by Omnitir » Tue 26 Jul 2005, 06:19:31
It really looks quite doable, it’s only our preconceptions that cause us to disregard the concept. It’s just a matter of the technology coming along. Even with PO on the horizon, there’s a good chance the technology will improve in the next few years. And once the appropriate fibre can be fabricated, $5 to $10 billion is realistic.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')It will be too late to bail humanity out of overshoot and dieoff. It may create a sustainable energy source for the dieoff survivors in the second half of this century.
Exactly. PO will come, a die-off will commence and things will be bad. But there will still be R&D into developing new technologies, nanotubes will be made strong enough and in large enough quantities, and a space elevator project will be inevitable.
It won’t save anyone from our current over-population problems. But it will eventually happen, and when it does it will have the potential to revolutionise the world.
And who can really say what the possibilities are once it finally happens? For a couple of hundred dollars a kilo into orbit, space industrialism would take off very quickly. And of course one the first elevator is constructed, many more could be made much more easily afterwards.