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Is our economy 100% transport?

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Is our economy 100% transport?

Postby linlithgowoil » Wed 07 Sep 2005, 07:24:25

The more i think about it, the more i feel that modern economies are simply very complex 'things' whose sole funciton is to move objects 'things/people/money/liquids/etc.' from one place to another.

Anyone else think this?

Therefore, without efficient transportation, you have no modern economy.
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Re: Is our economy 100% transport?

Postby JonathanR » Wed 07 Sep 2005, 08:01:43

You're not too far from the truth. The auto industry is pretty self serving. When you consider the percentage of earning capacity is expended on vehicular transport, even at a disposable income level. Then add to that the cost of building and maintaining the infrastructure, a significant proportion of the GDP is transport related.

But, it's mostly about skills specialisation, and getting those specialised skills to the market place.

I often wonder how good a public transportation system would be, if we spent as much on it as we do on our personal vehicles.
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Re: Is our economy 100% transport?

Postby Wildwell » Wed 07 Sep 2005, 08:39:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('linlithgowoil', 'T')he more i think about it, the more i feel that modern economies are simply very complex 'things' whose sole funciton is to move objects 'things/people/money/liquids/etc.' from one place to another.

Anyone else think this?

Therefore, without efficient transportation, you have no modern economy.


Yep, and sorts of society has always been based around transport, going right back to Ports and early ships and from early Roman roads and medieval trade routes.

The next boom followed (around 1700-1800 in Britain from canals), the start of the industrial revolution.

After 1825, when the first public steam railway opened in the world between Stockton and Darlington it changed the way we lived. Even in England you had no standard time for example, because horses took days to move between towns and canals were slow.

During 1840-1880 was known as railway mania, which opened up the British Empire, the United States and the world. For the first time large quantities of goods and people could be moved about over long distances. Railway companies bought up everything from canals to hotels, from factories to large tracts of housing.

Suburbia started around 1890, when railways allowed people to commute out of cities. Some of this was down to the invention of electric railways which allowed tramways and lines beneath cities, although the first underground lines were steam. Commuting was born - vast areas of London were build, many European cities and older US cities expanded greatly. In fact London reaches its peak population in the 1950s due to the expansion of ‘metro land’.

Planes and mass production of cars started in the early 2oth century, although there was limited impact because of the 1st and 2nd world wars. And in any case, planes were not competitive with rail until the invention of the jet engine. Up until the 2nd world war the chief transport fuel was coal.

The first Motorways/Freeways were in Germany during the 1930s. But most truck road building around the world has been since the 2nd world war, which allowed much larger trucks and fast access between cities up to a few hundred miles away. A decline is railfreight followed and cars ate into bus and rail passenger numbers away from main lines and in cities.

But travel started in the 1920s/1930s and had replaced trams in many cities by the 1950s, the peak years of bus travel.

Car based suburbs grew up after the Second World war, mainly in the US because of land space limitations, but some towns even in Europe are built for cars.

Globalisation has been driven mainly by aviation, especially since the 1970s. But intercontinental trucking, improvements in shipping and rail freight have also had effects.

Transport allowed modern communications: Satellites, undersea cables and the building of pipelines.

Without transport you can kiss the modern world goodbye, goods and people cannot be move around. Self sufficiency would be the only way, with families living on farms with little medicine, books, and communication.
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Re: Is our economy 100% transport?

Postby jaws » Wed 07 Sep 2005, 23:44:47

Advanced economies have always been based on transportation. It's what always large-scale division of labor. The strength of the Roman Empire was built on commerce in the Mediteranean and over its roads. Holland built a world-spanning empire from sailship trade.
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Re: Is our economy 100% transport?

Postby rogerhb » Thu 08 Sep 2005, 18:30:25

Yes, if commerce was all about moving bits and bytes between continents we would be rich as hell and starving to death.
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Re: Is our economy 100% transport?

Postby Tyler_JC » Thu 08 Sep 2005, 20:08:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'Y')es, if commerce was all about moving bits and bytes between continents we would be rich as hell and starving to death.


Nope, some of the economy is about turning energy into food and products. :razz:
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Re: Is our economy 100% transport?

Postby spudbuddy » Thu 08 Sep 2005, 21:23:12

An interesting history of transportation, Wildwell.

What fascinates me now, is the way we used to move things around (basically pre-1950) and how well we did it.
A chapter in the book "The End of Oil" discusses how much more efficiently we could use that kind of transportation technology now, with improved fuel efficiency methods.

I believe the point is that we don't have to stop moving people and things around at all, just change the way we do it (and certainly the distances crossed.)

If one really studies the past 5 and a half decades, we can see how with each succeeding decade we ramped up the economic activity based on transportation...especially the speed at which distances could be crossed.
Of course...this was the handmaiden to globalization.

Transportation / globalized manufacture/ petrochemicals / agribusiness.
All these things follow a model of gigantism / economies of scale / agressive cost-cutting of labor / anti-eviromentalism / anti-democratic trans-national untaxed profit.

None of this can or will survive without cheap fuel. (especially cheap oil)

Yet people still will need to move around, and move goods around.

I believe retraction / conservation will become the new religion soon enough.
After all the noses are bitten off (in spite) I think folks will come around.
There will hardly be any choice.
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Re: Is our economy 100% transport?

Postby Drjay » Fri 23 Sep 2005, 23:03:21

I read recently that in america our average consumer item travels 1500 miles to the consumer, in Canada it is substantially higher. If you factor in the distance that the items travel to be assembed together for a final product is produced I would imagine that the number goes even. Everything that we use is based largely upon transpot. Cut the spigot off and life as we now know it ceases to exist. I hope you have somewhere to plant a garden and enough food to last until it is mature.
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Re: Is our economy 100% transport?

Postby falser » Sat 24 Sep 2005, 01:48:26

I'd say the US economy is 100% supporting the suburban lifestyle by going into debt. Everything produced, transported, and paid for by credit card, eventually ends up at a suburban home. Without real estate and debt there would be no US economy and no need to transport anything.
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Re: Is our economy 100% transport?

Postby Kingcoal » Sat 24 Sep 2005, 11:00:38

It's a long chain that starts with raw materials, which then get transported to where labor is practically free, which then get transported to huge markets (USA for one), which then get distributed to consumers. The whole mess has one common denominator: cheap transport costs, in fact often so cheap as to be a negligible part of the costs. While this has done wonders for consumers with money, the ease with which labor can be exported to low cost regions has been devastating for many.

As oil goes through the roof, we might go back to pre oil times when transportation was very expensive. Most goods were made in the same countries where they were sold. “Imported” meant very expensive. If you could talk to someone in the business back then and tell them that in the year 2005 a toilet paper roll holder would log 1500 miles before being sold to a consumer, he would think you were crazy. Actually, it is crazy!

Manufacturers back then were located in cities where workers walked to work. Families were tight and people in general never ventured much further than about 10 miles from home. In my line of work, I think nothing of logging 1000 miles in one week via air travel. Boy are things going to be different in the future!
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Re: Is our economy 100% transport?

Postby bobcousins » Sat 24 Sep 2005, 15:08:16

Universal Theory of Systems

All functions of a system are composed of two operations:

1. Transformation. Changing X into Y. e.g. raw material into goods.
2. Translation. Moving X from P1 to P2.

X and Y can be matter or information. In both cases energy is required to effect the operation.
It's all downhill from here
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Re: Is our economy 100% transport?

Postby FairMaiden » Sun 25 Sep 2005, 13:47:22

If you look at pre-industrial vs. post industrial economy - there wasn't alot of growth in the pre-industrial eras. You only saw growth when there was a major transportation infrastructure investment - the Romans building roads or the ships built for discovering land and/or new trade routes. You can't have trade w/o transportation. All of our jobs are somehow tied to the trading of goods - even if the gov'ts watching over/facilitating that!
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