by theluckycountry » Tue 05 Mar 2024, 21:32:19
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', 'T')his was expected by everyone who has been around for a while. Will you be back in a couple of days when we are back at new all-time highs? How about at the end of April, when we are flirting with $100K?
While I have your attention, some Aussies are reporting their banks are limiting crypto purchases by individuals to 10,000$AUD/Month I wonder if that is widespread?
So near 100k by the end of April, is that a firm prediction from you?
I don't know about bitcoin down here, the only investor I have ever met, and if you meet one you know because they can't
not talk about it, was a coin dealer in the city. He had three I believe, bought @au$16k or so from memory. He told me an interesting story from back in the last big run up.
Across the road from him is the premier bullion house, Ainslie, where the wealthier buyers go to buy in bulk. They buy there and sometimes take it around the corner to a secure storage facility. He told me that a percentage were redeeming their bullion, taking it back to Ainslie, selling it, then going into a back room to buy crypto that went onto a secure pen-drive (if there is such a thing) Then taking the drive back to the secure storage.
From his timeline most of this was happening north of $40k and then the investors had to go home and watch their asset plunge in price for the next year or so. Greed! It's what brings most people undone. Chasing ever higher gains until one day they find their money in an unsecured asset and *poof* it's gone. What you and all other coiners believe is that while these wild swings occur over a 3 or 4 year period, the coin will always achieve a higher base price over time. In the first collapse that was around $300, then the next, $7000, in the last collapse it was around $21k.
I assume then that you expect the next collapse will leave the coins at $60k or more. Well there is no underlying fundamental as to why that should be. There isn't a Billion young women demanding them for jewellery or an electronics industry demanding them for coatings on delicate components is there. There are just a couple of hundred million people, dominated by a couple of dozen Whales, holding them in the hope of making enough to by Lambo. It's a pure Greed investment, money for nothing, like a ponzi where you make money by selling the idea, and a coin or two, to someone else that wants to get rich too.
It's a truism that nothing goes straight up, and the pullback you have had would be considered normal in any market, but the fundamental claimed by coiners, namely scarcity, is not what I see driving this market at all, nor is it all the broken promises that lured people in the first place. To me it's an exuberance play, a follow the tech money play, and without the tech stocks booming (currently AI stocks) It will fall in a heap just as it did in 2022 when TSLA and META and all the other tech stocks collapsed back then.
It is the strongest correlation it has, a firm linkage to the stockmarket (Nasdaq) Anyone who denies this simply can't read a chart.
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.