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THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Discussions of conventional and alternative energy production technologies.

Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby ralfy » Mon 12 Aug 2024, 20:28:22

"We are wasting $2 trillion a year chasing ‘green’ fantasies"

https://nypost.com/2024/08/11/opinion/w ... fantasies/

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')ountless studies show that when societies add more renewable energy, most of it never replaces coal, gas or oil. It simply adds to energy consumption. Recent research shows that for every six units of new green energy, less than one unit displaces any fossil fuel. Analysis in the United States shows that renewable energy subsidies simply lead to more overall energy being used.

...

But on top of that, a true transition would also require politicians to impose massive taxes on fossil fuels to make them less desirable. McKinsey estimates the direct price tag to achieve a real transition at more than $5 trillion annually. This splurge would slow economic growth, making the real cost five times higher. Annual costs for people living in rich countries could be higher than $13,000 per person per year.


The implication is that using alternative energy sources will still take place because of a resource crunch, but the same crunch will affect those sources as well. Meanwhile, the global economy which relies on those sources will need more energy each time because it's capitalist (that means it's driven by competition and profit-making) and most of the world population that relies on it have not attained all basic needs plus have wants which the minority "haves" are counting on them to have via increased production and sales needed to guarantee more profits (hence, profit-making).

The transition cost for at least people living in the First World will be more than $10,000 a year, and will subsidize the Third World.

In short--and the writer doesn't realize making this argument--the $2 trillion waste is inevitable but not for purposes of going "green".
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby mousepad » Tue 13 Aug 2024, 06:22:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', ' ')the global economy which relies on those sources will need more energy each time because it's capitalist (that means it's driven by competition and profit-making) and most of the world population that relies on it have not attained all basic needs plus have wants which the minority "haves" are counting on them to have via increased production and sales needed to guarantee more profits (hence, profit-making).


That's one hell of a sentence. Just say everybody (from 1st to 3rd world) wants more stuff. And more stuff requires more energy to make. BTW. This has nothing to do with capitalist. Go back to the good old soviet onion. They also wanted more stuff. And used energy to make it. Just a lot less efficient that capitalists. Hurray for capitalism!!! That makes stuff most efficiently.
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby theluckycountry » Tue 13 Aug 2024, 06:57:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', '&')quot;We are wasting $2 trillion a year chasing ‘green’ fantasies"


SunPower Went Bankrupt Despite Huge Subsidies

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Wall Street Journal reports Another Green Energy Subsidy Bust

The 39-year-old SunPower is the latest solar rooftop business to fail this year. Others include Titan Solar Power and Sunworks. SunPower cited a “severe liquidity crisis caused by a sharp decline in demand in the solar market and SunPower’s inability to obtain new capital.” The IRA boosted solar subsidies, so why has demand fallen?
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/sunpower-ba ... 5#cxrecs_s
PeakSolar.

Ford is Losing $100,000 on Every EV

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')espite subsidies, a report says Ford is losing more than $100,000 on each EV. Ford is reducing spending on EV plans by $12 billion. Ford is estimated to lose $5.5 billion from its Model e division in 2024.
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/ano ... ns-tariffs
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby theluckycountry » Fri 01 Nov 2024, 08:20:31

So let's assume trump wins, looking very likely?

Trump's Potential Treasury Pick Vows Spending Cuts In Partnership With Musk
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')illionaire John Paulson said he would work with Elon Musk to cut federal spending, particularly by reducing green energy subsidies, if appointed Treasury Secretary under Trump’s administration.
Paulson shared these comments during a Tuesday interview with The Wall Street Journal. “All of these tax subsidies for solar, for wind, inefficient, uneconomic energy sources. Eliminate that. That brings down spending,” he told the media outlet.

He specifically mentioned targeting green energy subsidies in the Inflation Reduction Act, which he referred to as the “Green New Deal.”
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/tru ... rship-musk

This is of course closing the gate once the horse has bolted, because the alternate energy sector has been collapsing for a YEAR now with home solar and offshore wind projects being cancelled. Convenient isn't it? Just when it's pointless to keep subsidizing them the Swamp, of which I include Trump, turns back the clock.
I would say this was the plan all along, the money has been made by the corporations and wall street at the taxpayers expense so wrap it up and move on, just like the middle east wars, corporate profits achieved, mission accomplished. But for the incumbent political party to turn back would be embarrassing and that's why they have Two parties. Both have the same goal in mind but they take turns and by the time the 'other' party gets back in office, all if forgotten.

But that's just a wild conspiracy isn't it. So you go line up next week and vote for A again, or B, and convince yourself it matters :P

And don't forget, Musk is your Hero, he's given you back your free speech with Twitter :lol:
He's Neo in the Matrix, Spooner in irobot. The "One" who comes along at the darkest hour and saves you while you sit on the couch munching Cheetos.
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby theluckycountry » Mon 06 Jan 2025, 05:27:19

Germany's Solar Industry Crushed By Demand Slump, Bankruptcies And Layoffs

But Kubs told me solar and wind were the future? That they were cheaper than fossil fuels and, well, renewable and all that.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') slump in consumer demand has led to bankruptcies and layoffs in Europe's largest rooftop solar market. Many installation and distribution companies have gone under, been acquired, or had to change strategies. The oversupply of panels has driven prices down for consumers, but industry leaders warn it is deterring investors and jeopardizing a key sector for Europe’s climate goals, according to Financial Times.

So cheaper solar panel prices means bankruptcy for installers? That doesn't make sense.

Image

ukraine war, rising interest rates, blah blah blah blah blah. The thing is the Europeans are still using energy, as much as they can afford, from whoever they can get it from. So why not solar and wind if it's so great? Because it's SHIT that's why. Solar in Winter, Hahaha, very dubious up there, not that flash here in sunny Queensland either at 32' south.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')rising costs and reduced demand.
There it is, rising installation costs, connection costs. With all the inflation we have seen those home systems would be 30%+ more by now. They are down here.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/lot-d ... nd-layoffs
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby theluckycountry » Mon 28 Apr 2025, 16:32:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', '&')quot;We are wasting $2 trillion a year chasing ‘green’ fantasies"

https://nypost.com/2024/08/11/opinion/w ... fantasies/


6 Days After Celebrating '100% Renewable Power', Spain Blames "Rare Atmospheric Phenomenon" For Nation's Largest Blackout In History
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')esidents in Spain, Portugal, France, and Belgium report major outages.
Airports and subways shut down, communication networks hit.
Madrid's Barajas Airport is out of service, El Mundo reports.
No official cause confirmed yet. Chaos unfolds

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... r-blackout

People report driving to find open petrol stations...
It's not a bad idea to keep a hundred or so Liters of Gas at home, unless you don't know how to store it safely, or are not too lazy to rotate it occasionally. I bet a few Spaniards will be taking up the habit now :P

passengers off an electric train stranded in the middle of nowhere.
https://x.com/SolanaSensei/status/1916842255458898115

The article blames the lack of conventional "spinning capacity" or grid inertia as the primary cause. Probably so, but I can't help but think back to the early days of Peakoil where they talked a lot about the collapse of the World's electricity grids, basically due to aging and overloading and an inability to rebuild them. Whatever, but the World's grids are collapsing a lot more than they ever have before.

Image


At least the Americans are doing their bit.

Image

On the larger scale (Energy use overall per capita, or per person) More people now, but using less energy. How could it be otherwise. Odd how the decline begins right at the point of Peak conventional Oil production isn't it :roll:

Image
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby theluckycountry » Fri 26 Sep 2025, 19:52:38

China's Green Dreams Shattered
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')lso contributing to the growth in China’s “big three” green industries—batteries, electric vehicles, and solar—has been massive foreign direct investment (FDI), including $227 billion in 2023 and $250 billion in 2024, which is “comparable to the inflation-adjusted Marshall Plan,” according to Business Standard.

The overall result is that China’s clean-energy sectors drove a quarter of the country’s GDP growth in 2024, according to the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air. China now produces more than 80 percent of the world’s solar panels, over 60 percent of the world’s electric vehicles, and at least 75 percent of the world’s lithium-ion batteries and battery cells.

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... -shattered

So yes the export mania is certainly shattered as the world is turns it's back on Green Dreams. Will it crash the Chinese economy? Peter Ziehan would like us to think so, but China is a communist/capitalist nation and doesn't follow the rules of free market economies. Many workers can simply be thrown on the scrap heap with little consequence, and the factories can be scaled back but still run. Wealthy nations like Saudi Arabia, Iran, Australia etc will still be buyers of the practical stuff, the Battcar factories can be converted to making military Drones etc. Same as as happened to US Empire factories in their Glory days of the 1940's.

In the US the rust belt became the rust belt because ALL the industry went overseas, and in many areas the factories themselves were demolished because of property tax laws. It was a lot cheaper to hold a vacant block than one with a structure on it. China's centrally controlled government doesn't need to allow this inefficiency and waste, and though the green revolution is over, there will still be lots of sales of solar and Lipo and even some wind power systems. It's not like any other nation is taking over manufacturing like when the US industry collapsed, they will probably be the last man standing as we go down the backside of M. King Hubbert's curve of oil depletion.

I think I'll set up a moderate bank of Lipo's to take my home off grid overnight, Not the BS Powerwall proprietary stuff, one under my personal control. I have an Electrician who'll set it up for me. They are as cheap as chips compared to Tesla's crap and aren't connected to the internet :)
As we say down here, "Fuck Elon Musk and anyone who looks like Elon Musk."

https://bigbattery.com/products/48v-hus ... multiplus/
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby theluckycountry » Fri 26 Sep 2025, 20:03:52

You drones don't worry about any of that, just keep watching your Ziehan videos and keep buying Elon's expensive crap. Because it's "Made in America" :lol:

American iron Oxide circa 1950

Image

circa 2025

Image

Notice anything different? No, no difference aside from all the Chinese components added.

The rest of the world?

Image
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby AdamB » Fri 26 Sep 2025, 20:53:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')Image


DO you know ANYTHING about Duncan and his theory, or was this just a good graph for you to say stupid shit about....because you DON'T know anything about Duncan and Olduvai?
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."

Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby theluckycountry » Fri 26 Sep 2025, 22:18:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', '&')quot;We are wasting $2 trillion a year chasing ‘green’ fantasies"

Not any more

What went wrong? They pushed the technology beyond it's practical limits. Just like they did solar, and when they put laptop batteries into 2 ton cars. Greedy Idiots.

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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby AdamB » Tue 30 Sep 2025, 19:19:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')What went wrong?


They sourced one of the electrical windings in Australia. Turns out, he was the smartest in the country, so they scooped him up for the rocket program as well. You should get this fella off your space program. At least no vegemite was harmed by this Australian mistake.

Image
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."

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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby theluckycountry » Wed 01 Oct 2025, 23:05:38

Americans working hard to power their homes.


Image


Australians doing the same.


Image

Coal is now an alternative energy source. An alternative to Blackouts.


Image
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby AdamB » Thu 20 Nov 2025, 17:25:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '[')b]Americans working hard to power their homes.


Indeed.

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Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby theluckycountry » Thu 20 Nov 2025, 17:50:29

The World
Powered by Superior Australian Coal


Image
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby AdamB » Thu 20 Nov 2025, 22:22:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'T')he World
Powered by Superior Australian Coal


The world? You mean....mostly CHINA halfwit.

As those who understand data have mentioned, I'm glad you are proud of being not much more than a mining colony for folks in Asia. I'm surprised your King allows it..but hey...its your King. Good luck with that.

Image
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."

Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby theluckycountry » Fri 21 Nov 2025, 03:12:03

Image

Maybe GoOgLe ay eye was right? As once mighty nations collapse they do use less and less energy. Probably should get an updated chart, but then again, who cares. It's a long long way away and not of any importance anyway.
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby AdamB » Fri 21 Nov 2025, 16:47:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '[')img]https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/6e/US_Per_Capita_Consumption_of_Electric_Energy.jpg[/img]

Maybe GoOgLe ay eye was right?


Possible. If it came off your keyboard it can probably be immediately dismissed as rubbish. Why did it stop at 2017? Could it be that not only are you stupid, but can't even cherry pick information without giving away how uneducated and ignorant you are in general?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')As once mighty nations collapse they do use less and less energy.


Your reference was to ELECTRIC energy dumbass. Of yesteryear. Not energy. Go learn the difference....find a 8 year old to explain it to you, With all the oil and natural gas and coal and renewable energy the US produces.....more than any other country IN THE HISTORY of the world most likely....doesn't sound like collapse.

Any other delusions American citizens with brains can educate you ignorant foreigners on?
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby theluckycountry » Tue 16 Dec 2025, 20:54:33

Climate change doom-and-gloomers are finally bowing out— and showing that common sense
prevails
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n October, the Net Zero Banking Alliance shut down after JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs led a stampede of other banks out the door. Shell and BP have returned to being oil companies, to the delight of their shareholders. Ford is about to cease production of electric pickups that nobody wants. Hundreds of other companies are dropping their climate targets. Australia has backed out of hosting next year’s climate conference.

According to analysis by the Washington Post, it is not just Republicans who have given up on climate change: the Democratic party has stopped talking about it, hardly mentioning it during Kamala Harris’s campaign for president last year. The topic has dropped to the bottom half of a table of 23 concerns among Swedish youths. Even the European Parliament has voted to exempt many companies from reporting rules that require them to state how they are helping fight climate change.

...But decade after decade, carbon dioxide emissions just kept on rising, no matter how much money and research was thrown at the problem. Switching to renewable energy made no difference, literally. Here’s the data: the world added 9,000 terawatt-hours per year of energy consumption from wind and solar in the past decade, but 13,000 from fossil fuels. Not that wind and solar save much carbon dioxide anyway, their machinery being made with coal and their intermittency being backed up by fossil fuels.

Despite trillions of dollars in subsidies, these two “unreliables” still provide just 6 percent of the world’s energy. Their low-density, high-cost, intermittent power output is of no use to data centers or electric grids, let alone transport and heating, and it effectively poisons the economics of building and running new nuclear and gas generation sites by preventing continuous operation.
https://nypost.com/2025/12/05/opinion/c ... prevailed/

Yes Kub, you were wrong, at every turn. I don't blame you for exiting the forum.
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby theluckycountry » Tue 16 Dec 2025, 21:46:13

Does this mean I advocate endless coal burning and gas burning? Of course not! "That all in" one way or the other thinking as to how we will power our civilization for 1000 years was flawed from the very start. People just don't understand how the world works, how it has worked for 5000 years of recorded history.

The "System" all the brain dead are trying to save was doomed from the start! It's a 100 year experiment in burning fossil fuels, and as an experiment it has worked quite well.

1/ We know they are definitely finite now and with current consumption we have little time left.
2/ We know, conclusively, that they poison the environment, the land air and sea. Plastics, gases etc
3/ We know Jevon's Paradox is true, because the world is full of cars and air-conditioners.
4/ And we know, empirically, that we will be screwed without them.

Theory and pure logic prove point 4/ as well, but we only have to look around the world, empirical evidence, to observe that nations that are, or are becoming, energy starved, are getting screwed. That they are being driven back into the 17th century basically. That was before rail revolutionized the world BTW and rail was one of the first casualties of the oil age. In remote towns and villages all across Africa, Asia and even central Europe communities are going back to subsistence farming where as before they were engaged in the global economy. Train lines ran everywhere, the Soviets were very proactive there, but it's all been left to rot and there is often no other practical way for people to get goods in or out of these remote regions as the few roads crumble and wash away.

So instead of fantasizing about a "Transition" from oil and coal, or a revamp of life with the fuels used before the alternate madness, people need to accept the reality that we too will be pushed back toward the 17th century as fossil fuels continue to decline. This great shell game with EV's and Windmills has been fun, and its made trillions for the wealthy of the world. But it's over now, or coming to a speedy end at least. Even England that went full retard on windmills admits it can't integrate anymore into their grid, they are still 50% reliant on Gas, so they are turning their eyes to nuclear. Wrong! Instead they need to turn their eyes toward powering down, like those people in the remote towns where there are no roads and the trains have stopped running.

I'm speaking collectively of course, I have no intent at all to power down. Why should I? I have mapped out the near future based on reality and have no need for austerity. So I run the air-conditioners all day and don't even consider the price of Gasoline. If it ever got that high as to be a concern to me everyone else in the street would be walking. And this attitude of course is what many in the wealthy nations have. It's not a crime, it's just reality. You snooze, you lose.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Jevon's Paradox is the economic principle where increased efficiency in using a resource actually leads to increased overall consumption of that resource, rather than less, because the resource becomes cheaper and more widely used
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Re: THE Alternative Energy Thread pt 4 (merged)

Unread postby AdamB » Wed 17 Dec 2025, 10:47:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Jevon's Paradox is the economic principle where increased efficiency in using a resource actually leads to increased overall consumption of that resource, rather than less, because the resource becomes cheaper and more widely used


The modern economic term is "rebound effect". Grow up and join this century. Peak oilers couldn't even be bothered to learn the right terms, and the mouth open halfwits fascinated by the pseudo science involved certainly can't be counted on to figure it out after a quarter century of peak oil pimping.
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