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The meaning of peakoil.com

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The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby trespam » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 10:59:32

OK, looked this morning at the list of new posts. We've got Jack dancing on the grave of the unhappy souls who have lost their lives. A category 4/5 hurricane that strikes the coast, the equivalent of untold nuclear bombs, is used by jack to prove his thesis, a thesis that he uses as his mantra for peakoil.com. Others are happily enjoying the pain and misery in other ways.

Their thesis is simply a reflection of their warped view on the world. Crime and looting and theft are as old as humanity. Similarly, compassion and people working together to create stability. Yet the negativists--including most of the moderators--will focus in on the negative. It is a psychological reflection of them.

I'll continue to peek in here on occassion. But as one who has studied peak oil in depth, studied the biological issues (as raised in topics such as overshoot), has studied great looks at the "liberal project" such as John Gray--if you've not read him, you're uninformed--there really is little of value at this site, other than a collection of news articles and an occasional post. Go to other places, like:
http://www.energybulletin.net/news.php
http://mobjectivist.blogspot.com/
http://peake.blogspot.com/
http://peakenergy.blogspot.com/
http://www.theoildrum.com/
http://www.env-econ.net/

And James Hamilton, an economists at UCSD is also giving a hard look at peak oil (with the full support of the OilDrum, mentioned above--though they are often at odds).

These sites also have their share of negativism. But they are not populated and dominated with the sad unhappy souls that I find here. I dropped out of the participation in the site many months ago but will continue to look for something of interest and to point out the sad unhappy nature of most of the posts.

If you are interested in peak oil, I suggest using peak oil.com as an entry point. But unless you are one of the sad souls who loves to put salt into the wounds of others, you will soon tire of this place. Perhaps you like hanging out with negativists. They do hang together.

But I highly recommend avoiding this site other than--as I do--checking to see if just maybe there is a post of worth.

The odds are against it.

Sorry for the diversion. You may now get back to proving that a category 4/5 hurricane and the chaos that resulted is proof of all the negativism that the depressed souls and moderators of this site know is just around the corner.

The phrase "the greatest generation" was applied to those who lived through the depression and WWII. Now, I'm a little sick of that phrase. It's a little self-important. But there is some truth to it. Well, whatever truth there is in it, there is one thing I know: the greatest generation does not populate this site.
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby JoeW » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 11:09:31

Roger that, trespam. There are times when I look at some of the ridiculous posts here and say to myself, "Peakoil.com needs an enema!"

There are plenty of individuals on this website who I could easily picture saying things like, "Fools! I'll show them all!" and they are the individuals that tend to speak the loudest here, but the softer voices of moderation can still be heard from time to time.
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby killJOY » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 11:11:48

OK, if that's how you feel.


So why not, like, just go away? :twisted:
Peak oil = comet Kohoutek.
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby Jack » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 11:17:16

Hi, Trespam! It's good to know that you follow my writings; there may be hope for you yet.

I note that New Orleans has devolved from a civilized first-world city to a Mad Max scenario in 72 hours. The thin patina of order is even thinner, even more fragile, than I had thought. Make no mistake - the same behavior patterns exist in other communities.

I'm quite positive this is the case. 8)
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby Permanently_Baffled » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 11:33:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
I note that New Orleans has devolved from a civilized first-world city to a Mad Max scenario in 72 hours. The thin patina of order is even thinner, even more fragile, than I had thought. Make no mistake - the same behavior patterns exist in other communities.


Can PO really be compared to a level 4 hurricane and 20-30ft of water flooding 80% of a city overnight? :lol:

Hardly a good test case for how people will react post peak! :roll:

PO and its effects will be somewhat slower than a overnight disaster! :-D

Apples and oranges ? :razz:

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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby Jack » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 11:44:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Permanently_Baffled', 'A')pples and oranges ?


Environments change, but human nature remains constant.
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby trespam » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 11:52:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('killJOY', 'O')K, if that's how you feel.


So why not, like, just go away? :twisted:


Because I'm willing to stick around and poke sticks in your negativist eyes. I am not a JD. He's a fool, what with his Julian Simon ebullience. But I'm also not foolish enough to buy into Jack's "writings," a silly self-important term--which I'm afraid to say Jack seems to be--self-important. Of course, the response is that I'm self-important. Yeah, perhaps. But I'm not the one dancing on the graves of the dead. I'm not the one who "knows" how peak oil will play out. And I'm not the one stupid enough to compare a category 3/4 hurricane to peak oil. Anyone who does that is no better than the mindless economists and Julian Simon fanatics who think in terms of analogies. Simple minded.

So no. I will not go away. I spend more time looking at this peak oil stuff that I should. It will play out in a way we don't understand. But I do suggest that those who spend so much time on this site should instead devote their time to reading something like John Gray, William Ophuls, or even William Catton's overshoot. All are available used at reasonable prices. Then I suggest reading the "self-organizing universe" by Jantsch. We--meaning all of us--don't have a clue as to how energy depletion will play out.

But go ahead. Spend your time with Jack and his "writings". (Snore). Or spend your time reading material of value. Anyone can "prove" their particular thesis by mining the facts. That's all we're seeing here this morning. There are a lot of sick people running around the streets of New Orleans taking advantage of a bad situation--looting, terrorizing, etc. Similarly, there are sick people populating this site who are obsessed with the looting and terrorizing. Well, focus a little of your time on the people who are helping others. Focus a little of your time donating just a few bucks to help people get drinking water. Do something positive--for yourself and others. You'll feel much better than mining through Jack's "writings."
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby Permanently_Baffled » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 11:57:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Permanently_Baffled', 'A')pples and oranges ?


Environments change, but human nature remains constant.


Oh I agree.

But we are not all bad. If nobody cooperated ever we would still be living in caves wearing bear skins and carrying clubs. :P

Who knows, PO hardship may improve some western societies. Hell some cannot get much worse and we are supposed to have more wealth than ever !

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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby stu » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 12:58:25

Who are we defining as the caring and the kind? Coastguards, National Guard, Police etc. They are all doing their job which they are paid to do, so their compassion is there provided their wages are as well. That's not to take anything away from them. They are doing a great job and anyone who says otherwise needs to be dumped in NO. I'm not saying these people are heartless bastards who are paid to care, but in an environment of declining energy and economic activity then I'm sure that they wouldn't do this sort of thing for free all of the time.

If the caring and the kind are family, friends or just strangers who are doing a good deed to look after the suffering, then of course this care requires the use of their own resources and energy which costs them as well. In an environment of diminishing energy and economic activity these kind- hearted caring people would also become the ones who need help.

What is currently happening in New Orleans is perfectly representative of what happens when law and order doesn't exist and the poor are given free reign to roam the streets. If you are poor and the very infrastructure that you rely on to feed, clothe and provide you with shelter disappears then what good does teaming up with a bunch of people who have no basic knowledge of survivalism do. It's not like the poor in New Orleans are trained to deal with this kind of event. If that was the case they would have got out. Instead basic survival instinct has taken over and they are doing what they have to do to survive. It will be the same if the Peak hits by the end of the decade.
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby stu » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 13:20:16

To stop this thread from going off-topic.

What is the meaning of PO.com?

To provide a place where people can come and discuss PO related issues.

Is it a hangout for the doomers and gloomers?

Well that depends. Say you informed 1000 people of PO and showed them all the arguments for and against it, how many would would take the doomer side and how many would take the optimist side? It goes either one of two ways. Also consider that people who don't believe that PO is a threat are less likely to discuss it as they have already convinced themselves that everything is fine and there is no need to worry.

As for all the mods being doomers? Maybe it's a fair representation of the membership in general. Either way that question is best directed at Aaron or Dan.
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby bobaloo » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 14:32:17

Funny, some of us think the mods are optimists...
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby stu » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 14:58:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bobaloo', 'F')unny, some of us think the mods are optimists...


Which ones?
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby Aaron » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 15:04:27

The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby bobaloo » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 15:25:01

It's just like the old liberal-conservative spectrum, it just depends on where you're looking from. Some people think Bill Clinton is a flaming liberal, from other's perspectives he's a repressive Nazi.

From my perspective, Specop may be just a tiny little bit too pessimistic, but I'm not absolutely sure...
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby eric_b » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 15:58:59

So what's your problem?

Perhaps this site is a little negative. What of it?

It provides a badly needed outlet for this point of view. If you don't like it, leave.

I think most people here freely admit they are doomers. At least there's no hidden agenda.

This world's a hard and heavy place. Always has been. Let's not pretend we live in some
sort of Disney land and everything is going to be peachy-keen once PO sets in. The age
of cheap oil has insulated us from many harsh realities. They will likely once again
be coming to fore as the party winds down.

There are many other 'issues' facing humanity other than PO. We've got a severe overpopulation
problem, IMO. A trashed and dying planet and environment. Possible global warming. Loss
of arable land and soil coupled with declining resources means we may soon have problems
just feeding people. And despite all these looming problems nothing is being done. If
anything the doomer case is being understated. And even if it does turn out to be
extreme it may still prove useful in finally motivating people to change.

There are good reasons to be negative. You're a fool is you're not willing to admit the
course we are currently on may lead to disaster.

Besides, Jack's posts must have hit a nerve or you wouldn't have bothered to start this topic.
Perhaps there's more truth to them then you're willing to admit?
Last edited by eric_b on Thu 01 Sep 2005, 20:05:11, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby bart » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 16:22:58

I'm afraid I have to agree with trespam. I don't send people to peakoil.com anymore.

I think the problem lies in the nature of online discussion forums. Discussion forums are not a good place for carefully considered thought, based on knowledge. The medium favors people who have a lot of time on their hands, are verbal and have strong opinions that aren't necessarily well founded.

Gresham's Law -- the good stuff gets buried.

Another problem is that Peak Oil with all its implications is a complex subject, spiked with animal fear. In such situations, people lock onto a simplified picture. It doesn't matter whether the picture is accurate or realistic; at least it is a worldview that explains things and tells you what to do, allaying anxiety in an uncertain situation.

So, yeah, it's better to look elsewhere for answers. Books, classes, some of the more structured websites. Subjects like permaculture, Do It Yourself, ecology, history, survival classes and engineering are good. There's lots to learn about. It's much better than going round and round about the same old half-understood issues.

Still and all, peakoil.com has been much better than all the other discussion forums I've participated in. There IS good stuff being posted; the news items are fresh; commentary is interesting. The site is well designed and I appreciate the work of Aaron, the moderators, etc.

I'm not sure what could be done to help peakoil.com move forward.
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby holmes » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 17:21:02

There is only ONE path now. We chose a DEATH march. What are you an elite or something? There will be more and more carcasses piled onto the heap. Is there any other way? there was. The monkeys chose it. I sure as shit did not choose this. Humans are dying in piles across the oceans for our cappucinnos and fairy tale life styles. Dont like the blood splashed on your robes and crown? leave. I have hope. However with humans that dont like to talk about real issues and have a hard time communicating about these "oh the horror" topics, hope get smashed. I like po.com.
and we dont need everyone here- overopulation kills. More despair will ensue. I hate this continual cycle of never ending dysfunction. More programs eacha nd every fucking year that never work. they contuinue to create more despair and more "industries" to make profits. we are now goin to rebuild the south...again and again. they will continue to overbreed and fester ands die. help us all.
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby bart » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 18:58:47

I see some signs of sect-like behavior among the doomers.
    Belief that one's group has the Secret, and the rest of humanity is ignorant fools.

    Self-perpetuating hysteria. People compete to see who can come up with the most extreme views.

    A rigid worldview. Dissenters are attacked or expelled. "Love it or leave it."

    Apocalyptic visions -- the end of civilzation, anarchy, multiple catastrophes.

    Rationalizations for immoral or amoral behavior.

    A distancing from everyday people. Spending more and more time with a closely knit group that reinforces the belief system.

    A distancing from alternate sources of information. Gradually the world of reality is left behind and one lives in a group-created world.

    An obsession with guns on the part of some people (a very bad sign)
Please think twice before signing up for a sect. They give a temporary high when one feels part of an elite, but long term they're bad news.
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby Jack » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 19:02:19

So, Trespam, how's retirement going? Well, I hope? It's great that you're spending time reading - my writings, among other things.

You mention the folks in New Orleans. It occurs to me that a smart, well-read fellow like yourself...one who advocates helping his fellow man...one who is retired...could make a statement by going to one of the affected areas and volunteering. You could do far more than donating a few bucks - you could make a difference!

Go ahead, Trespam. Show us what a compassionate fellow does. 8)
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Re: The meaning of peakoil.com

Unread postby rostov » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 19:05:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('trespam', 'A')nd I'm not the one {subjective omitted} to compare a category 3/4 hurricane to peak oil.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
'){Peak Oil} will play out in a way we don't understand.


So basically it comes down to this : are they the same? Apples and oranges?

Similarities for both scenarios (Katrina and PO cliff die-off) are driving the number of posts up for PO.com :
1) Removal of basic necessities unto the level of personal survivalism
2) Absence of authority
3) Haves and have-nots
4) (derived from (1)) No OIL
5) human behavior, mob or individual, warnings or not, etc.

What matters is that if we can not accept nor understand how (1) to (4) affects a small scale scenario like N.O., how can we hope to tackle a larger scale, say, for a state? Or country?

Not defending Jack here nor rubbing salt on wounds, but there's some like me who's totally watching this from outside the USofA, who's asking really hard question. So many question -- how prepared am I for similar scenarios, OIL related? Will I heed any warnings? Will I kill to get my circle surviving?

I don't know. Is there a larger scale example of good coming out of a country who's either been hit by disaster recently? Or OIL related (run out of oil, too expensive)? For those with no government, what did the people do and react?
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