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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby careinke » Fri 18 Aug 2023, 23:36:58

I still follow Musk, the edge is where all the excitement is.

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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby theluckycountry » Sat 19 Aug 2023, 05:30:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'H')e had a pretty strong following here on PO for a while.


No doubt, a lot of wishful thinkers here. It's understandable though, the majority are not doomer minded out of the box. But after a decade of BS failures even the staunchest supporter must be getting that peculiar feeling in the pit of their stomach. I loved the fully autonomous self-driving car he marketed, here by 2018 he said. Then it was put back a bit, now it's not even spoken of in polite circles. I know I'd be pissed if I bought a car with autopilot only to have it switched off remotely.

Once you subtract the science fiction non-starters, the "Vacuum tunnel trains", the "Manned Mars missions" all you are left with is 60 year-old rocket technology and cars that are not even as practical a the Prius that came before them. I mean honestly, if these useless Teslas had even a small gasoline engine in them attached to a generator they would make a lot more sense given the state of the respective re-fueling infrastructure in our nations. Something like a hardwired 4-kVA Honda generator would be better than nothing, especially if you're stuck in death valley with a flat battery on a hot day. They could have at least covered the horizontal surfaces with hi-end solar panels too, but no, just another energy hungry sports car to woo the debt laden middle-classes.
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby Tanada » Wed 22 Nov 2023, 12:52:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Starship Sails Through Hot-Staging Separation Before Vehicles Are Lost



BOCA CHICA, Texas—A Starship-Super Heavy vehicle lifted off from SpaceX’s privately owned spaceport on the shores of the Gulf of Mexico on Nov. 18, with all 33 of its first-stage Raptor engines burning as it headed into a second integrated flight test (IFT-2) of the most powerful rocket ever built.

With a deep and powerful roar, the 397-ft. Starship-Super Heavy transport slowly rose from its Boca Chica, Texas, launch mount at 8 a.m. EST (7 a.m. local time) with the primary goal of demonstrating a new first-stage separation system designed following the short-lived IFT-1 on April 20.

For the first time, all 33 of the Super Heavy’s methane-burning Raptor engines ignited and remained firing during ascent, with most shutting down as planned 2 min. 39 sec. after launch. The new hot-staging system was designed to leave three engines burning as the Starship upper stage’s six Raptor engines ignited, a technique designed to boost Starship’s payload capacity by 10%.

Super Heavy then separated and unexpectedly broke apart. If it had remained intact, SpaceX had planned to test the Super Heavy landing system with a boost-back burn, followed by a tail-first descent into the Gulf of Mexico.

Super Heavy’s early demise was upstaged by the steady, six-engine firing of Starship, which was aiming for a looping, suborbital trajectory and a soft landing in the Pacific Ocean north of Hawaii about 80 min. after launch.

However, toward the end of the 6-min. burn, SpaceX reported that Starship’s automated flight termination system had triggered, ending IFT-2.

“Ultimately we had an incredibly successful day,” mission commentator Kate Tice said. “Even though we had a rapid, unscheduled disassembly of both the Super Heavy booster and the ship, we got so much data and that will all help us improve for the next flight.”

The Starship-Super Heavy IFT-2 began at 7 a.m., the opening of an abbreviated, 20-min. window. The launch had been delayed one day for replacement of an actuator in a Super Heavy grid fin, used for aerodynamic control during re-entry.

The Super Heavy first stage is the most powerful rocket in history, capable of producing 16.5 million lb. of thrust at liftoff—twice as much as NASA’s Space Launch System rocket and the Apollo-era Saturn V. Both the Super Heavy and the Starship upper stage are designed to be reflown with little servicing between missions.

SpaceX’s first Starship integrated flight test on April 20 ended 4 min. after liftoff after the Super Heavy booster and Starship upper stage failed to separate following multiple engine failures during ascent and the loss of the rocket’s steering system.

The launch also destroyed Super Heavy’s concrete launch mount, which was rebuilt and upgraded with a water-cooled, steel flame deflector. The powerful water-deluge system is designed to mitigate acoustic energy and vibration from the booster ignition.

Company founder, CEO and Chief Technology Officer Elon Musk said the launchpad repairs were among more than 1,000 upgrades and improvements made for IFT-2, including a more robust electronic steering system to gimbal the engine nozzles and a revamped automated flight termination system. The self-destruct system, intended to ensure a failing rocket does not impact populated areas, was used during IFT-1, with some delay.

In addition to vehicle and ground support fixes, SpaceX addressed 63 FAA-mandated corrections to improve flight safety and performance.

SpaceX says all the work was completed in mid-September and the company waited two more months for the FAA to complete its review and issue a launch license. The authorization to proceed with the flight, which was granted on Nov. 15, applies only to IFT-2.

The review included consultations with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and a written evaluation of the 2022 Programmatic Environmental Assessment. The FAA concluded there were no significant environmental changes.

Musk said in October that Starship had a decent chance of reaching orbit on its second try, with the riskiest part of the mission being stage separation.

Hot-staging, which is used by the Russians, is intended to increase the vehicle’s performance and simplify the first-stage separation system. “We’re trying to move to a passive stage-sep [separation] system where you don’t have pushers, essentially, to try to eliminate parts. There’s no interstage, like Falcon 9 has,” Musk told reporters during a program update in October.

“In hot-staging, we throttle down and shut down most of the booster engines, then we light the Starship engines. It’s one of the most efficient ways to do stage separation,” he said. “I’d say that’s the riskiest part of the flight.”

The Starship-Super Heavy stack included a 20,000-lb. “forward heat shield interstage”—a hot-staging ring—with vents for the Starship’s six Raptor engines.

SpaceX is looking to begin operational Starship missions next year, starting with flights to deploy the company’s next-generation Starlink broadband satellites into low Earth orbit. SpaceX would use those Starlink missions to refine techniques and technologies needed to safely reenter and land the Starship upper stage.

SpaceX has been regularly reusing Falcon 9 first stages—the upper stages on the Falcon 9 are not recovered—with the fleet leader completing 18 flights. The latest target is to get to 20 flights per booster, says Bill Gerstenmaier, the company’s vice president of build and flight reliability.


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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby jato0072 » Wed 22 Nov 2023, 14:49:38

I watched the launch on video. I think it would be great to get humans beyond low earth orbit once again. It has only been 51 years since men have been beyond the paltry 300 miles altitude of low Earth orbit.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Google', 'A')pollo 17 (December 7–19, 1972) was the eleventh and final mission of NASA's Apollo program, the sixth and most recent time humans have set foot on the Moon or traveled beyond low Earth orbit.
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby theluckycountry » Wed 29 Jan 2025, 14:46:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')rump Asks Elon Musk To Retrieve NASA Astronauts From International Space Station:
“I have just asked Elon Musk and @SpaceX to ‘go get’ the 2 brave astronauts who have been virtually abandoned in space by the Biden Administration.”

Because you gotta take a cheap political shot where ever you can.
NASA tapped Musk’s SpaceX in August 2024, to return the pair on a Crew Dragon spacecraft.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat craft is already docked with the space station, having flown there for NASA’s Crew-9 astronaut rotation mission in September 2024 with empty seats for the two astronauts. After delays, the mission to return them had been slated for late March.

You get a pretty good insight into the state of the low-Earth orbit program with these timelines. Putting a rocket into space low Earth orbit is a costly affair.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')ost of a launch including the Crew Dragon capsule tallies up to $140 million
SpaceX's CCtCap contract values each seat on a Crew Dragon flight to be around US$88 million, while the face value of each seat has been estimated by NASA's Office of Inspector General (OIG) to be around US$55 million.

That's called capitalism folks. You privatize your industry and the costs skyrocket. But nothing has materially changed since the Apollo and Gemini days, it still costs the Earth to go up and there is no Shuttle service where you can quickly nip up and grab a few astronauts stranded by the failure of their craft. It's a joke they way they present it, like they have made huge progress of late. The engineers all basically agree. Mars is out of the question as far as manned space craft is concerned and the catastrophic failure rate is still 1 in 100 launches. As the Space Shuttle program proved conclusively.

Will these rotating astronauts get home safely? Time will tell, but at 100:1 odds you'd never get me into one of those tin cans. Even mars Rover missions are being cancelled, due to costs, and I doubt he Chinese will ever bother, there's nothing there of value aside from the dreams of Sci-Fi fans.
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby theluckycountry » Wed 29 Jan 2025, 15:00:06

Boeing calls this a Starliner. It looks suspiciously like an 55 year old Apollo capsule to me?

Image


This would be a Star Liner, if such a thing existed. A vessel capable of "traveling between the Stars" :roll:

Image

50 years ago scientists and engineers were taken seriously, today only economists and marketing agencies are. I can only imagine how much investment a gullible public put into Boeing just on the basis of the marketing of their crap space capsule.
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby AgentR11 » Tue 04 Feb 2025, 16:32:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'E')ven mars Rover missions are being cancelled, due to costs, and I doubt he Chinese will ever bother, there's nothing there of value aside from the dreams of Sci-Fi fans.


If anyone could do it, it would be the Chinese, because I think they have the gumption to opt into a "Go and Stay" mentality. Even then though, as you say, there's no economic rationale for a human on Mars. So even though they could pull it off, I'm no longer convinced they'll ever have an interest in doing so. its all for the sci-fi crowd, I guess.

It simply costs too much to escape the gravity well of Earth. Even LEO... so pricy.
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby Tanada » Tue 04 Feb 2025, 18:55:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'E')ven mars Rover missions are being cancelled, due to costs, and I doubt he Chinese will ever bother, there's nothing there of value aside from the dreams of Sci-Fi fans.


If anyone could do it, it would be the Chinese, because I think they have the gumption to opt into a "Go and Stay" mentality. Even then though, as you say, there's no economic rationale for a human on Mars. So even though they could pull it off, I'm no longer convinced they'll ever have an interest in doing so. its all for the sci-fi crowd, I guess.

It simply costs too much to escape the gravity well of Earth. Even LEO... so pricey.


The value judgement involved is the key. If you value making humanity multi-planetary then the launch cost is an obstacle to be overcome, not a stop sign. If all you value is cash in advance then you will never do most things, just those few things with high probability of fast pay-off. Westerners seem to have mostly done away with the idea of long term planning for delayed rewards where the Japanese and Chinese and to a large extent other eastern cultures are still focused on century time scales instead of three month quarterly business statements.
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby theluckycountry » Wed 05 Feb 2025, 01:59:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '
')The value judgement involved is the key. If you value making humanity multi-planetary then the launch cost is an obstacle to be overcome, not a stop sign.


Exactly. In the 1960's when the US was one of the World's major oil exporters and Federal debt was low, when one parent could work and provide for a wife and 4 children and buy a home, it made sense to take some of that extra wealth and go up into space and check out a few worlds. So in today's oil depleted economic environment, are you prepared, willing, to give up your retirement income and go work at wallmart as a greeter, along with 50 million other older Americans, so that they can fund a multi-trillion dollar campaign to build a livable habitat on an airless planet where there are zero life forms and never will be outside of pressurized domes? Because that's the value of it and someone has to pay for it.
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby AgentR11 » Wed 05 Feb 2025, 15:36:04

Something to look into though would be the Moon, as opposed to Mars. Again, the step to go and stay could be very acceptable to the Chinese, and they have made rumblings about such a habitat build out on the Moon. Neither could be self sustaining, but getting supplies up to the Moon is a bit easier than getting them to Mars. Still not much economic use to be had, but it could be a demonstration of national capability in the face of hostile international conditions on Earth. I do think the US lands on the Moon again first though, but its just a replay of the Apollo/SaturnV missions; so I'm having a hard time getting excited about it.
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby theluckycountry » Wed 05 Feb 2025, 17:20:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', '.')..but its just a replay of the Apollo/SaturnV missions; so I'm having a hard time getting excited about it.


All the mars rover missions were fun to watch, nice pictures, interesting technology, especially the innovative way they soft landed the vehicles. But to what purpose? There is nothing there of value, to us. The whole theme was "The search for life" ok, I can see that, but there isn't any, not even a trace of it, now or ever. So lets call it what it is, a failed set of missions. The fact that people, average people mind you, want to actually go there and set up a colony should amaze me but it doesn't.

These are uneducated people who think they will be roaming the hills and drinking water distilled from the ice caps. Mars has no magnetic field. So zero protection from all the murderous radiation pouring out from the Sun. They'd be dead in six months, their bodies a mass of tumors. The ISS orbits within our protective magnetic field, it wouldn't be habitable otherwise.

Space was always about military high ground, that's what drove it, and as with all military technology we quickly saw commercial outfits cashing in with the deployment of TV satellites, the GPS system we all use (and pay for) And now star link (another stupid name) which enables hi speed streaming of pornography and youtube videos along with Gaming feeds. Twitter users can now upload their narcissistic pictures from the remote places they visit Instantly! Yes, the advances of mankind...

Musk's chatter about mars missions is just that, Marketing speeches to bolster his companies and their share prices. He sent a Tesla off on a journey to Mars replete with a dummy driver. Why not spend that money on an actual Mars program? Because there isn't one, and never will be. Aside from a webpage that is. Here, knock yourself out https://www.spacex.com/humanspaceflight/mars/
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby AgentR11 » Thu 06 Feb 2025, 11:51:43

I was talking about our Moon, not Mars... In an aside of sorts.
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby theluckycountry » Thu 06 Feb 2025, 19:03:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', 'I') was talking about our Moon, not Mars... In an aside of sorts.

I know, but it's even a worse candidate isn't it. zero atmosphere, no water, no soil, just... Nothing!

The Americans said they wanted to go back? Why? Because someone else said they wanted to go there is all. The Chinese might but the US never will, far too expensive. Stephen Hawking, who was a good theoretical physicist, thought that made him good at everything (except snooker obviously) His comments about humanity needing to become a two world species just proved he hadn't a clue about Astrophysics or capital flows or Energy systems.

I'm as big a SciFi fan as anyone but I know it's all fantasy, just an escape for the mind. Just like I know that beautiful Asian girls on internet dating sites don't want to fall in love with me, don't want to date me except to use me to fund their escape from poverty.

If these people couldn't make a go of it under the brilliant sunshine and protective magnetic field of Earth, what hope would any colony elsewhere have?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n the 1990s, a troupe of hippies spent two years sealed inside a dome called Biosphere 2. They ended up starving and gasping for breath. As a new documentary Spaceship Earth tells their story, we meet the ‘biospherians’
https://www.theguardian.com/film/2020/j ... 2-lockdown
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby theluckycountry » Fri 07 Feb 2025, 10:04:27

Latest Starship Explosion Trashes Poor Caribbean Island, Leaving The Locals To Clean It Up
Book you Mars flight now, what could possibly go wrong?


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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby AgentR11 » Sat 08 Feb 2025, 14:46:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', 'I') was talking about our Moon, not Mars... In an aside of sorts.

I know, but it's even a worse candidate isn't it. zero atmosphere, no water, no soil, just... Nothing!


Maybe its a worse candidate, if such is really possible. I think its a less bad candidate than Mars, as its less negative value, and more reachable in the sense of current technology and biological reality. Both locations I believer will require 100% support from Earth. Thus the cost of Mars becomes more burdensome, and less responsive because of time of flight.

I do think America wins the race to Moon return, as a flag planting exercise; but its China that I think will do something interesting in the coming years with regards to the Moon. Whether I live long enough to see it, I dunno, getting gray up top!
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby theluckycountry » Sun 09 Feb 2025, 02:44:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', 'B')oth locations I believe will require 100% support from Earth. Thus the cost of Mars becomes more burdensome, and less responsive because of time of flight.
Whether I live long enough to see it, I dunno, getting gray up top!


Very true. It's a point the Mars colony people never talk about, it's assumed they will be raising cattle and growing wheat there and be independent. Not likely.

If I live long enough to see another moon landing I'll probably Yawn, I saw it 50 years ago, it's old hat though the Millennials who have no experience with such will no doubt be "Much Wow." Throw parties and fill their heads with Ecstasy.
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby theluckycountry » Fri 14 Mar 2025, 03:18:40

Lost in Space

"Go Girl"
Image

In 10 years NASA went from launching tin cans into low Earth orbit to landing two men on the Moon and bringing them safely back home. Several times!

And after 10 years of SpaceX?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')paceX cancel earlier launch date to rescue stuck astronauts following Trump and Musk request... SpaceX called off the flight over a last-minute technical issue with the rocket’s launch pad, officials said on a livestream of the launch countdown. It was not immediately clear when the next launch opportunity would be.

What's going on over there? And no excuses please! This wasn't an abort due to a hurricane, it's just proof that whatever they are doing over there is substandard, by 1970's standards, and more of the typical outcomes you get when you privatize government entities.

Bases on Mars? Interstellar flights? Hahaha, they can't even "Bring Back" two astronauts from orbit. No escape module on the ISS obviously, Pathetic. Why not go over to JPL and get one of the old Apollo capsules off the floor and take it up, tie it onto the side of the rubbish pile just in case eh. It's only a matter of time before a few of these latter day space fairers burn up like the shuttle crews, there will be a week of national morning and then business as usual.

This is what happens when a culture is immersed in fiction for a century.

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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby AgentR11 » Wed 26 Mar 2025, 11:25:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'I')f I live long enough to see another moon landing I'll probably Yawn, I saw it 50 years ago, it's old hat though the Millennials who have no experience with such will no doubt be "Much Wow." Throw parties and fill their heads with Ecstasy.


I was still a little too young to remember much about the moon landing or follow the news stories of the time, but I do remember going outside at night with my dad and him trying to explain to me that there were currently people up there on the moon, and that this was a great thing. So, it'll be pretty cool, even if it is just a rerun of the past. Video quality and quantity of course will be much improved, so there is that.
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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby AdamB » Thu 27 Mar 2025, 22:31:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', 'B')oth locations I believe will require 100% support from Earth. Thus the cost of Mars becomes more burdensome, and less responsive because of time of flight.
Whether I live long enough to see it, I dunno, getting gray up top!


Very true. It's a point the Mars colony people never talk about, it's assumed they will be raising cattle and growing wheat there and be independent.


The Mars colony people aren't near as stupid as the morons who think that other are so stupid they think raising cattle and growing wheat is what will happen there. We DO know that if someone tries to do anything on Mars, it won't involve countries that can't even build a damn car.

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Re: SpaceX

Unread postby theluckycountry » Fri 28 Mar 2025, 04:41:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', '
')I was still a little too young to remember much about the moon landing or follow the news stories of the time, but I do remember going outside at night with my dad and him trying to explain to me that there were currently people up there on the moon, and that this was a great thing. So, it'll be pretty cool, even if it is just a rerun of the past. Video quality and quantity of course will be much improved, so there is that.


Yes it was a big deal alright, and it was reasonable to assume we'd have pinwheel space stations and moon bases by the year 2000. But of course no one at the time realized that it was all due to the abundant oil the Americans were pulling out of the ground. Without the oil there would be no NASA personal, they'd all be out on farms earning their daily bread like before oil came along. It's what the deniers can't accept, that we didn't get to where we "were" because we got really smart all of a sudden :lol: But because oil freed up millions of people to sit and think. The same happened in the Roman empire but then it was free food from Egypt and loot from Europe that allowed people to leave the dirt and think.

The Japanese have orbited the moon, they could have landed too if they'd wanted, but why bother? There is nothing of value there. So they make cars and electronics and try to feed their millions of hungry mouths just like the Roman's did as their empire collapsed. Imagine in 5000 years when the rarefied atmosphere out beyond the Earth slows those high satellites enough to de-orbit. People in their villages will have an amazing sight as they cross the sky in flaming suicide. And what will they make of the wreckage if they come across it? Aliens probably, a messenger from the heavens. It's not too hard to imagine given the loss of knowledge experienced in dark ages, and a lot more likely than the future many believe, traveling to far off stars at warp-speed, the Empire of Man finally seeding the Galaxy.
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