by REAL Green » Sun 31 May 2020, 07:18:28
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'I') don’t even think we have Capitalism anymore, Capitalisim has a strong vein of efficientlcy running through it. What we have now is Consumerism which relies on the members NOT being efficient but by using one shot throw away stuff in mass quantities.
Proper price discovery in an environment of generally accepted accounting principles with sound money is the key ingredients for efficiency. Without these the distortions over the long term destroy an economy with malinvestment. Consumerism is needed for the economies of scale if general affluence is desired in a globalized economy. There is tradeoff with consumerism. Less consumerism means less affluence physically so this decline must be made up spiritually with the metaphysical of abstract values. Today consumerism is part of the problem with too much consumption and not enough savings. This is also true of not enough abstract values grounding society in social stability. We are living beyond our means with investments without a future. It is not all bad but enough is bad that over time real damage is being done.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'W')e would be better if if we returned to Capitalism. Better yet would be a rational mix between Capitalism and Socialism. Each has its strengths and weaknesses. I don’t believe they are mutually exclusive, they can work in concert. Making cars? Capitalism. Health care? socialism.
At this point I don't think there is an option of return in regards to getting something back. It’s gone as in growth that powered affluence for a century is done. This is not a dramatic end but more a flip of a force of dominance at a peak. We had been on an undulating plateau of growth and decline with bad investments and moral hazard eating away at healthy growth. New tech has supported healthy growth but at a cost of bad behavior so on balance has our digitization really helped? The whole system has shifted to decline with the Sino American cold war, covid demand shock, and the gradual building up of excessive debt from easing and rate repression.
I agree we need a better public/private mix with capitalism and socialism. Capitalism needs a gate keeper with some socialism but private property is a key to good investment. Communism was a failure from mediocrity and sloth from the lack of personal incentive. Modern socialism wants to offer something for nothing which is not realistic. All systems need to acknowledge decline to succeed. Something for nothing in a time of decline is digging the hole deeper.
What is mostly needed is behavioral changes. This will likely be forced on populations by destructive change instead of proactively embraced in a population untied in change. A decline process means abandonment, dysfunction, and irrational. This adaptation involves behavior change along with physical realities of less. My approach has always been you as an individual can embrace destructive change becuase don't expect society to accept it. Forced change in crisis will adapt the greater society with ugly results. Everything about modern society is growth oriented so until that narrative is destroyed it will be one failure after another leading up to an eventual new approach to decline.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'W')hat we do now is neither. Just grinding out shit for the sake of grinding out shit. Makes no sense. There is no good economic model for what we are doing. So what we are doing will eventually die, and not soon enough. But I think it still has some life left in it, how long it can hang on is anyone’s guess.
Globalism has gone too far but when has any system not gone through a cycle with eventual extremes? The web of life cycles with growing complexity breaking down into succession. We the people just hit our time on earth when everything was peaking and now shifting into a new paradigm. I call it a paradigm becuase of the power of this transformation is a meta-key so to speak.
Look around you with the planet and the web of life and you see the succession to less complexity from a destabilizing climate and ecological decline. We are seeing localized failures of ecosystems as a result. This will be a process over time but the process has speeded up as threasholds have been breached. The human system is shifting also with economic issues and social dysfunction. This is compounded by irrational policy. This is global and the interconnectedness makes it that much more a trap. Good policy that might be employed by a nation is stymied by global reality of flows of capital and markets.
This is a trap of carbon too. Peak oil dynamics and carbon emissions are an ongoing concern that can be mitigated somewhat by renewables but honest science points to no fixes in a transition. The world is going to be turned upside down but over time.
You as an individual can embrace decline personally and get ahead of the process but society is fated to tear itself apart. Much of this individual response is behavioral becuase your approach to decline is the key to lowering the destructive effects and finding your niche in the process. If you are in a bad place get out. If you can't then make arrangements. Accept you are trapped and quit making it worse. That is my take on this for what it is worth. I have been living this life now for 15 years with ups and downs of enlightenment. I was too radical in the beginning but now more in acceptance and sober in constructive change. This does not mean I transcended the process just that I am not fighting the process as much. I am still trapped and you still must battle against the entropic decay. It is just if you accept decay then you can better mitigate it by not making more decay by your own actions.
by Ibon » Sun 31 May 2020, 15:33:07
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('REAL Green', ' ')
You as an individual can embrace decline personally and get ahead of the process but society is fated to tear itself apart. Much of this individual response is behavioral because your approach to decline is the key to lowering the destructive effects and finding your niche in the process. If you are in a bad place get out. If you can't then make arrangements. Accept you are trapped and quit making it worse. That is my take on this for what it is worth. I have been living this life now for 15 years with ups and downs of enlightenment. I was too radical in the beginning but now more in acceptance and sober in constructive change. This does not mean I transcended the process just that I am not fighting the process as much. I am still trapped and you still must battle against the entropic decay. It is just if you accept decay then you can better mitigate it by not making more decay by your own actions.
Alot of us baby boomers in our later years can resign to the acceptance of this entropic decay and some of us can even transcend the process as you say in order to not feel trapped or fight it. We experienced the tail end of a long period of ascendancy, a peak and now this descent. For baby boomers this somewhat parallels ones life, ones own decline matches the beginning of a long decline of entropic delay as you state.
I had a long talk with my daughter yesterday and we actually were discussing this very point of accepting the reality of this century unfolding with a series of instabilities that may not let up. She is a millennial with a long life head if she lives a normal lifespan so it is something else entirely for her generation. Our conversation was exactly what is her niche in all of this.
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by Ibon » Sun 31 May 2020, 16:34:02
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
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It doesn't matter what the economic or political system is. When there are too many people there is too much consumerism, too much resource consumption, too much pollution and too much carbon production, resulting in too much impact on the earth and climate.
This is correct. Added to that authoritarianism increases as a direct result of over population regardless of the economic or political system. Overpopulation leads to social instability leads to authoritarianism.
It is a management of people problem.
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by REAL Green » Mon 01 Jun 2020, 17:45:08
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'I')bon said:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')It is a management of people problem.
Seems so obvious. But then to others it’s not.
The biggest challenge in business is people management. Proper scale makes people management easier but instead scale is going bigger.
realgreenadaptation.blog
by Outcast_Searcher » Fri 05 Jun 2020, 16:44:42
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('REAL Green', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'I')bon said:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')It is a management of people problem.
Seems so obvious. But then to others it’s not.
The biggest challenge in business is people management. Proper scale makes people management easier but instead scale is going bigger.
In my experience, remote work doesn't make management better, and in fact likely makes it worse. Early on in my career, I was pumped by how much my managerment seemed to UNDERSTAND my contribution, and REWARD me for it.
By the end (2007), management had had NARY a clue re actual technical contribution, for quite a few years, and was all about rewarding smiling and seeming positive at meetings, which was a total turn-off for the technicians.
When business is primarily driven by "cost cutting", GOOD LUCK getting that trend to improve.
Disclosure: My company was IBM, which IMO, Lou Gerstner, and the idea of cutting costs, and to hell with the employees, basically ruined IBM from spring 1993 on. Of course, since that became "the thing" with large business, that's the new culture, so I don't expect "experts" to agree.
Like I was told: "We can hire 7 Indians for what we pay you". Yeah, but if they poorly communicate -- GOOD LUCK, getting complex technical projects completed efficiently and on time. IMO, I was right more often than not, yet I left in disgust in mid 2007, over how the place was managed.
From my reading (like "White-Collar Sweatshop: The Deterioration of Work and Its Rewards in Corporate America"), I had PLENTY of white collar employees in the US as peers, experiencing similar things.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.