by bart » Wed 07 Sep 2005, 02:25:24
Interesting idea, PMS.
One of the best articles I've seen on the subject of PO and polticis was Kurt Cobb's piece,
"The Politics of Survivia."$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kurt Cobb', 'I')t is a sign of the times that a former energy analyst turned radical advocate for depaving the world would be quoted on the floor of the U. S. House of Representatives by a self-described "very conservative Republican" congressman while the congressman lectured the country about the dangers of world peak oil production. Just so you don't think this was a fluke, I give you exhibit number two: An investment banker who specializes in energy--a Bush supporter and former campaign advisor on energy--recently wrote a piece about the impending Saudi oil shock for Counterpunch, a left-wing, muckraking newsletter that is proud of its "radical attitude" and its freedom from corporate influence.
What we are witnessing is the collapse of the politics of left and right and the replacement of those politics with what I call the politics of survival. Those who come to understand the gravity of our energy situation quickly abandon their previous political views and instead focus pragmatically on how we can make a successful energy transition. They do so because they know the cost of failure is too high a price to pay for ideology. In the politics of survival ideology counts for almost nothing. Pragmatic plans count for everything.
I find this true for myself. I'm reading people from all over the political spectrum -- financial analysts, intelligence experts, Marxists, Reagan Republicans, environmentalists -- anybody that seems awake to the new trend in events.
I don't think it makes sense to pretend one is something one is not -- current strategy of the Democratic leadership. No one respects people who don't have convictions.
But I think it DOES make sense to be able to talk with people with different politics, and to make alliances where appropriate. For example, I could see reaching out to the Democrats and Republicans who are pushing energy independence. Yes, even to Thomas Friedman and his Geo-greens.
One more note about US politics. Many commentators point to the polarization between Red and Blue states, liberals and conservatives. I don't think so. What I see is the vast majority being unpolitical; even political activists are politically unsophisticated.
This apolitical majority means that US politics could shift in the blink of an eye. Peak oil could be the catalyst. The shift could be to the right, to a nationalistic military leader (I think the Bush team would be out of the running). Or the shift could be to a Roosevelt or populist democratic socialism. Sounds hard to believe, but if there are energy shortages and widespread unemployment, political changes will follow.