by Starvid » Wed 17 Aug 2005, 18:44:04
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('neo', 'A')s long as most of the electricity can be cheaply supplied by solar power, all we are going to face is just a lifestyle change instead of a doomsday scenario.
Absolutely wrong. Peak oil in NOT an energy crisis, it is a liquid fuel crisis! (Or really an energy carrier crisis).
We already have practically unlimited cheap electricity in the shape of hydro, wind and nuclear power. This is not the problem. Oil is the problem. Cars are the problem. Transportation is the problem. Solar stirling electricity will not change this. At all.
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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Starvid
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by Starvid » Wed 17 Aug 2005, 18:54:42
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', 'Y')es. There is. There are a hundred of liquid fuels that could replace oil. It's not a liquid fuel crisis. It's a cheap liquid fuel crisis.
Of course cheap, but that is of course what I mean! What does it matter if you can buy $ 10 000 a barrel Saturnus oil?
edit: What I am saying is that there is no energy crisis. More energy, from whatever source, won't solve this problem. Solar stirling will not affect peak oil to or fro.
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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by Googolplex » Wed 17 Aug 2005, 20:54:26
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('neo', 'A')s long as most of the electricity can be cheaply supplied by solar power, all we are going to face is just a lifestyle change instead of a doomsday scenario.
Absolutely wrong. Peak oil in NOT an energy crisis, it is a liquid fuel crisis! (Or really an energy carrier crisis).
We already have practically unlimited cheap electricity in the shape of hydro, wind and nuclear power. This is not the problem. Oil is the problem. Cars are the problem. Transportation is the problem. Solar stirling electricity will not change this. At all.
Of course you are factually correct, but you are still wrong. Not being able to use our cars as much is hardly a doomsday scenario! Its a very significant and painful forced lifestyle change that will severly affect nearly all parts of our lives, from where we can work to the cost of our food, but he is quite right to say that as long as the electricity keeps flowing we're a LONG way from doomsday. Our society runs on electricity, its the only truly universal energy form. Other forms of energy, such as liquid fuels, are in the end mostly used as portable surrogates. Secondary sources for when its more conveniant and/or cheaper then powerlines or batteries.
by EnergySpin » Wed 17 Aug 2005, 22:08:22
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')Portable surrogate? Is that a sperm donor on a skateboard?
![XXspermy [smilie=XXspermy.gif]](https://udev.peakoil.com/forums/images/smilies/XXspermy.gif)
pstarr stop touching yourself , you will go blind/deaf

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by Googolplex » Thu 18 Aug 2005, 01:05:40
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'Y')ou are confusing me. That hurts my head
I meant the facts you pointed out were correct, but that your interpretation of the facts that it will be a doomsday type scenario was incorrect.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'T')he fact that you used the word "run" just above should tell you something. "Run " pretty much describes the movement of goods and services. This "running" is almost exclusively powered by petroleum.
But the movement of goods and services COULD be accomplished without petroleum. Assuming sufficent electricity, we could power our farms electrically and produce bio-fuels, power electric vehicals for local distrobution (including trains), produce hydrogen, and even power TDP plants if we had to.
On the other hand, without sufficent reliable electricity, we could have an infinate supply of oil and society would still be set way back. When the traffic lights, office lights, computers, phones, and internet go offline; when the electric grid fails us, then we are TRULY screwed.
To put it simply: Electricity can be made to accomplish anything. If we have enough electricity, we can convert it to any other form of energy we may need. Their is also no substitute for it. It is the only energy form that our modern society is truly 100% dependant on no matter what, and can never function without.
Electricity is everything.
by Googolplex » Thu 18 Aug 2005, 05:48:12
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'Y')ou need to understand that much of our electricity is generated from fossil fuels including coal, petroleum, and natural gas, which is also peaking. Petroleum comes first, then electricity.
Of course, I completely understand. That has nothing to do with my point however.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'A')ll of the alternative energy souces you mentioned...
I didn't mention any alternative energy sources. Are you sure you are looking at peoples names when you read posts? I did mention many forms of energy that electricity could be converted to, some fairly efficiently, some at significant losses.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '.')..depend on cheap petroleum for their creation. Virtually all the crops we plant, harvest, process, and ship owe their existance to petroleum fertilizer, biocides, and production. This includes bio-fuels like methanol and bio-diesel and agricultural waste products in TDP
They only depend on those things in order to maintain the current volume. If they depended on those things to be produced at ALL, then we would have had to be pumping petroleum and running refineries back in the hunting and gathering days, millenia ago.
What does this have to do with our modern societies dependance on electricity?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'Y')ou also stated that "movement of goods and services COULD be accomplished without petroleum." That is a very big COULD. Right now most of the transport infrastructure is depends on petroleum. To convert to electric cars, trucks, cranes, forklifts, loaders, long-distance trains, etc. would take a project larger than any attempted. Do you see anyone starting this? How long would such a project take? Peak oil is not waiting for your good intentions.
by Starvid » Thu 18 Aug 2005, 10:21:00
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Googolplex', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('neo', 'A')s long as most of the electricity can be cheaply supplied by solar power, all we are going to face is just a lifestyle change instead of a doomsday scenario.
Absolutely wrong. Peak oil in NOT an energy crisis, it is a liquid fuel crisis! (Or really an energy carrier crisis).
We already have practically unlimited cheap electricity in the shape of hydro, wind and nuclear power. This is not the problem. Oil is the problem. Cars are the problem. Transportation is the problem. Solar stirling electricity will not change this. At all.
Of course you are factually correct, but you are still wrong. Not being able to use our cars as much is hardly a doomsday scenario! Its a very significant and painful forced lifestyle change that will severly affect nearly all parts of our lives, from where we can work to the cost of our food, but he is quite right to say that as long as the electricity keeps flowing we're a LONG way from doomsday. Our society runs on electricity, its the only truly universal energy form. Other forms of energy, such as liquid fuels, are in the end mostly used as portable surrogates. Secondary sources for when its more conveniant and/or cheaper then powerlines or batteries.
You are right. Doomsday is not approaching. Lifestyle change is.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', 'T')hings in this world still run on oil for electricity to power homes. Right now though, the world still uses a lot of oil to power itself, so in theory it could provide a cheaper alternative to...well other alternatives.
by Googolplex » Thu 18 Aug 2005, 23:03:29
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', 'H')e didn't say "we already have practically unlimited cheap electricity in the shape of hydro, wind and nuclear power". I did. And I do not believe in the silly doomsday scenarios.
My, how embaressing! Still, he did disagree with my response to your post, so that statement is important to the context of that response.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')etroleum is not our primary source of electricity.
Im sorry, you are correct. That was a mistype on my part. I meant 'fossil fuels', as in oil, coal, natural gas, et al. Sorry bout that! I'll correct it in my original post.
I still stand by my conclusion though, that electricity is the key, and its availability will determine the fate of our modern world, not fossil fuels.