$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mustang19', '
')They were right in a way that mattered, the growth was so feeble it didn't track population.
PeakOil is You
New wolfcamp data
Re: New wolfcamp data
by AdamB » Wed 07 Jul 2021, 10:01:22
Really? Can you provide the quote and source of it? Because one predicted peak oil as accurately as you did oil prices, 30+ years ago, the other claimed peak oil happened before and after 2005, both times for 2005, and demonstrated that they don't know any more about resource economics than you do math, and the third thought that methane was poison gas and we needed to nuke the GOM to stop a well blowout.
So which brand of stupid do you think they were right about? The same brand as the halfwit who studied their work and deduced that peak oil was real, 15 years ago when it wasn't? Or does that make the quote I provided nothing more than a demonstration that the poster was just as ill-informed and unable to see into the future as they were? Of course, I doubt that Colin, Ken or Matt ever put 1/0 into their equations that the halfwit I referenced from way back.
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."
Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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Re: New wolfcamp data
by rangerone314 » Wed 07 Jul 2021, 12:22:26
The truth of the matter is that formulas, theory, geology, etc don't matter.
Human nature matters.
The people -- that have more accurate data than we do and have a much better idea as to how much reserves are left -- are not going to tell the truth, because that would put them at a disadvantage.
There will be so much lying and manipulation, that you won't know peak oil until you see it far behind in the rear view mirror.
Human nature matters.
The people -- that have more accurate data than we do and have a much better idea as to how much reserves are left -- are not going to tell the truth, because that would put them at a disadvantage.
There will be so much lying and manipulation, that you won't know peak oil until you see it far behind in the rear view mirror.
An ideology is by definition not a search for TRUTH-but a search for PROOF that its point of view is right
Equals barter and negotiate-people with power just take
You cant defend freedom by eliminating it-unknown
Our elected reps should wear sponsor patches on their suits so we know who they represent-like Nascar-Roy
Equals barter and negotiate-people with power just take
You cant defend freedom by eliminating it-unknown
Our elected reps should wear sponsor patches on their suits so we know who they represent-like Nascar-Roy
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rangerone314 - Light Sweet Crude
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Re: New wolfcamp data
by mustang19 » Wed 07 Jul 2021, 12:53:11
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rangerone314', 'T')he truth of the matter is that formulas, theory, geology, etc don't matter.
Human nature matters.
The people -- that have more accurate data than we do and have a much better idea as to how much reserves are left -- are not going to tell the truth, because that would put them at a disadvantage.
There will be so much lying and manipulation, that you won't know peak oil until you see it far behind in the rear view mirror.
Human nature matters.
The people -- that have more accurate data than we do and have a much better idea as to how much reserves are left -- are not going to tell the truth, because that would put them at a disadvantage.
There will be so much lying and manipulation, that you won't know peak oil until you see it far behind in the rear view mirror.
No, the hubbert curve is infallible for field level predictions.
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Re: New wolfcamp data
by AdamB » Wed 07 Jul 2021, 13:45:51
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rangerone314', 'T')he truth of the matter is that formulas, theory, geology, etc don't matter.
Human nature matters.
Human nature matters.
Well, that one I've gotta give you. Two things matter in this world, physics, and human will (human nature). Physics sets the rules of the game, and then we scurry around pretending we are important (speciesism runs amuck!) and economics quantifies what our human nature does.
But physics, because we can't get around those particular rules.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rangerone314', '
')The people -- that have more accurate data than we do and have a much better idea as to how much reserves are left -- are not going to tell the truth, because that would put them at a disadvantage.
I've been telling the truth for going on 16 years now. Gets me banned for knowing in advance peak oil circa 2005 was a crock, and why, and it has been an ADVANTAGE in terms of my career and professional standing. So how would knowing the ins and outs of peak oils (past, present and future) be a disadvantage? It falls within the realm of the given, and physics, perfectly fine, can't be defined. Only the hysterical claims of it down through the decades are the problem, and that is a human nature problem, not a technical one.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rangerone314', '
')There will be so much lying and manipulation, that you won't know peak oil until you see it far behind in the rear view mirror.
How many decades before we can be sure do you think? And because we CAN look at it in the past, we are obviously around looking back, so it could be caused by peak demand as likely as scarcity. MORE likely I would argue.
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."
Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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