Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Is Banking A Scam?

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Is Banking A Scam?

Yes
31
No votes
No
1
No votes
It's a double-edged sword; bad points balanced by good points
15
No votes
 
Total votes : 47

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby nero » Tue 23 Aug 2005, 20:29:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')es, but they can also control the amunt of money in supply too. They can do this via a number of mechanisms - go to http://www.propagandamatrix.com and check out the documentary of I think it was called the 'Lyndon Institute' or something similar.


The way the Fed controls the interest rate is by controlling the supply of money, it's just one parameter. Either you adjust the money supply to keep the interest rates constant or you adjust the money supply to keep inflation constant. Or in the real world where all sorts of other actors are affecting the market you adjust the money supply and hope for the best.
Biofuels: The "What else we got to burn?" answer to peak oil.
User avatar
nero
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1433
Joined: Sat 22 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Ottawa, Ontario

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby DesertBear2 » Wed 24 Aug 2005, 02:18:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '
')The banks are the hardest working business of our economy.


Yes, banks are one of the hardest working businesses in the economy. Unfortunately, they are not always the smartest. The list of bubbles that have been way over-financed by US Banks and have eventually crashed is a long one and includes the following-

*Agricultural land boom of the 1970s
*Domestic oil boom of the late 70s and early 80s.
*Real estate boom of the 1980s, especially in California
*Stock market boom and crash of the 1990s-2001
*Savings & Loan Debacle
*Third-World lending boom in the 70s and 80s
*The present "mother of all RE booms". Of course, they are busy approving each and every inflated mortgage loan and passing the hot potato down to the FNMA to avoid the ultimate risk of holding the loan. Not to mention all the cash-out refinancing operations- sometimes with 125% principles that wrap in all the accumulated short-term consumer debt so that the loan-holder is immediately underwater.


I suppose also that the World Bank and IMF operations that saddle third-world countries with huge unmanageable debts should also be mentioned.

Yes....very busy indeed.
DesertBear2
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 514
Joined: Sat 13 Aug 2005, 03:00:00
Location: BlueRidgeVA

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby Markos101 » Wed 24 Aug 2005, 07:42:57

The UK is similar with real estate. I'm not on the property ladder yet being a young man, and I am certainly not planning to place any money in property for the next few years.

We've had the longest period of growth in house prices on record, and a record absolute growth. According to some economists (yes, economists...) this is due to the fact that the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England focus only on consumer price index (CPI).

I think this has been fuelled by, as usual, brainwashing by television creating crowds of property developers looking to get passive income out of real estate. The television of course, never to be something to genuinely inform, doesn't mention of course that it is a virtual certainty that there will be a crash after the frenzy.

I think oil will be a far better investment for the next few years than real estate.

Mark
User avatar
Markos101
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 381
Joined: Tue 24 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: United Kingdom, Various

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby Markos101 » Wed 24 Aug 2005, 07:45:59

Yes, the World Bank and IMF. Basically as far as I can see, this is a mechanism for the haves to buy up nations using debt. I say this, because firstly the records show that often the money lent goes into the power-hungry passive-income mad buerocrats pocket's and not into the hands of the people of the nation, and also, they tend to put political conditions on the loans in order to change the societies that they are 'bringing out of poverty'.

As is the case for most things, I think the World Bank and IMF are devils in disguise.

Mark
User avatar
Markos101
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 381
Joined: Tue 24 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: United Kingdom, Various

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby Markos101 » Wed 24 Aug 2005, 14:13:42

I'll also point out another commonly overlooked characteristic of the banking system: they make money in both inflation and deflation.

That is, in inflation, they make money because when they make the money out of nothing and charge interest, because they typically charge 10% interest on business loans or 5% on mortgage loans (property loans in other words), they get more money back than the borrower gets from spending the money first and therefore not being subject to inflation. So the borrower still loses to the bank in inflation.

In deflation, there is not enough created money in circulation to pay back all interest, and therefore some people will default on their loans. The bank however, despite having created the money out of nothing, quote 'repossess' your property (actually they never had the property they 'created' in the first place) and sell it for create money. They then pay back their loan. It is the borrower that loses in deflation too.

Mark
User avatar
Markos101
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 381
Joined: Tue 24 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: United Kingdom, Various

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby jaws » Wed 24 Aug 2005, 14:40:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DesertBear2', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '
')The banks are the hardest working business of our economy.


Yes, banks are one of the hardest working businesses in the economy. Unfortunately, they are not always the smartest. The list of bubbles that have been way over-financed by US Banks and have eventually crashed is a long one and includes the following-

*Agricultural land boom of the 1970s
*Domestic oil boom of the late 70s and early 80s.
*Real estate boom of the 1980s, especially in California
*Stock market boom and crash of the 1990s-2001
*Savings & Loan Debacle
*Third-World lending boom in the 70s and 80s
*The present "mother of all RE booms". Of course, they are busy approving each and every inflated mortgage loan and passing the hot potato down to the FNMA to avoid the ultimate risk of holding the loan. Not to mention all the cash-out refinancing operations- sometimes with 125% principles that wrap in all the accumulated short-term consumer debt so that the loan-holder is immediately underwater.

Yes....very busy indeed.
The banks are just seeking to take advantage of the Fed's credit creation. If they didn't, someone else would and all those bubbles would have popped up anyway. Are you going to fault homebuilders for taking advantage of the bubble? Let's ban homebuilders, they participated in a bubble!

Notice that this string of bubble started right after Nixon took the country off the gold standard and unleashed a wave of inflation on the economy. There's the real origin of your bubbles, not the banks.
User avatar
jaws
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1228
Joined: Sun 24 Apr 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby newellm » Wed 24 Aug 2005, 23:17:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')By your logic there should be an infinite amount of money in circulation. Everytime someone takes out a loan they put that money into a bank somewhere else, thus increasing the deposits in that bank.

...

It quickly blows up to infinityand money would be essentially valueless.


It's not my logic, it's reality. It takes people wanting to borrow money in order to increase the credit supply, so it doesn't always go up even though it can.

I couldn't find any newer graphs in short order, but these tell the story.

Here's the bank's assets
Image

Hmm, why would they be able to aquire "assets" so quickly? Because "assets" are just someone else's debt, more money that was created out of thin air.

Here's the total outstanding debt.
Image

35 trillion dollars, expanded by 15 trillion dollars in 6 years!

Image

Notice how mortgage debt went up at almost the exact same pace as bank assets? Hmmm.

Matt
User avatar
newellm
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 15
Joined: Tue 19 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby newellm » Wed 24 Aug 2005, 23:18:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')By your logic there should be an infinite amount of money in circulation. Everytime someone takes out a loan they put that money into a bank somewhere else, thus increasing the deposits in that bank.

...

It quickly blows up to infinityand money would be essentially valueless.


It's not my logic, it's reality. It takes people wanting to borrow money in order to increase the credit supply, so it doesn't always go up even though it can.

I couldn't find any newer graphs in short order, but these tell the story.

Here's the bank's assets
Image

Hmm, why would they be able to aquire "assets" so quickly? Because "assets" are just someone else's debt, more money that was created out of thin air.

Here's the total outstanding debt.
Image

35 trillion dollars, expanded by 15 trillion dollars in 6 years!

Image

Notice how mortgage debt went up at almost the exact same pace as bank assets? Hmmm.

Matt
User avatar
newellm
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 15
Joined: Tue 19 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby nero » Wed 24 Aug 2005, 23:40:00

newellm,

Try to look past your antipathy towards banks for a moment and try to see if what you believe is really true. Does every deposit mean that the bank can then loan out 10 times as much as was deposited? What about instances where there isn't any reserve requirement? Say a term deposit. Does one dollar in a term deposit mean then that the bank can lend out an infinite amount of money?
Biofuels: The "What else we got to burn?" answer to peak oil.
User avatar
nero
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1433
Joined: Sat 22 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Ottawa, Ontario

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby CrudeAwakening » Thu 25 Aug 2005, 06:50:27

Nero, what I think newellm is getting at, is that a deposit expansion by the fractional reserve system eventually converts the initial deposit of $x into total deposits of $10x (assuming a reserve ratio of 10%), with the difference of $9x being made up of loaned money.

So in fact, the banking system as a whole loans out nine times the amount that was originally deposited, these loans constituting the increase in the money supply which occurs under fractional reserve banking.
User avatar
CrudeAwakening
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 834
Joined: Tue 28 Jun 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby CrudeAwakening » Thu 25 Aug 2005, 07:18:05

I should add that total deposits still exceeds total loans, as each individual bank can't loan any more than is deposited with it. I think the confusion arises because the loans themselves become deposits when they are spent.

The tenfold increase in loans over deposits (actually, its ninefold, but anyway) relates to the original deposit, and doesn't include the redeposits from the loans themselves.

Hmm, maybe I'm just confusing people..
User avatar
CrudeAwakening
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 834
Joined: Tue 28 Jun 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby shady28 » Thu 25 Aug 2005, 08:30:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('newellm', '1'). You guys are completely wrong with your reserve requirement math.

If a bank has reserves of $1000(checking deposit) and a reserve requirement of 10%, then the bank is allowed to loan not $900 dollars, but $10,000.

Why.

Because the amount of deposits required is the reserve requirement multiplied by the liabilities. 10,000 * 0.1 = 1,000

...

P.S.
The bank with that deposit of $1000 has loaned out $10000 at 10% interest(historically not a high interest rate). The bank is now profitting $1000 per year from that $1000 dollar deposit, for doing virtually no work(except for employing some pencil pushing monkeys). The guy who deposited the $1000 dollars gets maybe $50, or 50/1000 = 5% of the banks profits.



This is just flat out wrong.

A bank cannot lend more than its deposits. Doing so would be 'creating money' and only the Federal Reserve banks can do that. The banks are required to keep 10% of deposits on hand either in vaults or in reserve with the Federal Reserve banks. This does not mean they can lend out 10x their deposits, it means they can lend out 90% of their deposits. There is a big difference.

http://www.ny.frb.org/aboutthefed/fedpoint/fed45.html

"Reserve Requirements and Money Creation
Reserve requirements affect the potential of the banking system to create transaction deposits. If the reserve requirement is 10%, for example, a bank that receives a $100 deposit may lend out $90 of that deposit. If the borrower then writes a check to someone who deposits the $90, the bank receiving that deposit can lend out $81. As the process continues, the banking system can expand the initial deposit of $100 into a maximum of $1,000 of money ($100+$90+81+$72.90+...=$1,000). In contrast, with a 20% reserve requirement, the banking system would be able to expand the initial $100 deposit into a maximum of $500 ($100+$80+$64+$51.20+...=$500). Thus, higher reserve requirements should result in reduced money creation and, in turn, in reduced economic activity."
Welcome to the Kondratieff Winter
User avatar
shady28
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 412
Joined: Wed 06 Jul 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby Markos101 » Thu 25 Aug 2005, 09:52:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Markos101', 'n')ero and jaws, you're both incorrect.

The banks do create money, however there are several intermediate steps, like so:

Bank A starts up with capital of £10,000. It can lend £9,000 based on 10% reserve.

Bob borrows £9,000 from Bank A, and puts it in his savings account, Bank B.

Now Bank B has £9,000 and can lend £8,100 based on 10% fractional reserve.

Bill borrows £8,100 from Bank B.

Bill spends the money. Bob has still not paid back Bank A.. £8,100 has just been created, out of nothing, from Bob's £9,000 loan.

Mark


Shady, what the FED have said is exactly the same as what we are saying, you've just been confused by the numbers. Read the above.
User avatar
Markos101
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 381
Joined: Tue 24 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: United Kingdom, Various
Top

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby CrudeAwakening » Thu 25 Aug 2005, 16:48:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shady28', '
')
This is just flat out wrong.

A bank cannot lend more than its deposits. Doing so would be 'creating money' and only the Federal Reserve banks can do that.


True, a bank can't lend out more than its deposits. But it can create another deposit by lending money. This is created money (M1), whereas the Fed creates the monetary base M0. Don't be fooled into thinking only the Fed can create money.
User avatar
CrudeAwakening
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 834
Joined: Tue 28 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby jaws » Thu 25 Aug 2005, 17:22:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CrudeAwakening', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shady28', '
')
This is just flat out wrong.

A bank cannot lend more than its deposits. Doing so would be 'creating money' and only the Federal Reserve banks can do that.


True, a bank can't lend out more than its deposits. But it can create another deposit by lending money. This is created money (M1), whereas the Fed creates the monetary base M0. Don't be fooled into thinking only the Fed can create money.
They can create money substitutes, not actual money. People treat these money substitutes as money because they know that the banks can just get money from the federal reserve at any time to pay back the money substitutes. It is 100% convertible into real money. If the banks could not do this (there was no central bank) then every time you wrote a check against your checking account the receiving party would cash it immediately for real money, drawing down the bank's reserve, thus the bank's ability to create money substitutes would be limited. Banks would have to limit creation of money substitutes or face insolvency.
User avatar
jaws
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1228
Joined: Sun 24 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby newellm » Thu 25 Aug 2005, 17:29:29

I realize now that i was wrong with my reserve requirements for net transaction accounts, however, that doesn't change the reality that "banks" create money out of thin air.

With a reserve requirement of 3%(institutions that have net transaction accounts totalling less than 47.6 million, ie most local banks), the banking system can loan out over 15 times the amount of original deposits. Is my math wrong? If it isn't than the banks ARE creating money from thin air.

And lets get something clear, these "reserves" are just dollars, either in the vault, or digits in a federal reserve computer. They are backed by nothing but confidence(not mine).

And this is just the one part of the "banking system", once we get into mortgage backed securities, derivatives, and other banking system creations, you come to realize that there is no limit to total credit under the current system(even without the fed creating the money), except the limit to peoples desire to borrow.

The reality of the situation is that the fed and the gov want the total money supply to inflate as much as possible, because that makes the current debt relatively smaller, but they don't want consumer prices to rise too quickly, so they try to funnel the credit creation into areas where it won't be chasing consumer goods. That's why housing is perfect, because they can give people some cash through refi, they can increase corporate profits, taxes, provide jobs, etc.

If we look at the macro view of what is happening, they are increasing the total supply of dollar credit exponentially, but most of it is just in financial assets. When the borrowers finally stop borrowing at a fast enough rate to keep credit expanding, then TSHTF. At that point asset values will be falling and wages and employment will be falling, people will be forced to cash in on these financial assets, and when they do there is a good chance they will want real goods in return. When this happens on a macro scale we will see rising prices like crazy. This is deflation and rising prices. Something many people can't seem to understand, including economists.

The fraudulent banking system is a creation designed to fail, but in the meantime it is making some people very very wealthy for doing no real work.

Matt
User avatar
newellm
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 15
Joined: Tue 19 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Is Banking A Scam?

Unread postby Markos101 » Thu 25 Aug 2005, 21:34:46

Hi Matt,

I agree in that it is a system doomed to fail. I think peak oil and peak gas will correspond to peak food, and peak energy. All of these things will reduce the ability for centralisation, which is a good thing indeed.

Mark
User avatar
Markos101
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 381
Joined: Tue 24 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: United Kingdom, Various

Previous

Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

cron