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PeakOil is You

Conventional Crude Oil Production

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Conventional Crude Oil Production

Unread postby theluckycountry » Mon 06 Jan 2025, 06:03:55

Norway Doubles Down On Oil And Gas
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Norway's oil and gas investment is expected to reach a record high in 2025, driven by new exploration activity and increased demand for Norwegian gas. While Norway is a leader in renewable energy, it continues to invest heavily in oil and gas production, raising concerns about its climate commitments.
Norway aims to balance its oil and gas production with decarbonization efforts through... blah blah blah
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-Gene ... d-Gas.html

Bottom line? If you have untold oil and Gas wealth you can afford to fritter away a portion of it on boondoggle renewable energy systems. The nation is small and has a population of 5.5 million. By comparison Shanghai's Population is 24.87 million! How many solar panels do they need in Norway :P

They have hydro up the wazoo too, and GAS! They consume 27,178 cubic feet of natural gas per capita every year and have a yearly Surplus of 5.5 Billion cubic feet. Those bastards are toasty warm and living high on the hog. Norway, another Lucky Country, just too bad it's no good for motorcycle riding half the year.

Lots of "Cheap" fossil fuels: Great lifestyle
Depleting fossil fuels: collapsing societies

Seattle Public Schools Sees Alarming 20% Spike In Student Homelessness
https://www.kuow.org/stories/a-troublin ... s-students

Unlike most other European countries, Norway has experienced a steady decline in the number of homeless people in recent decades. In 2020, the number of homeless people fell to 3,325.
Three thousand out of 5 million,not even worth counting.

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We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: Conventional Peak Plus Unconventional Equals What?

Unread postby AdamB » Sun 17 Aug 2025, 10:25:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'T')he more I read and listen to official deniers (like oil executives and optimistic analysts) the more the story on conventional oil seems to be that we're at or very near peak. It's sometimes referred to as the end of "easy oil" or "cheap oil". There appears to be almost universal concensus on that (though there are always exceptions).


Can YOU pick these conventional oils off a list Tony? The local parrot can't (hardly a surprise that a pea brain can't)...whereas children can pick their favorite meal off a menu. Can you? Most likely not, as newer posters, albeit uneducated ones, can't do it after decades of watching that oil trend in a different direction, as compared to oil in general.

Did you notice that Hubbert never claimed "conventional oil" was what his bell shaped curve was about?
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."

Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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Re: Conventional Crude Oil Production

Unread postby theluckycountry » Sat 30 Aug 2025, 08:28:52

Russia Uncovers 511 Billion Barrels of Oil Beneath Antarctica: A Find That Could End the Continent’s Era of Peaceful Use
https://indiandefencereview.com/russia- ... ceful-use/

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')It’s More Than All the Oil Ever Extracted from Earth”: Russian Discovery Sparks Global Uproar as Energy Powers Clash Over Control
https://www.energy-reporters.com/news/i ... r-control/

Could be a genuine second start. Nothing yet on the logistics of getting the oil out and away, but where there's a will there's a way. For the American readers, Antarctica is a large continent (a Big Land) down at the south pole.

Image

The Weddell Sea region where the oil was discovers (by seismology) is within the British Antarctic Territory. it's a direct sailing from there up the Atlantic ocean to England, that is if it gets drilled, and if the Russians don't simply stake a claim and take it for themselves.
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: Conventional Crude Oil Production

Unread postby AdamB » Sat 30 Aug 2025, 10:17:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '[')b]Russia Uncovers 511 Billion Barrels of Oil Beneath Antarctica: A Find That Could End the Continent’s Era of Peaceful Use
https://indiandefencereview.com/russia- ... ceful-use/


The article says they discoverd "reserves". They did not. And some asshat that can't pick conventional oils off a list wouldn't know the difference anyway. But please, feel free to pretend that hopes and dreams are the same as actual oil. Didn't you manufacture some oil hopes and dreams near the Falklands once before? And it turned out, as expected, that you don't know dick about oil there either? Stick to riding kangaroos.

Like Australians pretend this is an Olympian.

Image
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."

Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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Re: Conventional Crude Oil Production

Unread postby theluckycountry » Thu 04 Sep 2025, 18:25:18

Time to touch base with PeakOil.

The Fall and Rise of Peak Oil
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t’s now been close to fifteen years since the Peak Oil movement collapsed and lost whatever temporary grip it had on public awareness. We could doubtless have an interesting conversation along the lines of “did it fall or was it pushed,” and there may be a point to that conversation a little further down the road. For now, though, I think something more basic is called for: an update on where we are just now on the long slow slope of Hubbert’s curve, and what we can expect in the years immediately ahead.

Now of course if you mention that possibility among most of those few people who still remember the phrase “peak oil” at all, you can count on a horse laugh. After all, they’d claim, the entire peak oil theory disproved itself in the wake of the 2008-2009 spike and crash of petroleum prices. Peak oil theorists supposedly insisted that sometime very soon, we’d all hear a horrible gurgling noise from deep within the earth as the last barrels of crude oil got sucked up the pipes, for all the world like that disappointing sound that comes at the end of every root beer float.

That, so the theory went, would be the end of petroleum once and for all. Thereafter, since there would be no more petroleum, and the single largest share of the world’s energy consumption (including nearly all its transportation) is still made up of crude oil and its derivatives, the whole world would go hurtling down into chaos and mass death.

That was what the Peak Oil movement predicted, so the claim goes, and it didn’t happen. Instead, the 2008 spike in world petroleum prices sparked a frantic quest for more sources of liquid fuel, and since big profits could be made by coming up with those sources, they were duly found. Thus the whole peak oil theory was based on an elementary misunderstanding of economics, and we can therefore safely ignore it as a guide to the future. Right?

That’s the claim, at any rate. It is certainly true that there were people—some of whom should have known better—who were associated with the peak oil movement, and who retailed some version of the claims just outlined in books, blogs, public events, and the like. Still, the peak oil movement didn’t speak with a single voice on this or any other subject. Notably, there were quite a few people deeply involved in the peak oil movement who pointed out that the believers in this version of overnight apocalypse were quite simply deluding themselves, rehashing Hollywood fantasies and warmed-over Christian apocalyptic tropes under the mistaken notion that they were talking about the real world.

This less gullible group of peak oil theorists pointed to many lines of evidence, from petroleum geology, history, economics, and ecology, that showed that there would be no sudden collapse. Instead, they argued, what the world was facing was a long, ragged descent from the peak of industrial society, taking many generations to play out completely. They predicted in so many words that each crisis brought about by petroleum depletion would be followed by massive and at least temporarily successful efforts to find new sources of liquid fuels, and to jerry-rig industrial society so that the effects of the crisis could be contained.

Furthermore, they argued, petroleum depletion could only be understood correctly in the light of a much broader perspective, in which the depletion of a very large number of nonrenewable resources and the disruption of a good many environmental cycles all played important parts. Our planetary predicament didn’t have a single cause, and therefore it couldn’t be fixed by a single solution—be that some new energy source (cough, cough, fusion power), restrictions on a single pollutant (cough, cough, carbon dioxide), attempts to rebuild community in social contexts that had discarded it (cough, cough, the Transition Town franchise), or any of the other loudly ballyhooed gimmicks that embraced peak oil back then as part of their marketing plans.

So what fix did the thinkers we’re discussing propose? They didn’t. That’s exactly the point. They proposed that industrial civilization was moving through the usual life cycle of complex human societies, at the usual pace, toward the usual destination, and that this movement would define the future in which we all would live...
https://www.ecosophia.net/the-fall-and- ... -peak-oil/

And that as they say folks, is where we are today, in a world of slowly collapsing economies, and lifestyles. I was fooled by the early doomsayers, but only for a few years It turns out though that was positive, because without the impetus I doubt I would be living a comfortably resilient life out in a rural Australia town now. Solar, on and offgrid, water tanks, we all have those, good savings and investments in precious metals, all the stuff that was recommended to survive the apocalypse that never came but which, as it turns out, is exactly the sort of stuff you need to have for weathering the slow collapse we are experiencing.

While crime rises in the cities due to poverty, and food and electricity prices go up and up, many people are pulling their hair out, blaming the current political establishment, when in fact they are simply living through the downslope of the age of Oil. While hundreds of deluded amateurs sit in internet circles masturbating over the latest cheery IEA data on non-conventional oil, they themselves are struggling to pay their bills and keep the fridge full. We have more oil then ever they tout! Yet for some odd reason this hasn't flowed on into their personal lives. "It's the rich" they claim, they are stealing all the profits. Yet in the same breath they will praise the work of Elon and his cohort that are bringing A.I. to the world. The savior of mankind, even as it overloads electricity grids and drains water reservoirs. Very dysfunctional people...

@ $20 bbl and less it was no problem to build a new Dam or expand the electricity grid, you just did it, but not today. Today they struggle to get the funds to replace a single bridge in a major city. And it's all across the world, nations starved of oil revenues going tits up. Indonesia, a once oil rich nation and member of OPEC has long depleted it's reserves and now today the entire country of 283 million people are rioting in the streets. They are hungry, not yet starving, but they see the political class giving itself pay rises and are up in arms. Such peoples are no strangers to riots but it's on a whole other order of magnitude now. Like Haiti, the violence is off the charts, the same in many third world nations, Sri Lanka, Myanmar, even England and Ireland are on the verge and there it's over immigration. Foreigners coming in and competing violently for the crumbs of the oil age basically.

Unfortunately for most in the wealthier Western nations though the false narrative of PeakOil being a one off doomsday event that never came has locked them into the 20th century abundance mindset and now they can't understand why their cities are in general decline? They vote in a new party, but things get worse, they vote them out and the others back in, and things continue down. Worse still many can't even see this slow degradation? It's the frog in the pot problem, "sure things are worse now, but they have been bad before..." These are still above water, they aren't working 3 jobs or living in a homeless encampment yet, but they are heading in that direction. Retirement on a federal pension? What's that like now after the big rises in food and electricity, insurance and other general costs? The pensions don't have to collapse, they just have to not keep up and before long you eating stale bread in a dark house, saving your pennies for the property tax bill. "Yes but I have a private pension fund" Yes, and it's value is pegged to the US stock market, which is the most inflated and overpriced market on the planet. If that collapses...

Well the nations have been through these downturns before they say, but it's not PeakOil, that was fake, the apocalypse never came...
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: Conventional Crude Oil Production

Unread postby AdamB » Thu 04 Sep 2025, 21:56:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'T')ime to touch base with PeakOil.

The Fall and Rise of Peak Oil


YUGE copy and paste from the parrot that can't pick his favorite oils off a list! What does a parrot know about peak oil? Nothing! That's why Lucky is a parrot!

Just imagine, if Australia thinks THIS is an Olympian, can you IMAGINE how ignorant a neoNazi that can't graduate high school must be?

Australian Olympian.
Image

Normal Australian neoNaziub buddies of Lucky.
Inside home growth neo-Nazis plotting Australian revolution....parrots only allowed.
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."

Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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