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THE Detroit Thread (merged)

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THE Detroit Thread (merged)

Unread postby NevadaGhosts » Fri 04 Mar 2005, 03:13:28

Detroit auto makers are in serious trouble. It's just another sign that the US economy is heading for a big crash. Maybe Toyota can save Detroit. 8O $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')eneral Motors and the Ford Motor Company, two of the state's three largest employers, said Tuesday that their sales continued to fall last month. With both company's shares trading near annual lows, they are cutting the number of cars and trucks they plan to produce. G.M.'s production cuts are particularly deep, spreading economic distress across the region. That has left Ms. Granholm little choice but to redouble the efforts to diversify, both beyond cars and towards other carmakers.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]On Tuesday, G.M. said its February sales fell 12.6 percent and it would produce 10 percent fewer vehicles in the second quarter than a year before. On Wednesday, in a note to investors titled "G.M. Meltdown," a Merrill Lynch analyst, John Casesa, said the company's production cuts put earnings of major domestic suppliers of auto parts "at risk." The two largest American suppliers, the Delphi Corporation and the Visteon Corporation, already have junk bond ratings and are wading through red ink. The Lear Corporation, which makes auto seats and interiors, sharply scaled back its earnings projections on Tuesday.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat includes wooing Toyota, the company that has taken more business away from the Big Three - G.M., Ford and the Chrysler division of DaimlerChrysler - than any other. Michigan is currently fighting in court to push through a deal to sell public land to Toyota that would allow the company to expand a technical center near the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor. A developer who outbid Toyota by $16 million has sued to block the deal, but courts have sided with the state.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut facing a projected deficit of $773 million in the state's budget for the fiscal year starting in October, she is also proposing a range of cuts that include arts programs and financial assistance to thousands of private college students. She plans to close three state police posts and a fire investigation unit and wants to overhaul the state's tax code.
"We have cut and cut and yet we still have the unemployment rate we have," she said.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n the last few years, Japanese and European automakers have introduced their own S.U.V.'s and made inroads into the pickup market. Making matters worse, the Big Three have tens of billions of dollars worth of pension and health care obligations for retirees, far more than competitors based in nations with more socialized health care systems.
link

and... Despite Defect, G.M. Keeps Selling S.U.V. $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]General Motors continues to sell its 2004 Saturn Vue despite voluntary recall of about 25,000 vehicles in August after government tests showed Vue's suspension system collapsed during rollover testing; GM has sold more than 10,000 in last three months from dealer lots, and most of them were not fixed before they were sold; GM has fixed only few thousand of quarter-million existing Vue models because it takes time to procure new suspension parts for so many vehicles; 2005 models were fixed before they left factories.
What's up with that?
Last edited by Ferretlover on Wed 04 Nov 2009, 09:19:29, edited 3 times in total.
Reason: Moved to Americas Discussion, merged with THE Detroit Thread.
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Unread postby savethehumans » Fri 04 Mar 2005, 04:53:03

The spinoff of Desperate Housewives--Desperate Automakers!

Looks like if they saw all this coming, it came earlier than they expected! :razz:
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Unread postby pea-jay » Fri 04 Mar 2005, 05:08:07

If Detroit cannot figure out that high oil prices are here to stay and cannot feature more energy efficient and smaller models because they fear the US market wouldnt "accept" a downsized model then they deserve to be left in history's dust bin.

Of course, Toyota will eventually end up there too.
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Unread postby Jack » Fri 04 Mar 2005, 07:54:49

NevadaGhosts, when you say that Detriot automakers are in serious trouble, you understate the case (IMO).

First, the Chinese are working to exporting a Lexus grade automobile for 30% less money. That's got to put a crimp in earnings.

But GM can't do much about cutting costs. They have massive pension obligations under previous labor contracts. So as price pressure increases, they are caught between the proverbial rock and hard place.

Ultimately, I suppose they'll follow the airlines into Chapter 11 bankruptcy - which will result in a transfer of their workers' pensions to the Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation....an already underfunded entity that will itself need a taxpayer paid bailout.

The retirees who retired before 65 will have their payments reduced substantially, furhter injuring the area economy.

Given the level of deficit in our economy, I cannot help wondering it the U.S. can afford any of it. I rather doubt it. 8)
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Explosion at EQ Resource Recovery near Detroit

Unread postby BabyPeanut » Wed 10 Aug 2005, 18:54:54

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Unread postby Eli » Wed 10 Aug 2005, 19:58:48

You know what this plant also works with and which is not being widely reported. Chemical plant$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he blasts occurred at a plant owned by EQ Resource Recovery Inc., which, according to its Web site, "specializes in fuel blending, chemical recycling, recoverable petroleum products, oil recycling and nonhazardous wastewater treatment services."
How much do you want to bet it was a coker that blew up.
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Re: Explosion at EQ Resource Recovery near Detroit

Unread postby BabyPeanut » Thu 11 Aug 2005, 07:40:06

This is the second time I have seen a refinery get reported as a chemical plant. I was at the gym waiting for my personal trainer and a close-captioned TV had CNN on and it talked about a chemical plant explosion. I got home and the news on the Internet said it was a refinery. This is why I posted this article about a chemical plant explosion--I expected it was probably a refinery.
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Re: Explosion at EQ Resource Recovery near Detroit

Unread postby KevO » Thu 11 Aug 2005, 08:22:13

So yet another hushed up terrorist strike on a US plant. Damned Iranians. this news is coming from China and as yet nothing on US news boards - not even at the home page here! ?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')trong explosions rocked a northern US chemical plant Tuesday night, sending fireballs and huge smoke columns high into the sky and prompting hundreds of people to evacuate their homes.

The plant is located in Romulus, a suburban town near Detroit, some 640 km northwest of Washington DC, and the blasts happened shortly after 9 pm, according to local TV news reports. By Wednesday afternoon, flames and smoke are still rising from several tanks in the plant complex. Firefighters had no estimate when the fire will be extinguished.
Is there anyone here on the forum from Detroit area?
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Re: Explosion at EQ Resource Recovery near Detroit

Unread postby BabyPeanut » Thu 11 Aug 2005, 09:09:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KevO', 'S')o yet another hushed up terrorist strike on a US plant. Damned Iranians


doubtful (unless you were joking)

read this:
http://peakoil.com/fortopic10999.html
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Re: Explosion at EQ Resource Recovery near Detroit

Unread postby oiless » Thu 11 Aug 2005, 10:59:33

It was a chemical plant/refinery. It was on the Detoit TV station for hours, watched it here for hours on the west coast of Canada. Tuesday evening.
I believe EQ is part of the Safety Kleen group of companies, and the plant was lisenced to handle all kinds of poisonous crap, industrial waste chemicals of all types, used solvents, used oil, cutting oils, PCB's, ethelene glycol, things that have names I can't remember, you name it, it was, or could have been there.
They evacuated people out to a one mile radius finally. If I had been near that thing I would have been running for the hills. Depending what was burning, think increased cancer rates, increased birth defects, decreased fertility, shortened life span.
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THE Detroit Thread (merged)

Unread postby Eli » Mon 15 Aug 2005, 12:21:03

Detroit Urban Hell Hole.: You know a City is in trouble when people exhume their dead relatives so they do not have to go to the city. Detroit Hell hole

I want to put forth an argument against Kuntlers vision of revitalized urban living. To be honest I have not read much of what he has written but I have read enough to know that he definitely hates American suburbia and it biases his witting.

Kuntslers glories in the fall of suburban living and sees a return to urban centers with mass transit and walkable streets. I agree with him to a certain extent but I think many large American Citys have gone to far for this vision to come to fruition. I may be agreeing with him more on this point I am not sure.

Citys like Detroit and Cincinnati that have already seen white flight and urban blight are not going to go through a renaissance in the future. More likely a death spiral where they will turn further and further into crime hell holes with decaying buildings and no hope for the future and dwindling tax base. Crappy education and schools and under funded police and fire departments will mark there future. And all those lovely Stadiums and arenas downtown will be half filled and no one will drive to them in their hummer unless they have 50 cal. mounted on their hood.

What I think will happen is you will see is that some of the best places will be the Suburbs. Especially the ones in out lying areas closes to agriculture. The suburbs will be modified and you have more local redevelopment in smaller areas. But suburbs where people live will be changed and improved for more local living.

You are not going to see redevelopment in our decaying metros. Crime and blight will strike there first and kill that before it begins. What you will see is all these burbs break off from City centers and become more self sufficient communitys. The ones closer to farms will be better off and those further from urban will also be better off.
Last edited by Ferretlover on Tue 07 Jul 2009, 09:01:25, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Merge thread.
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Re: Detroit Urban Hell Hole.

Unread postby holmes » Mon 15 Aug 2005, 13:17:52

and the "god chosen elite" suburbanites spread their vile seed and decay onward and outward. they too will be wollowing in their own death bed hell hole. keep breeding and propping humans up with pharmacueticals and drugs. dig up those bodies and clear out more open spaces for dead fucks bodies. cremation? Oh the horror! And the inner cities arenet to keen on getting community together and cleaning up. They want others to do it for them. dependent. sad. It will never end till the end. Dont change it. then die. lots of greed. expand. expand. expand. solve them problems.

http://www.wcp.net/column.cfm?T=T&ID=2199
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Re: Detroit Urban Hell Hole.

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Mon 15 Aug 2005, 13:37:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'Y')ou know a City is in trouble when people exhume their dead relatives so they do not have to go to the city.

Detroit Hell hole

...citys like Detroit and Cincinnati that have already seen white flight and urban blight are not going to go through a renaissance in the future.


I think it's interesting that you bring up a couple of Rust Belt cities that essentially sold their soul for the life of the automobile - real cities that subsituted authentic 'urbanity' for the ephemeral 'modernity' of the suburbs. You're absolutely right - cities that try to 'act' like suburbs will never win, and will be amongst the first to fall post-PO.

However, I do not share your feelings that suburbia will fare well at all post-PO. The only ones that will survive relatively unscathed will be those constructed well before the domination of the automobile society (pre-WW2). They were largely organized around the early streetcar and rail systems (think San Francisco, Philly Main Line suburbs, etc.). All forms of suburbia constructed 1950-present will fare commensurately worse, as their vital transporation networks are limited to multitudes of single vehicles going in a thousand different directions. Without the car, these suburbs aren't workable without massive demolition of the labyrinth of cul-de-sacs and arterials, which would be asinine compared with starting 'anew' in the countryside. The 2 & 4 acre 'ranchettes' at the fringe of cities might fare a little better because of their arable land, but their haphazard development will ensure their collective demise, because it will not be possible to procure all of one's daily needs on 2-4 acres without resorting to a collective 'market' (read: car).
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Re: Detroit Urban Hell Hole.

Unread postby Novus » Mon 15 Aug 2005, 13:42:22

I agree with Kuntlers vision of the future that the suburbs will die and cities will experience rebirth. Maybe not Detroit because its' fate is tied to the car but other cities will do well such as: New York, Boston, Chicago, San Fransico, Portland, Seatle, Atlanta, ect.

All the suburbs will die. Some of the rural ones will turn into 19th century style small towns with a walkable main street. The suburbs that are linked with mass transit will survive by turning into small urban centers clustered around the transit link. If you live anywhere where you need a car to get around that life will come to an end in short order.
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Re: Detroit Urban Hell Hole.

Unread postby Trindelm » Mon 15 Aug 2005, 15:10:36

The suburbs may not necessariy die as there lies the potential of busses and a neighbor's SUV may be the designated grocery-getter of the block.
People (myself included) that hoped Peak oil will end wal-mart may be in for an interesting surprise.
If they concentrate food, services, household goods, gardening equipment in 1 place, then they will fare very well, albeit suffering profit losses for a few years as the economy adjusts to post peak.
As far as die-offs, probably alot of old-folks that freeze or fry since they cannot afford the energy bills. Small scale riots, same scal as LA in 92 if you tallied the damage from isolated incidents over the months.
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Re: Detroit Urban Hell Hole.

Unread postby Eli » Mon 15 Aug 2005, 15:16:46

I do not buy Kunstlers vision of the death of the suburbs. Hecomes off to me like biased dork with an ax to grind.

I do think there will be some suburban blight and decay, as there will be plenty of decay and blight to go around.

I am just putting forth the point that there are going to be plenty of suburbs that become self sufficient communitys. People moved out to the suburbs for good reasons like good schools and good neighborhoods they are not going to give that up. The corner grocer will make a come back along with bike lanes trolleys and buses.

Suburbs will become functioning separate communities, hell allot of them are now that is why lots of downtowns and city centers are now empty.

The way we build things will change for sure, but lots of empty barren suburb ghost towns are a doomer fantasy.

As offen as not the city will come to the suburb as the surburb back to the city.
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Re: Detroit Urban Hell Hole.

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Mon 15 Aug 2005, 15:27:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', '
')Suburbs will become functioning separate communities, hell allot of them are now that is why lots of downtowns and city centers are now empty.


Many suburbs have all the ingredients of the city: jobs, homes, retail, industrial, parks, schools, etc. What exactly makes a suburb a suburb, then? The best comparison of the banality of a suburb to the vitality of a city (or small town) is that of how a pizza is made. In both cases, all the ingredients are there. In one, the ingredients are mixed up thoroughly and a delicious mix of synergetic urbanism is made. In the other, the sauce is far from the meat, which is far from the cheese, which is far from the olives, which is...well, unappetizing, good schools notwithstanding. The point is that because suburbs are close adherents of segregated zoning and low density, there will always be a need for its inhabitants to have individual cars to facilitate them, whereas the city/small town needs no such conveyance. The fact remains that suburbs don't function without the luxury of the automobile ready at hand.
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Re: Detroit Urban Hell Hole.

Unread postby holmes » Mon 15 Aug 2005, 15:33:03

reality has an ax to grind.
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Re: Detroit Urban Hell Hole.

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Mon 15 Aug 2005, 15:35:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'T')he corner grocer will make a come back along with bike lanes trolleys and buses.


Show me where to put the trolley stop. Oh, and the corner grocer. Do you put one at every street corner? No matter what you do, it's a gigantic waste of money investing in this type of development. In fact, the car is probably the most efficient method of transportation here. Wonder why?

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Re: Detroit Urban Hell Hole.

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Mon 15 Aug 2005, 15:45:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emersonbiggins', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'T')he corner grocer will make a come back along with bike lanes trolleys and buses.


Show me where to put the trolley stop. Oh, and the corner grocer. Do you put one at every street corner? No matter what you do, it's a gigantic waste of money investing in this type of development. In fact, the car is probably the most efficient method of transportation here. Wonder why?

Image


That suburb is fairly dense.

You could put a bus stop or two in there and send people out to the city for work.

The setup of the suburb in that picture is workable.

People will have to walk a little bit further to get to a bus stop or a grocery store, but you can knock down a few houses and replace them with stores.

The bad suburbs (hopelessly car dependent) look like this.

Image
Last edited by Tyler_JC on Mon 15 Aug 2005, 15:58:42, edited 1 time in total.
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