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Do Peak Oilers support the fuel tax protests ?

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Do Peak Oilers support the fuel tax protests ?

Unread postby onequestionwonder » Tue 13 Sep 2005, 09:40:18

"A nation like the UK has the natural resources (North Sea) and economic/political leverage to sustain, in the medium term, the unsustainable consumption of the United State. What advantage is gained by an unusually high gas tax?"

Isn't North Sea depletion about 10% a year in UK North Sea fields?

The UK might be able to do it, but it sounds more short than medium term to me.

As to the advantage, well... all I can say is the earlier the UK begins to address this problem the better.

Also consumption denied can be sold on the world market for income.
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Re: Do Peak Oilers support the fuel tax protests ?

Unread postby CARVER » Tue 13 Sep 2005, 11:43:38

The advantage from high gas tax should be that we stop wasting the stuff. Hopefully people that 'need' a new car buy a hybrid instead of a Hummer, so that they can drive say 10 years in the hybrid instead of 1 year in the Hummer. High taxes seems to be the only way to get people to conserve gas/energy.

What I however do not get, is why there is not a lot more attention directed to why we have these high taxes and why we need to conserve and tell the people how they will benefit from it in the future. Conserving energy does not always have to mean 'doing less of ...', but just doing it differently so you can basically get the same result with less energy.

Maybe because by saying that the governments are telling us we should have listened to the things the green parties have been saying for a long time, the things they themselves have been opposing all those years. They probably don't want to shout: "We were wrong", and are searching for someone else to blame. It seems they have chosen OPEC. Their excuse now seems to be: We knew we would have to conserve some day, but not as soon as the green parties were saying, because OPEC told us they could increase production for a long time, so we were under the impression that there was still plenty of time to research and develop proper alternatives and make the transition. We demand from OPEC that they now do what they told us they would do: increase oil production. So don't blame us, blame OPEC for the high gas prices. We decided to become fully dependant on OPEC even though they would not give us any evidence of their claims that they could increase oil production, while lots of experts were shouting that they would not be able to do that. But you can't blame us for trusting them blindly on such an important matter and thus taking this increadibly huge risk. We take no responsibility whatsoever, OPEC is responsable for this mess. [Do you think they are buying it?]
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Re: Do Peak Oilers support the fuel tax protests ?

Unread postby Xelat » Tue 13 Sep 2005, 16:20:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('onequestionwonder', '"')A nation like the UK has the natural resources (North Sea) and economic/political leverage to sustain, in the medium term, the unsustainable consumption of the United State. What advantage is gained by an unusually high gas tax?"

Isn't North Sea depletion about 10% a year in UK North Sea fields?

The UK might be able to do it, but it sounds more short than medium term to me . . .


By "medium term" I mean in the range of 3 to 10 years. Is North Sea depletion that high? I wouldn't be surprised if they are able to stabilize the depletion for a while - take a look at the Continental US - they'r stil pumping good quantities from stripper wells in TX. Remember that the US has been able to leverage it's currency advantage, geopolitical advantage etc in order to import nearly 2/3s of it's oil. The UK wouldn't need that much output to have consumption at US levels and not rise above that level of importation. That said - you may be right.
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Re: Do Peak Oilers support the fuel tax protests ?

Unread postby Wildwell » Tue 13 Sep 2005, 19:36:20

"The empirical results presented above suggest energy prices will have a relatively small but positive impact on the average price that consumers pay for food. The simulations suggest that a doubling of crude oil prices would raise average food prices in competitive food markets by as much as 1.82 percent in the short run, and by 0.27 percent in the long run."

The full report is here

http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/TB1862/

Now the supermarkets are making billion in profits and can afford to absorb a lot of rises in any case, especially as they are in competition. Aren’t the threats of everything will rise in cost over exaggerated?
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Re: Do Peak Oilers support the fuel tax protests ?

Unread postby Liamj » Tue 13 Sep 2005, 20:44:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Wildwell', '"')The empirical results presented above suggest energy prices will have a relatively small but positive impact on the average price that consumers pay for food. The simulations suggest that a doubling of crude oil prices would raise average food prices in competitive food markets by as much as 1.82 percent in the short run, and by 0.27 percent in the long run."

The full report is here

http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/TB1862/

Now the supermarkets are making billion in profits and can afford to absorb a lot of rises in any case, especially as they are in competition. Aren’t the threats of everything will rise in cost over exaggerated?

Ya reckon?!?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')heStreet.com
...Meanwhile, recent inflationary pressures reflected in government statistics also have been attributed to the oil rally of 2005. In July, the consumer price index shot up a higher-than-expected 0.5%, but the core measure, which excludes food and energy prices, was up only 0.1%. ...
http://www.thestreet.com/_googlen/marke ... &cm_ite=NA


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ept.11 (USA TODAY)...Economists have increased their projections for consumer inflation, some significantly. Global Insight expects inflation to reach 5.7 percent at an annual rate in third-quarter 2005, compared with its earlier 3.4 percent estimate. Economy.com expects 3.4 percent inflation through the end of 2005, up from 2.7 percent.
http://www.app.com/apps/pbcs.dll/articl ... 10361/1003


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ept. 13 (Bloomberg) -- U.K. inflation accelerated in August to the fastest pace in at least eight years as oil prices surged, reinforcing economists' expectations the Bank of England will leave interest rates unchanged this year.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid= ... 0&refer=uk



Pesky ol' reality, eh wildwell :-D
Guess thats why economic modelling explaining that all is well is plummeting in value!
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Re: Do Peak Oilers support the fuel tax protests ?

Unread postby rogerhb » Tue 13 Sep 2005, 20:52:13

National wants to drop the petrol tax. They also want to reduce general taxation then borrow heavily to build more roads.

And today they are leading the polls, election on Saturday.

No problem that short-sightedness can't fix.
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Re: Do Peak Oilers support the fuel tax protests ?

Unread postby Wildwell » Tue 13 Sep 2005, 22:17:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Liamj', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Wildwell', '"')The empirical results presented above suggest energy prices will have a relatively small but positive impact on the average price that consumers pay for food. The simulations suggest that a doubling of crude oil prices would raise average food prices in competitive food markets by as much as 1.82 percent in the short run, and by 0.27 percent in the long run."

The full report is here

http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/TB1862/

Now the supermarkets are making billion in profits and can afford to absorb a lot of rises in any case, especially as they are in competition. Aren’t the threats of everything will rise in cost over exaggerated?

Ya reckon?!?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')heStreet.com
...Meanwhile, recent inflationary pressures reflected in government statistics also have been attributed to the oil rally of 2005. In July, the consumer price index shot up a higher-than-expected 0.5%, but the core measure, which excludes food and energy prices, was up only 0.1%. ...
http://www.thestreet.com/_googlen/marke ... &cm_ite=NA


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ept.11 (USA TODAY)...Economists have increased their projections for consumer inflation, some significantly. Global Insight expects inflation to reach 5.7 percent at an annual rate in third-quarter 2005, compared with its earlier 3.4 percent estimate. Economy.com expects 3.4 percent inflation through the end of 2005, up from 2.7 percent.
http://www.app.com/apps/pbcs.dll/articl ... 10361/1003


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ept. 13 (Bloomberg) -- U.K. inflation accelerated in August to the fastest pace in at least eight years as oil prices surged, reinforcing economists' expectations the Bank of England will leave interest rates unchanged this year.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid= ... 0&refer=uk



Pesky ol' reality, eh wildwell :-D
Guess thats why economic modelling explaining that all is well is plummeting in value!

That's fuel itself, I still don't buy the argument that food prices will go through the roof when these companies are making billions and are in cut throat competition, not to say they won't in the future.

I'm wondering if the UK should have gone the middle way on this, 10p off tax and a permanent 55mph speed limit on motorways. Save a lot of lives, fuel, and make road less competitive with alternatives.
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Re: Do Peak Oilers support the fuel tax protests ?

Unread postby Liamj » Mon 19 Sep 2005, 03:28:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wildwell', 'T')hat's fuel itself, I still don't buy the argument that food prices will go through the roof when these companies are making billions and are in cut throat competition, not to say they won't in the future.
i'm happy to wait for the flood of news articles in 3?12 months as media eventually forced to match their readers reality :)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wildwell', 'I')'m wondering if the UK should have gone the middle way on this, 10p off tax and a permanent 55mph speed limit on motorways. Save a lot of lives, fuel, and make road less competitive with alternatives.
Now thats an idea i like - trading off some hip pocket pain relief for cultural change.
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Re: Do Peak Oilers support the fuel tax protests ?

Unread postby WhistleWind » Mon 19 Sep 2005, 07:12:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')'m wondering if the UK should have gone the middle way on this, 10p off tax and a permanent 55mph speed limit on motorways. Save a lot of lives, fuel, and make road less competitive with alternatives.


WIth the defacto speed limit about 80mph (legal limit 70mph) and very few speed cameras on most motorways, the police will have a very
hard time enforcing 55mph. They rarely stop drivers under 90mph
at present, and without public support it will be very hard for
drivers who want to stick to 55mph on busy roads - they would get grief
from all other vehicles. Millions of drivers would ignore the new limit.

Apart from that, a good idea. I recommend any driver done
for speeding gets his car crushed. That would be an incentive...
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