by Tanada » Sun 12 Nov 2017, 21:49:55
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mercani', 'I')n the long run, it seems that the real problem is not peak oil, but the idea of sustainable infinite growth = capitalism, which is totally non-sense.
I assume most of the people would be enligtened after post-peak about this fact.
Therefore I propose a new economic system to replace Capitalism, for discussion. I haven't thought about this deeply, so never mind if it is crap.
Could we create a different economic system where "free market" is a principle, but a person can own at most some specific amount of wealth. Overpassing this limit is illegal, you have the spend the excess wealth in some limited time, and reduce your wealth. Otherwise government forcefully takes it and uses it for some good purpose(HIV research, aid to starving Africa, etc)
That would limit the incentive for growth.
e.g. once a "Bill Gates" goes over this limit(for example $1 million), he should be forced to spend the excess wealth he has, and reduce it to $1 million. Therefore in the end Microsoft would be owned by millions of people. Does this also kill the incentive of Microsoft to develop new products?
Is there a fundamental problem with this approach?
One problem would be, what happens when nearly everybody becomes rich and owns $1 million? This seems like everybody is equal, too much like Communism.
Another problem:
The economy can grow only at the rate of population. Therefore this may push even population up faster. Now, we have to put a legel limit on the number of births.
Is this utopia?
What do you think?
Is it possible that we are stupid enough to stick to Capitalism after peak-oil is all over?
Is it our destiny to hit peak-whatever after we hit peak-oil?
Your plan has a fundamental problem that is nearly identical with all such plans. You make the presumption that the goal of infinite growth on a finite planet is something new that only came upon the human race as the result of discovering abundant easily accessed energy sources.
That is not at all the case. Humans as individuals, tribes, city-states and nation states have always sought to grow in influence/power compared to whomever their rivals are. Eliminate wealth as the status ,marker and it will just be replaced by some other status marker to show who is 'most desirable' and who is homeless.
IOW growth is an innate human desire and you can't get rid of it without genetically engineering all future generations to lack that trait. The difference is through the vast majority of history muscle power was the limit of personal power. even the best Roman and Chinese imperial trebuchet/Catapult/Ballista were ultimately loaded and energized with muscle power. Gunpowder when it was introduced first supplemented and then replaced raw muscle as the best way of winning a fight and replaced it with skill in handheld gunpowder burning weapons. That meant the geekiest guy in the tribe could be the most successful provided he had he skill and reflexes to kill or intimidate all his rivals. The old saying is a Gun makes everyone equal because it doesn't take strength to pull the trigger, just accuracy to hit what you are aiming at.
Humans successfully adapted to gunpowder and its later versions because it still boiled down to human against human in dominance games. Steam power changed the equation far more by providing the ability to transport a small highly skilled army hundreds of miles in a few hours which meant a small specialized force could defeat a large part time force through superior skill and equipment. Railroads and steamships mean nation states can become arbitrarily large and force their desires on surprisingly large numbers of the poorly equipped.
But in reality even that is somewhat an illusion. The real key to dominating other people amounts to a willing use of ruthless force, and a long term commitment to do so. The government of the USSR from 1917-1987 was very successful as a government because it had both of those traits. The British Empire of the 19th Century or the French Empire under Napoleon Bonaparte, or even the Roman Empire of the first century AD all shared these traits. So long as you are ruthless and committed you can gain and hold power. Mussolini for example ruled Italy from 1922-1943 without being particularly bloody as authoritarian leaders go. Not a wonderful guy, but not a brute for brutish sake like Hitler or Stalin.