[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', 'M')onteQuest"
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') agree. Some have opined that all the renewables we will ever need have already been built. Others have said that all the renewables we will ever have--have already been built. Connect the dots.

[vtsnowedin]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ome Coal company excecatives have opined that all the renewables we will ever need have already been built. As there is plenty of coal and oil left.
Others Doomers have said that all the renewables we will ever have--have already been built. Because they expect corporate America to cut off funding to maintain BAU.

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ome Coal company excecatives have opined that all the renewables we will ever need have already been built. As there is plenty of coal and oil left.
Others Doomers have said that all the renewables we will ever have--have already been built. Because they expect corporate America to cut off funding to maintain BAU.

[C8]

The third world will take whatever fossil fuels the rest don't want

[vtsnowedin]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('C8', 'T')he third world will take whatever fossil fuels the rest don't want

[REAL Green]

“USGS says Powder River Basin has 35 years of coal left, not 250”
http://energyskeptic.com/2020/coal-powd ... -reserves/

“The USGS did a survey of coal in the U.S. in 1974 and announced that America had 250 years of coal left. In 2007, the National Research Council wrote a report suggesting 100 years was more likely due to “a combination of increased rates of production…transportation issues, recoverability, and location”, and that the USGS ought to re-survey the U.S. to find out. Not until 2015 was a new survey done on the Powder River Basin (PRB) in Wyoming and Montana, which supplies 45% of U.S. coal. The USGS found that at best, 40 years of coal were left (35 years in 2020). Here’s how the USGS calculated this in Billions of Short Tons:
1,156 BST original resources (mostly coal that isn’t economic or technologically obtainable).
1,148 BST after subtracting out previously mined coal
179 BST geological constraints; subtract Environmental, societal, technological restrictions
162 BST Subtract too deep, too thin, high stripping ratios, mining technology limitations
25 BST 2% of original resource estimate after subtracting coal that is more expensive than the market value of coal”

[vtsnowedin]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('REAL Green', '�')��USGS says Powder River Basin has 35 years of coal left, not 250”
http://energyskeptic.com/2020/coal-powd ... -reserves/

“The USGS did a survey of coal in the U.S. in 1974 and announced that America had 250 years of coal left. In 2007, the National Research Council wrote a report suggesting 100 years was more likely due to “a combination of increased rates of production…transportation issues, recoverability, and location”, and that the USGS ought to re-survey the U.S. to find out. Not until 2015 was a new survey done on the Powder River Basin (PRB) in Wyoming and Montana, which supplies 45% of U.S. coal. The USGS found that at best, 40 years of coal were left (35 years in 2020). Here’s how the USGS calculated this in Billions of Short Tons:
1,156 BST original resources (mostly coal that isn’t economic or technologically obtainable).
1,148 BST after subtracting out previously mined coal
179 BST geological constraints; subtract Environmental, societal, technological restrictions
162 BST Subtract too deep, too thin, high stripping ratios, mining technology limitations
25 BST 2% of original resource estimate after subtracting coal that is more expensive than the market value of coal”

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('REAL Green', '�')��USGS says Powder River Basin has 35 years of coal left, not 250”

[vtsnowedin]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('REAL Green', '�')��USGS says Powder River Basin has 35 years of coal left, not 250”

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', ' ')I expect demand for coal to peak before it's supply peaks given the large number of deposits around the world that are not yet exploited due to the more profitable deposits like the Powder river basin and others in Australia etc. I don't see any shortage in the fifteen years or so I have left but price hikes are quite possible. That all depends on China and India getting away from coal powered electric generation which has yet to peak much less begun to decline.

[vtsnowedin]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', ' ')I expect demand for coal to peak before it's supply peaks given the large number of deposits around the world that are not yet exploited due to the more profitable deposits like the Powder river basin and others in Australia etc. I don't see any shortage in the fifteen years or so I have left but price hikes are quite possible. That all depends on China and India getting away from coal powered electric generation which has yet to peak much less begun to decline.

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'A')ccording to Global Coal Plant Tracker, there are currently 1,035 new coal-fired power plants under construction, permitted, in pre-permit, or announced. Most will be built in countries like China, India, Indonesia, and Vietnam.

[vtsnowedin]

Slowly but accelerating.

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', 'S')lowly but accelerating.

[vtsnowedin]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', 'S')lowly but accelerating.

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', ' ')Solar farms are going up here by the acre rapidly and Vermont is not the ideal location for them. I would think they would concentrate on the southern states and if their effort is anything like what I'm seeing here the Amount of solar generation will double rapidly.

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', ' ')I expect most of that decline came from a lot of new natural gas combined cycle plants coming on line to replace coal with more capacity then what they replaced. Hydro power is pretty much fixed benchmark with what comes in from Canada so any decline in it's percentage of the mix is probably do to growth elsewhere.

[vtsnowedin]

Looking at the United States only, wind and solar are now approaching ten percent of total electric generation with wind passing hydro power with 300 billion kWh vs.274 b kWh.
Solar is at 72 b kWh with an additional 35 b kWh on rooftops behind the meters.
Coal is down to 23.5% of the mix.
https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=427&t=3

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', 'L')ooking at the United States only, wind and solar are now approaching ten percent of total electric generation.

[vtsnowedin]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', ' ')Transmission line capacity was not adequate after installations last year.