by shortonoil » Mon 11 Sep 2017, 08:14:00
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o this is the business model you based the etp on?
Silly little troll; the Etp Model has absolutely nothing to do with a business model! Is that the only subject on which that your simplistic little brain can operate? The Etp Model is a thermodynamic model for petroleum production; no dollars and cents are used in its derivation. None are needed Dollars can't be used reliably because they do not represent a constant numerical value. Their value changes unpredictably over time. Energy units are constants, and will remain so until the end of the universe comes to pass.
Since a business model is apparently all that you can get your pointy little head wrapped around, the business model of the near future for the petroleum industry will be chapter 11 bankruptcy. They are not replacing their reserves, and can't replace them for less than about $60/ barrel, so they are going out of business. Knowing this (because they are in the oil business) they will make the first move to protect what remains of their assets, and fat management salaries. They are not going to wait around for the creditors to show up at the front door. They will operate under chapter 11 protection until what remains of their existing reserves can be turned into cash flow. With less than 5 years of developed, and producing reserves remaining they don't have long before the bond, and equity holders realize what is taking place, and remove the present management through the courts. Expect a Major to file over the next 18 months. Once one files, the cat will have jumped out of the bag, and the rest will rush to the court house. The oil age will have then officially come to its conclusion.