by mudman » Wed 14 Nov 2018, 04:35:57
Thanks for getting back to me Rockman. There’s no great rush, so no apologies needed. Are you still in touch with Toolpush? You and he bounced ideas off one another back in 2012 on TOD. He might be interested in this. He would certainly understand it better than me. And sorry about the length of this post.
Still not a cheap out of the guys who were caught up in this near disaster. Not much self respect there I guess. They all couldn’t have been completely ignorant of what was really going on.
In the six years since Elgin there have been at least another 12 major hydrocarbon releases which “have come perilously close to disaster”. One every six months or so. That’s the verdict of Chris Flint the Director of the HSE’s Energy Division. On Elgin, the Regulator seems not to have been able to intervene once in the 8 years, from gas entering the G4 ‘A’ annulus to the blowout endangering 238 lives.
As I said, the most glaring fact about this HSE report is that there is no mention of the flame burning in the flare stack 100m from the wellhead for five days as the well blew out. There's no self-criticism by HSE in the report so presumably HSE are claiming that they did everything bythe book. But if this is the case, and a safety failure of Piper Alpha proportions can occur, then the entire regulatory system is called into question, because that’s what we had here. Only luck stopped it going up as far as I can see.
Here’s a cut back, and annotated “version” of the first part of the HSE report. I’ve tried to cut the bullshit. I’ve arbitrarily cut off the action on March 16, 9 days before the blowout, to make this readable. If you do get interested, later we can look at what happened after March 16.
According to the HSE;
The G4 well was drilled in 1997 and began producing in 2001. By April 2004, the 'A' annulus of the G4 well had SCP (sustained casing pressure).
From 2001, Total had experienced an increasing problem of high pressure gas from the 'Hod' chalk formation (situated above the ‘Fulmar’ production reservoir) leaking into well annuli.
The gas was “known”/“thought” to be entering the annuli via failures in the casing cement and in the production casing. (a hole in the casing since 2004 and left untreated? - and how else could Hod gas get into the production casing when the shoe was set below the Hod?)
Total bled off pressure to maintain these annuli within defined “safe” operating windows. This involved operators manually bleeding gas from annuli by opening wellhead valves in response to high-pressure alarms, to maintain the pressure within defined pressure limits. (Did this not just suck in more gas?)
From August 2009, there was an increasing influx of Hod gas into the 'A' annulus of G4 and other Elgin/Franklin wells. This appeared to mark a change in the behaviour of the Hod, which was previously considered to be a 'tight formation'
In response, Total repeatedly increased the G4 'A' annulus high-pressure alarm setting, which was the trigger point for bleeding pressure from the annulus. On 26 February 2007, high-pressure alarm was set at 200 bar. By 18 January 2012, the pressure alarms had been inhibited and the maximum operating pressure had been increased to 650 bar.
In March 2010, Total attempted to reduce the influx of 'Hod' gas into the 'A' annulus by pumping heavy weight (1.7 SG calcium bromide brine) into the annulus. (bullheading? - how else do you get fluid into the ‘A’ annulus?) This process, known as a volumetric kill, (how would you get gas out of the annulus, which is what I understood was a volumetric kill, while bulheading brine into the annulus?) appeared to stabilise the annulus pressure at 280bar until July 2010, when the pressure began to build again at a rate of 1-2 bar per day.
On 17 February 2011, production was lost from G4 due to the collapse of the production liner. As a result, the well was shut-in and the production tubing plugged above the collapse. The collapse of the liner is likely to have been a consequence of the 'compaction' process as the Fulmar reservoir was depleted and the formations through which the well passed subsided.
Between October 2010 and October 2011, the G4 'A' annulus was being bled down increasingly frequently to maintain it within its operating window of 300-380 bar.
In June and December 2011, Total Geosciences carried out tests on the 'A' annulus of Franklin wells F2 and F3 respectively, in an attempt to understand the increasing influx of Hod gas. (how was Hod gas getting into the ‘A’ annuli of F2 and F3 unless their production casings were also holed?) The results showed that they were unable to deplete the flow of Hod gas from well F3 and that their previous assumption that the Hod could not flow large volumes of gas (ie it was a tight formation) no longer held true. Given the significance of these findings, Total planned to carry out similar tests on the Elgin wells with 'A' annulus SCP (G4, G5 & G8) to identify whether they could also flow larger than anticipated volumes of gas.
In September 2011, it was decided to shut-in G4 and stop bleeding from the 'A' annulus and allow pressure to rise to and equalise against the Hod formation pressure. Following the cessation of bleeding, the pressure stabilised at 490 bar for three to four days before beginning to rise again.
By November 2011, the pressure had increased to 513 bar.
On 18 January 2012, to allow for the increasing 'A' annulus pressure, the maximum operating pressure (MOP) was increased from 550 to 650 bar. The 'A' annulus MOP was 405 bar above the maximum allowable pressure for the 'B' annulus. (245 bar - is that usual for intermediate casing?)
This meant that any failure of the 'A' annulus would immediately threaten to over pressurise the ‘B' and then 'C' annulus. However, there is no evidence that Total formally risk assessed the decision to increase the 'A' annulus operating window, despite the known degraded condition of the 'A' annulus production liner (leakage from Hod), and known pressure communication between the 'B' and 'C' annulus (at the mud line hanger?)
Total's failure to risk assess their decision to increase the 'A' annulus MOP was further evidenced by their belated discovery (when?) that, should there be a need to bleed the 'A' annulus, the integrity of the downstream plant and equipment could be compromised (how?). To overcome this risk they were forced to install a temporary bleed route through the G9 well's Xmas Tree. (?)
On Saturday 25 February 2012, (at what time?) the production and intermediate casings of well G4 failed, allowing pressure and fluids to 'communicate' across the A, B and C annuli, jeopardising the integrity of the surface casing of the 'C' annulus and creating a significant blowout risk.
The casing failures were evidenced by a drop in the 'A' annulus pressure from 563 to 440 bar in two minutes at 11:20hrs. Coincidentally the 'B' annulus increased from 33 bar to 263 bar, exceeding its maximum allowable pressure of 245 bar. Then at 16:45hrs the 'A' and 'B' annuli pressures dropped to 317 and 149 bar respectively whilst the 'C' annulus pressure increased suddenly from 29 to 79 bar, exceeding its maximum allowable pressure of 76 bar.
The Wells Department management monitored these events onshore. They were concerned that the rate of pressure increase in the 'C' annulus was such that it gave them only 100 minutes before a blowout could occur, and were considering down manning the Elgin and Viking. When operators on the Elgin were able to avert a blowout by bleeding down and stabilising the 'C' annulus pressure, Total decided not to down-man or halt production. There is no evidence recording the reasons for these decisions or suggesting they were supported by a formal risk assessment of the condition of G4.
Due to the seriously degraded condition of G4, Total began developing a well kill plan as a matter of urgency on 26 February (at what time?). The well-kill plan was shared with the Total Head Office and Blowout Taskforce in France.
On Monday 27 February (at what time?), a G4 well kill task force, consisting of Wells Construction and Maintenance Department personnel, was convened to plan and manage the well-kill process. As the need to kill the well was considered urgent (?), the Taskforce chose to base the plan on immediately available resources and recent interventions on wells G8 and F3
Although the function of the task force was to manage the well kill there is no evidence that records were kept of how they accomplished this, or of the decisions they made during the well-kill. Significant decisions supported by the Taskforce included:
To expedite the G4 well kill by using an existing well kill programme for well G8 (bonkers).
To continue production from other Elgin/Franklin wells during the well-kill; (criminal)
To continue with full manning of the Elgin and Viking throughout the well kill operation;(even more criminal)
That the Hod remained a tight formation and would not flow large volumes of hydrocarbons; and(despite what their testing had shown?)
That a surface blowout could not occur, as the well was designed to prevent such an event. (?) (never in all my life heard of this one)
These decisions were not supported by any formal risk assessments.
There is no evidence that the well-kill plan itself was developed from a suitable and sufficient risk assessment specifically for G4, using known information about the design and current condition of the well and the associated below ground conditions. Equally, there is no evidence that known uncertainties were adequately considered, such as the:
strength and condition of the mud line suspension system (what was the known uncertainty here? - they didn’t bring over the BOP from G8 onto G4. Why not? Did the know there was communication here and that the BOPs would have been useless)
the integrity of production casing and liner (was there some doubt about how the ‘A’ annulus got pressured?)
the integrity of the intermediate (they were still uncertain that this had burst?) and surface casing (has this something to do with the strength and condition of the mud line suspension system?)
cause of the SCP (was their an uncertainty about where the gas had come from and how it got into the annuli?)
the ability of the Hod to flow large volumes of gas
the ability of the un-cemented surface casing below the 20-inch shoe to prevent a surface blowout. (this seems incredible)
Three of the well kill specific risk assessments concluded that an over-pressurisation of the 'C' annulus would result in a failure of the un-cemented surface casing below the 20-inch shoe. This would relieve pressure into the Nordland formation and prevent a surface blowout. However, this conclusion was contradicted by the findings of the 'Annulus Management Failure Mechanism Risk Assessment’. This highlighted the need to "prove access from the 20-inch shoe to the formations below", and to, "better understand the likely route for any sustained flow from the 20-inch shoe".
Despite the apparently contradictory conclusions of these risk assessments, the Taskforce based their approach to the G4 well kill on the assumption that a surface blowout could not occur in the event of the 'C' annulus being over-pressurised. This assumption underpinned decision making up to and including actions taken as the blowout was in progress.
In conclusion, two key assumptions made by the Taskforce appear to have been critical in their failure to adequately assess the risks presented by G4. These were that:
in the event of a loss of well control the well could be shut-in (how? - they hadn’t installed a BOP on G4) and the 20-inch shoe would prevent a surface blowout by providing a safe subsea relief route; (never in my life heard this one before) and
the Hod could not flow large volumes of gas into well G4. (they already knew it could)
Total's well-kill plan involved a two-stage 'wait and weight' method.
The first stage was to pump a heavy-weight (1.2 SG) Calcium Bromide solution (i.e. brine) into the production tubing and out of the 'A' annulus, to remove hydrocarbons and other fluids from the well.
The second was to replace the brine by circulating a kill weight mud into the well, creating a sufficient hydrostatic head of pressure to balance against the formation influx pressure, thereby killing the well.
The basic principle of 'wait and weight' is to initially shut-in the well and allow pressures to stabilise. A series of calculations are then made to identify Bottom Hole Pressure [BHP] and the weight of kill fluid required to balance against the influx pressure.
However, the condition of G4, and source of the influx meant it was not suited to the 'Wait & Weight' method.
Firstly, Total was unable to shut-in the well for fear of over-pressurising the surface casing. (because they knew the mud line hanger wouldn’t hold? - and therefore they hadn’t bothered even to skid the BOP over G4? How do you shut in the well with no BOP deployed? Close valves on the Xmas tree?
Secondly, the influx was not from the bottom of the hole into the production tubing, but from the Hod formation into the well annuli at some 544 metres above the bottom of the well. (The bottom of the well being where the production tubing had been plugged. And how did they know the casing was ruptured 544 ft above there?)
Thirdly, there were communication pathways between all (?) the well annuli making it more complex to circulate out an influx using just the production tubing and 'A' annulus. In effect, Total used a conventional well kill method for what was an unconventional situation.
When the G4 production and intermediate casings failed on 25 February 2012, Total was in the process of abandoning the G8 well which was deemed to have a more significant SCP problem than G4. The Rowan Viking drilling rig was being used to intervene on G8. Before commencing the G4 well kill the G8 work had to be suspended to allow access to G4.
Total decided to leave the blowout preventer suspended on G8 (?) to allow them to skid the Viking away from the EWHP as quickly as possible and give access to G4 well kill. Leaving the BOP on G8 also meant they could return to the abandonment of G8 without delay once G4 was killed. (so this had nothing to do with the “strength and condition of the mud line suspension system”. Could it be that they didn’t bother skidding the BOP over because they already knew that there was communication all the way into the ‘D’ annulus?)
The G4 well kill operation started on 15 March 2012, nineteen days after the failure of the production and intermediate casings. (urgent indeed! - 19 days to skid the rig over G4 - and that’s without having to move the BOP)
The first stage of the well-kill involved punching the production tubing at a measured depth of 4904-4907m, to enable brine (1.2 SG) to be circulated into the 'A' annulus. The purpose of the brine circulation, which began on 15 March, was to remove hydrocarbons and other well fluids from G4 and to create a more stable environment (more stable ?) in which to circulate kill weight mud.
Brine returning from the 'A' annulus was routed to the process facilities to allow the separation and flaring of hydrocarbons. Total deemed this stage of the well-kill to have been a success.