can’t”
Rational thinking = “We can & are” Macroeconomics & Logistics = prudent planning and enactment like what we are doing right now.
"The Stone Age did not end for lack of stone, and the Oil Age will end long before the world runs out of oil" ............ Former Saudi Arabian oil minister Sheikh Zaki Yamani,