by Pops » Tue 12 Dec 2023, 17:31:33
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'I')t just doesn't add up
So back of the envelope... (see links for cite)
If a 400w panel produces 36¢ worth of energy per day and runs for 20 years it returns $2,628.
Call it $2,500. now subtract the original cost, say $1,200. with install on a typical suburban roof ($3/watt —the panel itself is $200-400)
The cost to recycle here in the early days is $15-40 ... call it $50
Recyclables value is negligible at $5@ but in the millions it add up so recycling will be a thing. Point is panels are recyclable now (see the vid below) and by the time they start being replaced in the millions the process will be refined and brough to scale.
Replacements built from recycled material will account for a fraction of the embodied energy of the originals. IOW, most of the new materials required will be for additions, not replacements. So say the EROEI is only 2:1, if the materials are recyclable indefinitely at say 10% of the energy input of the original, every generation
increases the energy return.
A far cry from fossils that might have theoretically been 50 or 100:1 return but at the wheels only gave a fraction of that. And honestly, when was an oil reservoir ever rebuilt?
So in the end you've invested $1,250 to get $2,500 in power ... at
today's price for power and still early days cost structure.
And don't we think
relative manufacturing costs will continue to decrease as standardization and competition grow?
And won't power be more expensive in the future, if available at all?
I keep hearing "rebuildables" as if that is the mic-drop thread-killer argument.
LOL, it is the thread killer. Because panels will be recycled and rebuilt at a fraction of the energy cost and an increasing return on investment monetarily.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FCtEWveySsAhttps://www.architecturaldigest.com/sto ... anels-costhttps://www.solarreviews.com/blog/how-m ... el-produce
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)