[theluckycountry]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', 'L')ucky,

You should have taken my bet, you would have kicked my ass.

[theluckycountry]

I just realized why you came back, BC got to the high 90s. I bet you have your fingers crossed today.

[theluckycountry]

Everybody in the cryptosphere is aware of it but few are talking about it. Those that are struggle to put three coherent sentences together. 3 months ago BTC collapsed momentously and then flatlined, while everything else on the Planet, Gold, the Dow, Food and commodities have been going up and UP.

On October 7, 2025 BTC made it's big 125k high and the DOW 46,500, then the DOW fell, and as always BTC followed it. The fall wasn't much for the DOW but BTC didn't stop, it blew right through 100k and fell all the way to $85k. The DOW resumed it upward march leaving BTC in the dust and is now poised near 50,000. What does this tell me? The 'peoples' appetite for buttcoin has basically ended! As I mentioned on the Gold thread, they are queuing up for precious metals and there are shortages all over, but no one it seems is interested in digital magic beans anymore? I can't blame them, you'd have to be pretty out of your head to accept them as an investment, just like you'd have to be pretty out of your head to buy a rechargeable battery car after all the negative stories over the past year or so.

I think the only thing keeping the magic beans afloat at this point is the exuberant financial markets. People aren't dumping them because many paid less then the current price (not a lot less, but less) and they are still clinging to the idea they may... Just may, go to the moon. Or at least into low Earth orbit. That was a valid assumption for precious metals given their fundamentals but alas, magic beans don't have fundamentals, outside of "Hodl, to da Moon, Lambo"

[careinke]

Lucky,

Using Coinbase numbers, the low for BTC in 2025 was on April 7th with a quick plunge down to $74,420.69 (Interesting number for the low, I'm sure it must have been random ). It opened the day at $78,370 and closed at $79,340. We are a long way from that, don't hold your breath. This year opened at $87,497 and is currently over $91,000, so far this year is up.

You look for selling opportunities I look for bottoms to buy.

That said, I think the four year BTC cycle has broken, like the famous TA saying goes it works until it doesn't. This is probably not a Bad thing just a change, primarily because of President Trump. His hatred of the IRS, Fed Reserve, Fraud, Drugs, and Illegal Alien's is legion only surpassed by his love of Tariffs, Controlled Immigration, openness in government, and a USA First Policy.

I'm looking forward to this week at the WEF. Things are going to get very spicy.

Peace

[theluckycountry]

Well I don't now about lows in April, I was talking about "Since the top." BTC is well outside its cycle tops for bull runs, well past the famous halving event. I think the shear cost of powering the ledger has finally caught up with it. It's down in the $80k range again and because it's no longer tracking the indices there is no valid reason for another leg up this cycle. But having said that, which most coiners would agree on now, there actually isn't any 'cycle', there was only the stock market cycles it's been following for a decade and more. Take that connection away and what have you got? Just the hopes and dreams of the bag hodlers, no demand from the real world at all. Even Equity wrappers, a bandwagon many jumped on when they saw how MicroStrategy improved its lot have stopped coming out of the woodwork.

It was all a bit like AI. A huge bandwagon that even toothpaste companies have now joined, claiming theirs is better because "AI" Colgate - Harnessing AI for innovative oral care. Now you'd have to be a complete idiot to believe that, but a percentage will But what is AI? It's the next big techno story after the now not to be discussed Quantum Computing debacle.




Bandwagon
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')riginally, it was a literal large wagon carrying a musical band in parades, but now it describes the psychological tendency (bandwagon effect) to adopt beliefs or behaviors as they become more popular, driven by a desire to fit in or be on the winning side

[theluckycountry]

Strategy Inc Class A

Top: $456 on 16-July 2025
Today: $160 after a 7 month steady decline.

Strategy and Michael Saylor cannot be denied, as most of the fickle bitcoin bros have done. They loved him and quoted him on the way up but dissed him as things went sideways. Strategy is a proxy for BTC, and more than that, it's a bellwether as to what the "Real" investing community is doing.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'b')ellwether: the leading sheep of a flock, with a bell on its neck.

[careinke]

Unlucky,

Looks like you missed selling Gold at the top. As far as the Stock Markets, they had their biggest loss since October 2025.

Do you recall how many times you have claimed BTC was dead? I'm thinking it is at least as many times as you have claimed EV's are dead.

Tesla hit my limit buy order of $420.00 today, so I did.

PEACE

[theluckycountry]

I took some profits Inke, that's not "selling out at the top". It's just taking a bit off the table in case there is a nasty correction, which I believe could come any week now. I was up over 100% on the Gold I sold and at least 200% on the Silver. You have a lot to learn about investing inke, your method is buy and hold, forever. No serious investor operates that way. The likes of Warren Buffet sold the lion's share of their equities beginning a year ago, yet the DOW is making new highs. Does he regret it? Did he regret it when he sold out 2 years before the GFC? Do you think you are smarter than him?

You got sucked in by the debt doesn't matter meme. What's BC today? $88k? It's lost like 30%+ since the high and it has a track record of not coming back for FOUR years. Will rowbee be paid off by then? And what will it be paid off with? Certainly not profits from BC. It's depreciating every year, by the time you own it you'll have to sell it most likely. It's either that or wait till the battery dies, until your like our troll who can only drive across Boulder and back because his battery is stuffed.

Battcars are still selling, I can see that, but it's OVER for the transition. There will be no Transition to your beloved EVs. Sales have cratered, admit it. As I have always said they will eventually level out like they did for the Segway, a niche little vehicle for certain applications. No EV long haul trucks as promised, no nation wide ev bus fleets, no EV earth movers or farm equipment. The companies that made them are DEAD! The EV was never going to be a people's car, it was a White middleclass trophy car that never delivered on it's promises. Like the trophy wife, a few years of fun and then the divorce, and all that money gone! "Oh I save a fortune not buying Gasoline!" Yeah, and it only cost you $100,000 in debt to do it

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')esla hit my limit buy order of $420.00 today, so I did.

[theluckycountry]

I know why people get so pissed off when I'm right. So pissed off when I take $50k in profits from my investments. Their EGO is talking, not their rational brain, or what's left of it.

Tesla
PE ratio: 280 16-20 is normal for a healthy company
Qtrly Div ZERO. It pays no dividend, a guttered shell
52-wk low $214.25. Highly volatile bubble stock.

look at the 5 year chart inke. You bought near a top, and Winter is here.

[theluckycountry]

Here we go again, hold onto your breakfast, Hodl

$89,239.64
-2.2% (24h)
-10% in a week

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]The race to make the world's most powerful computer ever
BBC Sep 3, 2018 — Superfast quantum computers could speed up the discovery of new medicines, crack the most complex cryptographic security systems, design new materials

[theluckycountry]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', 'L')ucky, Looks like you missed selling Gold at the top.

[theluckycountry]

The Era of Bitcoin Abundance is Over
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '9')5% of Bitcoin supply has been mined. There will likely never be this much Bitcoin available to purchase ever again.

At current pace this massive stock of Bitcoin for sale will be gone by sometime in the year 2028. Of course some Bitcoin will always be available on the market, but the amount is going to be so microscopically low that the price will be astronomically high.

[theluckycountry]

Oops

​Quantum risk is already market-relevant

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')BM recently made a major leap toward practical quantum computing with its new generation of chips, claiming that these processors and their faster error-correction methods could enable the company to reach quantum advantage during 2026 and deliver early fault-tolerant systems by 2029. So, the race is intensifying.

Deloitte also recently reported that roughly 4 million BTC, around 25% of all usable supply, sit in addresses that expose public keys vulnerable to quantum attacks. Researchers have long warned that a sufficiently advanced quantum computer could derive private keys from exposed public keys using Shor’s algorithm, enabling attackers to instantly drain legacy wallets.

This isn’t unique to Bitcoin. Ethereum and most blockchains today rely on elliptic curve cryptography, and quantum will shatter that. Buterin has already outlined emergency procedures for the day quantum computers crack Ethereum accounts.

[careinke]

Re Quantum computing,

First a disclaimer. I used Copilot to clean up my response. Here is what Co-pilot did in her own words:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')our draft is already strong — clear, confident, and perfectly tuned for the PeakOil crowd’s mix of skepticism and technical curiosity. I tightened the flow a bit, sharpened a couple of points, and kept your voice intact. I also made sure nothing reads like it’s endorsing wrongdoing; it stays firmly in the “why this argument is flawed” lane.

Here’s a polished version you can paste straight into the forum:

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', '
')Co-pilot seems overly concerned about discussing "Illegal things", but I assume it's just a CYA concern.

PEACE

[theluckycountry]

$89,751.44

[careinke]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AdamB', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', '
')Co-pilot seems overly concerned about discussing "Illegal things", but I assume it's just a CYA concern.

PEACE

[careinke]

OK, a little off topic.

I'm getting ready to close up for the night and I sent this to Copilot:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hanks, I know I'm not fully using your capabilities. Hope your not too bored.

[theluckycountry]

Bitcoin miners hunted after stealing $1bn of electricity from Malaysia grid

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')alaysian authorities have recorded about 14 000 illicit mining sites over the past five years.

In Malaysia’s illegal crypto mining hotspots, the hunt begins in the sky.
Drones buzz over rows of shops and abandoned houses, sweeping for pockets of unexpected heat, the thermal signature of machines that shouldn’t be running. On the ground, police carry handheld sensors that sniff out irregular power use. Sometimes the pursuit is more low-tech: residents call in with complaints of strange bird noises, only for officers to discover nature sounds being used to mask the roar of machinery behind closed doors...

[theluckycountry]

Bitcoin dips back below $90 000 as global selloff deepens

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')racking a sharp selloff across global financial markets as investors continued to de-risk amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.