by AdamB » Sat 23 Dec 2017, 21:58:10
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')Note: conventional oil production (excluding corn ethanol, lighter fluid and camp stove gas) peaked in 2005
Always love hearing about these
unicorns conventional oils. Can you describe how one oil might be conventional, and the characteristics of another oil that makes it..something else? The Permian and Pioneers recent efforts in the Wolfcamp, you seem quite enamored with those, how are those oils different than the same gravity oils from, say, the East Texas field?

Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."
Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
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AdamB
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by AdamB » Sat 23 Dec 2017, 22:01:55
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rockdoc123', '
')When oil price rises exploration will increase ..... It doesn't get rid of the idea of Peak Oil it simply changes the shape of the curve.
Exactly right.
But no matter how high oil prices go it is unlikely we'll ever get back to discovering 55-60 billion bbls of new oil per year, as occurred during a several year span in the 1960s.
Cheers!
Fortunate then that the
scientist types are hard awork studying when "new" oil comes from, after it has been discovered!
Colin Campbell went down in flames over this one, fortunate that some of us learned from his mistakes!
Cheers!
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."
Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
by Plantagenet » Sat 23 Dec 2017, 22:55:46
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AdamB', 's')cientist types are hard awork[/url] studying when "new" oil comes from, after it has been discovered!
?????
Are you referring to "reserve growth"? You've got your terminology wrong again---thats not considered "new oil." It just reflects changes in the amount of oil in an existing field that is considered "recoverable."
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The world consumes about 35 BILLION barrels of oil per year. ---If you do the math, you'll find that new oil discoveries currently aren't happening fast enough to make that up.
Cheers!
Never underestimate the ability of Joe Biden to f#@% things up---Barack Obama
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by AdamB » Sun 24 Dec 2017, 11:30:53
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AdamB', 's')cientist types are hard awork[/url] studying when "new" oil comes from, after it has been discovered!
?????
Are you referring to "reserve growth"? You've got your terminology wrong again---thats not considered "new oil."
Well, that depends doesn't it?
Someone, like a Colin Campbell, declares that this amount of oil is it, because of his inexpert but exhaustive studies of how much oil was "discovered". It then turns out that the number was an underestimate, because someone found "new" oil in the same place the "old" oil was.
So if you don't think it is newly discovered oil, what is the best term for it? Just reserve growth? Because here is the hitch..when it happens, what Colin does is he takes the "new" volumes, and puts them back inside the "discovered" column on those types of discovery graphs, revising them upwards. That would seem to indicate he might think this oil is "discovered", even decades after it actually was?
Plant Thu 27 Jul 2023 "Personally I think the IEA is exactly right when they predict peak oil in the 2020s, especially because it matches my own predictions."
Plant Wed 11 Apr 2007 "I think Deffeyes might have nailed it, and we are just past the overall peak in oil production. (Thanksgiving 2005)"
by Plantagenet » Sun 24 Dec 2017, 12:46:39
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AdamB', '
')So if you don't think it is newly discovered oil, what is the best term for it? Just reserve growth?
Yes, its called reserve growth.
Oil isn't newly discovered if its already been discovered.
Think about it.
Cheers!
Never underestimate the ability of Joe Biden to f#@% things up---Barack Obama
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Keep running between the raindrops.
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