How Contagious Pathogens Could Lead to Nuke-Level Casualties$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')img]http://data.whicdn.com/images/17696859/2u61ro6_large.jpg[/img]
What if nuclear bombs could reproduce? Get your hands on one today, and in a week's time you've got a few dozen. Of course, nukes don't double on their own. But contagious, one-celled pathogens do. Properly packaged as a bioweapon, they could kill as many people as a hydrogen bomb would, or more.
Milana Trounce, MD, a clinical associate professor of emergency medicine, wants to get people to worry about this possibility. For the fourth year in a row, she is presiding over a course called
Biosecurity and Bioterrorism Response, which aims to get students thinking about how to prevent bioterror and, in the event of a biological attack, what to do about it. More than 100 Stanford undergraduate, graduate, postdoctoral and professional students, representing disciplines ranging from public policy to biological science to engineering and bioengineering, have enrolled.
... "The advent of modern molecular genetic technologies is making it increasingly feasible to engineer bioweapons," said Block, who is also the Stanford W. Ascherman Professor of Sciences and a guest lecturer in Trounce's class.
"It's making people with even moderate skills able to create threats they couldn't before."A natural anthrax strain mailed to public officials in a series of homegrown terrorist incidents in late 2001—while deadly—was treatable, Block said. But the technology for making drug-resistant anthrax—or, for that matter, creating all manner of novel "designer diseases"—is becoming increasingly available worldwide, not to mention cheaper and more sophisticated.
Trounce agrees. "We are undergoing a biotechnology revolution," she said. "Even in the last 10 years, science has advanced so much that you can engineer some of the scariest organisms—for example, smallpox."
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')i]In laboratory experiments, scientists have mutated H5N1—a deadly influenza strain that so far has been transmitted to humans only by birds—to become transmissible by other humans. They have synthesized the Spanish flu virus, a naturally occurring strain that swept the globe in a 1918 pandemic, killing far more people than died in all the battles of World War I. What if any of those were to get out of the lab?
... "The United States abandoned offensive bioweapons research," Trounce said. "Unfortunately, the Soviets did not." Despite signing the treaty, the Soviet Union conducted a massive, ultra-secret bioweapons effort that continued through the early 1990s.
As she examined one of those facilities, which housed dangerous microorganisms, Trounce said,
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')i]"It blew my mind," Trounce continued. "As a Soviet citizen, I had had no idea these facilities even existed. To come as a U.S. citizen and see these facilities where thousands of scientists had been working on the deadliest pathogens was unbelievable. Who knows what I didn't see?"