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THE Richard Heinberg Thread Pt. 2

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Heinberg says newest peak oil proves peak oil theory! Ag

Postby asg70 » Fri 09 Mar 2018, 09:58:03

Sad to see him straining so hard to stay relevant.

He's only preaching to the converted at this point, which is a very small clique these days.

BOLD PREDICTIONS
-Billions are on the verge of starvation as the lockdown continues. (yoshua, 5/20/20)

HALL OF SHAME:
-Short welched on a bet and should be shunned.
-Frequent-flyers should not cry crocodile-tears over climate-change.
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Re: Heinberg says newest peak oil proves peak oil theory! Ag

Postby onlooker » Fri 09 Mar 2018, 11:48:47

You guys conveniently skipped over his correctly dismal assessment of Shale/fracking and thus future prospects for the Oil Industry.
But of course you think he is a quack. So why you bother posting anything from him beats me
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Re: Heinberg says newest peak oil proves peak oil theory! Ag

Postby asg70 » Fri 09 Mar 2018, 13:53:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('onlooker', '
')...correctly dismal assessment of Shale/fracking


How do you figure that it's proven "correct"? It's a theory based on gross generalizations and speculation.

BOLD PREDICTIONS
-Billions are on the verge of starvation as the lockdown continues. (yoshua, 5/20/20)

HALL OF SHAME:
-Short welched on a bet and should be shunned.
-Frequent-flyers should not cry crocodile-tears over climate-change.
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Re: Heinberg says newest peak oil proves peak oil theory! Ag

Postby Darian S » Fri 09 Mar 2018, 16:04:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('asg70', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('onlooker', '
')...correctly dismal assessment of Shale/fracking


How do you figure that it's proven "correct"? It's a theory based on gross generalizations and speculation.


Haven't read it yet, but I presume he means the near 90~% drop in production rate from wells after 1-3~ years. You can build thousands upon thousands of wells. But eventually all that new production will collapse into the dust, and that eventually isn't that far off.
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Re: Heinberg says newest peak oil proves peak oil theory! Ag

Postby onlooker » Fri 09 Mar 2018, 16:15:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Darian S', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('asg70', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('onlooker', '
')...correctly dismal assessment of Shale/fracking


How do you figure that it's proven "correct"? It's a theory based on gross generalizations and speculation.


Haven't read it yet, but I presume he means the near 90~% drop in production rate from wells after 1-3~ years. You can build thousands upon thousands of wells. But eventually all that new production will collapse into the dust, and that eventually isn't that far off.

Yes and he also means the dismal economics from day 1 to the present of the entire endeavor
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Re: Heinberg says newest peak oil proves peak oil theory! Ag

Postby Darian S » Fri 09 Mar 2018, 16:48:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')es and he also means the dismal economics from day 1 to the present of the entire endeavor

True.

The thing is people say shale can take place all over, and it's a cornucopia. Let's say there's actually enough to ramp production by 100 million barrels per day, say by next year. Doubt there's that much available, but what would happen, within 2-3 years, this record breaking production would drop to 10~million, and if conventional also declined at rumored 5+% per year, in a few years you'd have a drop in global production regardless.

That is even if there was enough shale to match or exceed current total global production, in a few years it would fade to nothing. If the decline numbers are true. Reality very likely is there likely isn't that much shale, and it can't be ramped that quickly.
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Heinberg: Getting Past Trump, Part 2: The Russia Connection

Postby AdamB » Wed 14 Mar 2018, 20:54:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')In Part 1 of this essay we surveyed the historical, economic, and cultural context for the upset victory of Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election. I did not mention Russian interference in that election. That’s because it is a subject that deserves to be treated on its own. It is, of course, a source of heated controversy: leaders of the national security agencies and the FBI are unanimous in saying that Russia made a concerted effort to impact the election, while denial that such interference took place has emanated from the White House, Fox News, and some Republicans in Congress. The latter’s motivation is fairly transparent: questioning the legitimacy of the election shines an unfavorable light on the Trump administration and the Republican Party. Interestingly, however, voices on the far left have likewise argued that the Mueller investigation is


Heinberg: Getting Past Trump, Part 2: The Russia Connection
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Heinberg's website article peak oil for Gen z

Postby RepublicanfromEngland » Fri 24 Oct 2025, 12:56:08

https://richardheinberg.com/museletter- ... -for-gen-z

so yes. I think a good many remain sceptical on this subject, I can't help but see how old so many threads are on this old forum now. :cry:
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Re: Heinberg's website article peak oil for Gen z

Postby AdamB » Fri 24 Oct 2025, 16:10:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('RepublicanfromEngland', 'h')ttps://richardheinberg.com/museletter-390-peak-oil-for-gen-z


Richard is supposedly a pretty good amateur violin player. Couldn't hack college because he was busy smoking weed and doing the rock band thing I heard.

Doesn't know dick about peak oil when he was proclaiming it 20 years ago, doesn't know dick about it now. In 2008 he was saying that the US government needed to herd everyone out onto communal farms to be able to feed the country which was soon for starvation.

Figures that the local peak oil idiot doesn't know Richard's history any more than he can read a graph of when global peak happened in 2018.
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."

Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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Re: THE Richard Heinberg Thread Pt. 2

Postby RepublicanfromEngland » Fri 31 Oct 2025, 13:50:00

He like others jumped on the bandwagon got caught up in the subject of crude oil depletion, but he has said that the energy crisis was imminent, but not that imminent, that is is over decades but the solution to change must happen before the major point of peak. I recently got an email response from him, I sent a year or more ago now, it got lost, some sort of technical glitch.

I just type away stating that, there is no guarantee that anything that he or anybody has expressed on the energy subject could happen. For example the recent conflict in Eastern Europe, there is no certainty. I did read a few books on the subject when this subject was still in the media here and there. One was his The Party's over, and another was the Last oil shock, written by a BBC journalist who onced worked on the Money programme via that news corporation.

Mr Heinberg knows his stuff, and it is consistent, but the timing and the numbers is the controversy, always has been.
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