by spudbuddy » Wed 24 Aug 2005, 11:49:39
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')re most Americans *really* stretched that thin? I doubt it.........At least, I HOPE not!
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Perspective:
I remember in November of 2002, I drove from the Canadian border to Iowa, and I had $100 to pay for about a 750-mile trip.
Coming down from Buffalo, I made it all the way into Ohio before I had to gas up. I was driving an Intrepid at the time.
My fuel needle was just touching the red....
I didn't feel too "intrepid" at the pump...but I filled up about 85% of the
tank with a little over $14 worth of gas.
That would be at least $35 now....and I'd run out of money on the same budget.
And that's the point:
My pay raises in the last 3 years would keep pace with about a $17 or $18 fillup.
I think a lot of people out there are in that boat.
Think about the ratio of your weekly pay spent on gas.
In 1974, I bought my first car. It was a 4-cylinder Toyota with a wonky plate over the carburetor that reduced it to a 2-cylinder (which I didn't know at the time)...that resulted in me getting motorcycle gas mileage.
At the time, I could fill that car up for about $4....(in the States it would have been less than $3)....and even with a small tank, I could still get almost 400 miles per tank, including city driving.
(This raises interesting questions about the future of 2-cylinder cars)
however....the "Smart" car notwithstanding....great idea for a single worker going to work alone with a briefcase...
the smart car is basically a glorified motorcyle...can carry no more than your average Harley.
but I digress.................
My point is this:
Back then, I earned about $100/week. I paid about 3 or 4% of my weekly take-home pay on fuel.
If your take-home pay is now $400/week and you spend $50/week on gas (about 350 miles@approx.20mpg...and that's low for a lot of people)
you're spending 15% of your weekly income on fuel.
The pay went up by a factor of 4.
The gas price went up by a factor of 5.
In 1974 I drove about a mile and a half to work.
Lots of people now put over 500 miles on their car every week.
Unless they make real good money, they could be seeing 20% or more of their weeky take home pay going on gas.
As others have mentioned...that's a lot of otherwise disposable income that would have been spent on other things.
Something else to contemplate: The petrochemical industry.
Agribusiness / drugs / plastics / ..........so many things use oil, and their prices will all climb, too.
If you live in suburbia, and your family operates 2 cars, and your lifestyle dictates that 2 adults drive long distances to work every day, plus shopping trips, plus chauffeuring kids....you are locked into a consumption pattern there is no escape from.
About 67% of the North American population lives this way, to some degree.
That is a
lot of disposable income disappearing at the pumps.
Picture your average sizeable subdivision spending what amounts to an extra 35k every day at the pumps. That's anywhere from 5 to 10 million dollars annually that isn't going into the local economy.
This money shift will kick our butts for sure (as if they aren't already hoofed around the block.)
The short answer - incomes are not keeping pace with the rising cost of gas. (or any other fossil fuel consumption, for that matter.)
When cheap oil ends, cheap living ends with it.