[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')And that's what you coinheads are facing. Everything you worked for for years, Erased!

[theluckycountry]

When the lights are off for a while, the cockroaches always come out.

[theluckycountry]

It's late Saturday evening across the Eastern hemisphere now, early morning in america. This image explains it. The International date line lies some thousands of km East of Australia, the Red line on the map. I know many will not have a clue what the land masses represent but the big long one on the right is the americas and to the left of the line is Australia, at the bottom, and Asia at the top.



What that implies is that it is now only early Saturday morning in the americas, people are only just waking up and checking their phones for the btc price. Meanwhile a whole day of weekend trading has transpired in the East. Beginning early this morning the btc price began to collapse and collapse fast, eastern peoples were sellers. This is interesting because Asian people are Smart! You go to an American city and you wont find them living in the homeless camps, no they are the ones who own all the businesses and are doing well. Homeless camps are full of degenerate White people and poor blacks, but mostly Whites.

It's interesting too that for 20+ years Gold has been flowing from West to East. Silver too I'd imagine? The Asians and the Eastern Europeans are well ahead of the curve as far as wealth preservation goes. The West, the US and Western Europe are mired in debt and hold only paper/digitals like stocks and btc. Most btc is held in the US. Pockets full of digital promises, digital nothings. It's no stretch either to see where this self-impoverishing behavior came from, government enforced Private pensions. In the East those don't exist, people just naturally look around for value, buy land, buy Gold, buy anything tangible that they believe will hold it's value as they age. many average Asians do engage in the stock market but to them that's clearly a gamble, not their retirement savings.

The Western peoples have been literally Herded into paper assets, assets any stock analyst will tell you are vastly overvalued by traditional metrics like price to earnings ratios. But since their income depends on them peddling these stocks they keep quiet and talk about "Growth" companies. Take Tesla for example, it's valuation has and still is tied to it growing bigger and bigger. It's a (don't worry, the money will be there in the future) kind of thinking. But any growth it experienced on the way up the battcar Bubble was negated by the massive cash burning, now it's a dead shell. Robots! That's what the Growth angle depends on now. Robots that for all practical purposes don't exist! Tesla is not selling Robots, and even if it was, the Chinese are so far ahead of what Tesla is parading around stage they could come in and wipe them off the table. Just like they did with their cheaper rechargeable battery cars.

But that one company is just the tip of the phony stock iceberg, crypto, the millennials darling, is likewise just an empty promise. Only a lazy brain-dead generation could have been sucked in by that ponzi scheme. And so they were, dragging a few million greedy old debt laden Boomers along with them. So it's daytime in America now, they will be waking up, having their first bowl of $1 noodles and logging on to "buy the dip" The baghodler of last resort, the tapped out US consumer. Remember the Great Recession, the GFC. It wiped 50% off the paper markets overnight and wrecked many companies. That's your risk, ignore at your peril.

peakOil is you

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', ' ') Remember the Great Recession, the GFC. It wiped 50% off the paper markets overnight and wrecked many companies. That's your risk, ignore at your peril.

[theluckycountry]

Sending Love to you Inke

[theluckycountry]

$40,000 down from the top AGAIN!



And the DOW is still partying like it's 1999.
What's going on??? BTCs not doing what we want. Bitcoin has to go up because of the inflation, because of the economic turmoil, Because they are PRINTING like crazy!

[theluckycountry]

Same ol same ol, when the market opened this morning the Americans bought the dip and pushed the price up a bit. They seem to be the baghodler of last resort, Asia sells during their trading day.

So why did the crypto, I know, I know, Bitcoiners don't like to call it a cryptocurrency anymore because Saylor said so and because there is a real stigma attached to it. So we call it a commodity now, like if we stopped calling the Tesla a car and started calling it a refrigerator. Same sort of thing hey

Anyway, so why did the cryptos + the commodity BTC, disconnect from the stock markets a few months back? Why are not going up to new highs like the DOW et al? I think I know, and you won't like the answer, but a true believer in the White paper should like the answer. After all one of BC main tenants was that it was free of market and government control... RIGHT? Well I think the big institutional players are done with it. I think they are now simply selling into the market and not buying. Boredom? Perhaps, or perhaps there are bigger fish out there to fry. Either way this is happy new for all those dweebs stacking Sats, they can have as many as they want at ever lower prices. All they have to do if buy the Dip. Just buy the Dip.

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')Anyway, so why did the cryptos + the commodity BTC, disconnect from the stock markets a few months back?

[theluckycountry]

I remember when I was calling the top, back in May 2025 @$110,000. You can never time a top perfectly, but anyway I advised inke to sell, to get out while he could! If you're going to make a break from a bad investment you have to act decisively. Inke was convinced though it would be $200k by... Now basically, and laughed me off, though there was no ration reason to believe in the 200 price tag. Well now it $87k, a booked loss of $24,000. Over the same period Silver has risen 70%. And that of course was the instrument I was advising buying. Yes, financial advice, sue me

Gold, for those that don't own any, like Inke and the Troll, would have been a smart call too. Everyone should own some Gold. But Silver was the runaway train due to the Gold/Silver ratio being so out of wack. Anyway, it's all academic now isn't it, coiners are gonna have to ride this bear market all the way to the bottom in the belief, the shaky belief, the stress filled belief that in 3 years it will rise from the ashes yet again. I don't think any hodlers believe in the bull now, they are all agreed the bear has reasserted itself.

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', ' ') If you're going to make a break from a bad investment you have to act decisively.

[theluckycountry]

IF it hits $100,000 again I'm out forever

I remember a client expressing this sort of sentiment back in 2005, about Silver of all things. Well I suppose it didn't matter in his case, he's probably dead by now, and he owned several blocks of units so he wasn't shy on a buck. But he'd bought in to the 1970's Silver bubble toward the top and lost quite a bit when the price collapsed. That was a real lesson for me, don't buy into an exponential curve near the top, which is basically what this whole generation of coiners have done. They brag about how BC was once super cheap, as though that is evidence that today's prices are super cheap and it will go on to be worth a million dollars. But nothing could be further from the truth. The simple fact that this multi year leg up barely out did the last says it all. 1000% gains are an anomaly.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')’m beginning to realize that Bitcoin will likely never be viewed as a true store-of-value asset by institutions or individuals who manage trillions of dollars. The risk profile is simply too high, and its price behavior continues to closely mirror that of technology equities. In theory, Bitcoin is an extraordinary technological innovation. However, when evaluated strictly as a store of value or a potential replacement for gold, that narrative appears increasingly untenable. This current market cycle reinforces that conclusion. Amid rising geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty, gold and silver have surged, while Bitcoin has declined—behaving not like a safe haven, but like a high-beta risk asset. As a result, my framework for Bitcoin has changed substantially. I now view it less as “digital gold” and more as a speculative technology asset—closer in behavior to large-cap tech stocks than to monetary metals. That shift in perception seems to be occurring more broadly across the market as well. If this narrative transition continues—from store of value to tech-like risk asset—it would not be surprising to see Bitcoin trade materially lower from here.

[theluckycountry]

"Peak Bitcoin?"
https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/market ... crash-1929

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '[')b]IF it hits $100,000 again I'm out forever

[theluckycountry]

The typical post
- If you bought $100 of Bitcoin in 2010 and watched it go to...

The logical replies
- I lost an old harddrive from my farming bitcoin at the time for fun. about 500 bitcoin on it. if I had access to it over the years I would have made a whopping 250-500$ at most. noone took bitcoin seriously at the time so when it got to 1$ I would have sold it and SCORE! a cdwriter 2x or whatever.

- OP is forgetting about the more likely scenario. Bought $100 in bitcoin in 2010 and then threw away laptop hard drive or thumb drive or floppy disk or whatever. Then watching it go from $1k → $100k → $1.7M and being able to do nothing.

- Everybody regrets selling bitcoin for fiat, but nobody ever regrets using it for the ounce of weed back in 2010. It may have been life changing weed, or any happy moment in time associated with it.

- I mined ~250 btc over the summer in 2012 and sold them between 4 and 32$ each. last purchase was like 6 btc for borderlands 2 which i never got around to playing

- I was gonna put a couple of grand in Bitcoin in 2013. I know exactly what would have happened to it, because I know I would have just copied exactly what my friend did, and I would have watched it go up in smoke on Mt Gox like his did.

But there are/were a few BC whales who bought in and never sold, until now. Big sales from old wallets are coming out of the woodwork. I guess they know the writing is on the wall.

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'T')he typical post
- If you bought $100 of Bitcoin in 2010 and watched it go to...

The logical replies
- I lost an old harddrive from my farming bitcoin at the time for fun. about 500 bitcoin on it. if I had access to it over the years I would have made a whopping 250-500$ at most. noone took bitcoin seriously at the time so when it got to 1$ I would have sold it and SCORE! a cdwriter 2x or whatever.

[Armageddon]

I’m down 50k messing with this stupid shit. Oh well, my silver and gold gains dwarf that. I’ll never stick another penny in the crypto shitcoin scams. I still have 20k in XRP, maybe I’ll make my 50k back. Doubtful.

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Armageddon', 'I')’m down 50k messing with this stupid shit. Oh well, my silver and gold gains dwarf that.

[theluckycountry]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'O')ver 120k remember Inke. That's what stinkcoin needs to achieve to surpass it's previous high in inflation adjusted terms. Just sell the crap while you can and be done with all the stress. You have enough of that on your plate now with that Battcar you went deep into debt with.

[theluckycountry]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', 'T')hought I'd stop by and say thanks for the money I've been making. You are the BEST reverse indicator I have EVER used, keep it up, pretty sure you are batting 1,000.

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')Well, nothing lasts forever does it...