by Outcast_Searcher » Tue 15 Aug 2017, 15:07:07
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cog', 'T')he amount of ignorance about what the Fed and Treasury actually does in this country is astounding.
I generally agree with that.
However, I don't see what you object to in the last statement creedomino made (I am assuming this comment is in response to that).
It's not immediately intuitive, but if the fed sells treasuries, the theory is that it will soak up a bunch of the excess cash sloshing around in the economy. i.e. it would be shrinking its huge balance sheet, which it ballooned starting in 2008 when it bought a bunch of treasuries and distributed cash to banks.
If a lot (i.e. several $trillions) of such cash goes away, then the expectation is it will drive up interest rates.
Looking around a bit on the web and thinking a bit about it, I fail to see a problem with that basic premise.
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Now when and whether they actually get around to DOING that (instead of claiming they will and reneging, over and over) is, of course, a completely different issue. i.e. it's little wonder why the fed is so broadly mistrusted in the US, IMO.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.