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A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing status quo

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Mon 10 Jul 2017, 20:25:34

So far, with almost six months in office, the economy seems to be surging, economic indicators across the board are encouraging, and no great manmade disasters have occurred.

Windbag that he is, it seems probable that Trump may earn himself a second term on merit.

The media of course are still playing "Gotcha", and have not noticed.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Newfie » Tue 11 Jul 2017, 06:54:15

I wonder if the changing way we're are using autos is relevant to this discussion. For me, as a kid in a spread out rural cumminity, having some wheels was FREEDOM! Over the years the joy of driving has greatly diminished. Waaaaay too much traffic. Going to Lowes to get a 2x4, 5 miles away, was a one hour ordeal.

Now fewer kids are getting cars and even drivers licenses. They don't have the experience of being able to go where you want when you want. They need to work in some communal space via mass transit, ride share, Uber, whatever. Also, they can't go to that back country lake and skinny dip at 12:30 am, as the whim strikes.

I presume they feel that having a car, with the attendant costs and restrictions (parking) is a restriction on their freedom. I presume they don't know of the freedom of wild spaces. Just the hum of the hive.

And to change thoughts a bit...........

I think the roots of this thread have been around a long time in our popular culture. The Star Trek BORG series realty with the concepts of personal freedom vs give loyalty. The Matrix concept dealt with our addiction to entertainment. Most to me he point, now that I've made the connection. Was that old ZARDOZ movie, which surely discusses the Overshoot Predator and the value of an over indulgent life.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Tanada » Tue 11 Jul 2017, 10:08:46

I think a lot of this transition to fewer teens driving has to do with the population dynamics. When most of the members here were born the urban to rural proportions in the USA were about 70/30. Today they are a lot closer to 50/50. Urban lifestyles are not personal car dependent while rural/exurban/suburban lifestyles are personal transport dependent unless you can find a job in your very local community.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Tue 11 Jul 2017, 12:52:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '
')Now fewer kids are getting cars and even drivers licenses. They don't have the experience of being able to go where you want when you want. They need to work in some communal space via mass transit, ride share, Uber, whatever. Also, they can't go to that back country lake and skinny dip at 12:30 am, as the whim strikes.

I presume they feel that having a car, with the attendant costs and restrictions (parking) is a restriction on their freedom. I presume they don't know of the freedom of wild spaces. Just the hum of the hive.

You're right, at least for many urban dwellers vs. rural dwellers. Different lifestyles, needs, choices (with better technology), and wants. For them the freedom and whim fulfillment we consider natural and "required" isn't that important -- clearly.

In the latter 80's, I noticed that (IMO) computers were often replacing cars as the "cool" thing that many young people became expert on working on. And with the many BBS systems springing up in the late 80's to early 90's (best as I can recall), there was a natural social outlet for people to share their PC building/tweaking experiences -- vs the garage or race strip or whatever had been used for "car guys". The widespread mid-80's adoption of fuel injection (which computers made possible), was of course a big contributor to that, as cars were suddenly becoming a LOT more reliable for things as simple as starting consistently or running reliably for more like a decade than half that.

These big changes across one or at most two generations are many places -- the car is just a very recent example.

I look at me and many of my college educated career "professional" friends who are now between say 55 and 65. The big thing we noticed around age 30 was how HELPLESS and STUPID we generally were when anything went wrong mechanically with the car, with the house, etc. We had to just call for help in most cases. And we'd remark how our parents or grandparents would frequently fix or patch or rig something to get by -- or even fix the thing better than most repairmen.

A huge change. Very fast. For a LARGE segment of first world people.

In another generation, I wonder if I'll even be able to meaningfully TALK to kids who will be doing god knows what, buried deep in some level(s) of virtualization in things I've never even heard of. IMO, technology can only be rapidly accelerating that sort of change.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Tue 11 Jul 2017, 14:21:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '-')snip-
You're right, at least for many urban dwellers vs. rural dwellers. Different lifestyles, needs, choices (with better technology), and wants. For them the freedom and whim fulfillment we consider natural and "required" isn't that important -- clearly.

-snip-

These big changes across one or at most two generations are many places -- the car is just a very recent example.

I look at me and many of my college educated career "professional" friends who are now between say 55 and 65. The big thing we noticed around age 30 was how HELPLESS and STUPID we generally were when anything went wrong mechanically with the car, with the house, etc. We had to just call for help in most cases. And we'd remark how our parents or grandparents would frequently fix or patch or rig something to get by -- or even fix the thing better than most repairmen.

A huge change. Very fast. For a LARGE segment of first world people.

In another generation, I wonder if I'll even be able to meaningfully TALK to kids who will be doing god knows what, buried deep in some level(s) of virtualization in things I've never even heard of. IMO, technology can only be rapidly accelerating that sort of change.


The change in vehicle technology is what caused the loss of automotive expertise. This was driven primarily by emissions regulations, which brought on first electronic ignitions and electronic fuel injection, then finally multiple engine and powertrain digital microprocessors talking on digital busses to one another. I'll just point this out because it's not like today's adults are stupider or less intuitive than their parents, it's just that the vehicle tech requires another specialized computer to diagnose and repair it.

As for tomorrow's kids - I believe that the next step is skull-implanted devices with WiFi and Bluetooth and possibly cellular connectivity. (Maybe even satphone capability if you are willing to plug an external antenna into your head.) These will be networked people - effectively a hive mind, more likely multiple hive minds, conversing much faster than the speed of speech with text created at the speed of thought.

They exist already, as Ibon pointed out - they are just texting with their thumbs now.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Tue 11 Jul 2017, 15:14:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KaiserJeep', '
')The change in vehicle technology is what caused the loss of automotive expertise. ... I'll just point this out because it's not like today's adults are stupider or less intuitive than their parents, it's just that the vehicle tech requires another specialized computer to diagnose and repair it.

Agreed. I didn't mean to imply that today's adults are "stupider" re cars. (Though I think a large proportion of us ARE FAR less competent re basic "handyman" type maintenance/repair skills, generally). But IMO, it's stunning how swiftly and completely the change took place. It took under 20 years for the vast majority of the corner handyman garage station mechanic type (i.e. without the computer resources of a full car specialist shop) to go away -- and these were largely staffed by car mechanics by trade.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')As for tomorrow's kids - I believe that the next step is skull-implanted devices with WiFi and Bluetooth and possibly cellular connectivity. (Maybe even satphone capability if you are willing to plug an external antenna into your head.) These will be networked people - effectively a hive mind, more likely multiple hive minds, conversing much faster than the speed of speech with text created at the speed of thought.

They exist already, as Ibon pointed out - they are just texting with their thumbs now.

That may well be. But I don't see myself joining those ranks soon, if at all. (I am also a holdout re a smart phone, so that "mule" tendency is clearly there. If I find meaningful killer apps worth the price, I'm willing to reconsider on that).

Given all the risks/problems with security and hackers, much less bugs and corporate carelessness and stupidity and NOT looking out for the customer in software/computers, I'll keep that stuff at arm's length from my skull, for when things go wrong, thank you very much.

Oh, and then of course, there's the early adopter medical issues. I think I'll wait for the many potential issues for the first generation (or three) of that to play out medically as well.

(If they come up with reliable replacement brains that are well proven, I may reconsider as I age. LOL)
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Tue 11 Jul 2017, 15:52:50

OS, I'm stunned, really. I too refuse to carry around a smart phone. Actually I don't carry around a dumb phone, either. I was forced to do so once, when I worked for a Persian who wanted to offload all his decision making on me, and then blame me if "he" didn't make the right call. That was in the days of analog flip phones, I have not carried one since.

I do carry around an e-reader because I fill every spare minute by reading. If I'm in the mood, I turn on the WiFi and catch up with e-mail or this forum. I am just as networked as I care to be.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Newfie » Tue 11 Jul 2017, 19:48:29

The meta story behind the above observations is that younger generations are far more reliant on support systems than older generations. Urban dwellers are far more reliant than rural dwellers.

The young urbanite is very hooked into the hive and requires it to function for their way of life if not survival. Small dairy farmers and commercial fisherman are probably the polar opposite of the metro sexual set. It could be argued that todays youth have as much freedom as past generations, it's just expressed in different activities. I would counter that this is true on the surface but deeper that kind of reliance on the hive requires the individual to conform to the norms of the hive. Tatto sleeves may look outrageous and edgy but they are really just a subset of hive normalcy. A otherwise "normal" person who is inheriently a loner, who is not electronically connected would be an outlier. I'm thinking of someone who could stand behind a plow mule for 10 hours a day.

Chris Christopherson wrote "Freedoms is just another word for nothing left to loose." Today's young urbanites have a great deal to loose, which would tend to argue they have very little freedom.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Wed 12 Jul 2017, 00:46:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KaiserJeep', 'O')S, I'm stunned, really. I too refuse to carry around a smart phone. Actually I don't carry around a dumb phone, either.

We're actually close on that. I carry around a dumb cell phone, but for MY convenience - no one else's.

I won't look at it (or notice messages, if they show up when I'm driving or busy) for days at a time. I refuse to give that number to businesses, etc. that want to pester me. If they want to pester me by phone, they can use the land line, talk to the machine, and WAIT for me to get back to them, just like everyone else.

However, if, say, I have a problem on the road with the car -- having a cell phone is a BIG piece of mind, at least to me.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')I do carry around an e-reader because I fill every spare minute by reading. If I'm in the mood, I turn on the WiFi and catch up with e-mail or this forum. I am just as networked as I care to be.

Yup, I love to read too. Aside from my home PC's for internet access and gaming (mostly old school), I have very few electronic gadgets. By far my favorite is my Kindle e-reader. Being able to conveniently haul around hundreds of books in something the size/weight of a paperback is just ideal to me.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Newfie » Wed 12 Jul 2017, 09:49:16

I use my smart phone a lot. All email and web searching. But also it is my scientific calculator, camera of convience, navigation charts/gps, weather station.

Some modern convienced are just damn nice. But we try to pick what we use carefully. TV and increasingly FM radio are toast.

Being overly tied to the hive tends to limit your degree of flexibility in thought. Most especially it restricts your world view to the hive, the hive demands attention. If you want to know something of the world beyond human interaction you need to leave the hive, sever that connection for at least some significant period, and expose yourself to nature. Not just day trips, you need to learn how to listen and see.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Ibon » Wed 12 Jul 2017, 12:53:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'T')he meta story behind the above observations is that younger generations are far more reliant on support systems than older generations. Urban dwellers are far more reliant than rural dwellers.


If I was going to make a counter argument regarding the deconstruction impulse in our society it would be along these lines. This meta story is actually how socialized and reliant the whole planet is slowly becoming to a digital infrastructure. This dependency is acting as a very powerful conservative force to hold people to the existing status quo. It is borg like for sure and it is self perpetuating with each generation having less self reliance and more dependency on this digital matrix.

It is a positive feedback toward tying us more forcefully to the current trajectory moving us ever closer to the brick wall of consequences. Nobody is doing much questioning or putting up more than just tepid resistance.

Is resistance futile? Are we being assimilated beyond the ability of an individual to act independently is any significant way?
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Newfie » Wed 12 Jul 2017, 18:54:48

Trying to do my part, within the bounds of comfort of course! :lol:
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Wed 12 Jul 2017, 21:40:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', '
')It is a positive feedback toward tying us more forcefully to the current trajectory moving us ever closer to the brick wall of consequences. Nobody is doing much questioning or putting up more than just tepid resistance.

Is resistance futile? Are we being assimilated beyond the ability of an individual to act independently is any significant way?

While that's unquestionably valid as far as it goes, there are counter-trends. So no doubt, the connected electronic world is changing society. But IMO, it's not all toward pure conformity and sameness, at least not in ideas and lifestyles.

A couple examples:

1). I chose to be single. Given that IMO, overpopulation is the worlds' biggest problem, I strongly believe that it is total insanity to try to push/force people who would rather be childless to have children. And I felt that having children was the primary reason to get married, at least for me.

In the 80's this was heretical thought. I was told by various "nice" church-goers that I was a sinner, that I was going to hell, that I was evil, etc. OK, so people can have their opinions, but this somehow doesn't seem exactly "Christian" to me, but what do I know?

But as the decades progressed, people have greatly relaxed in areas like this. Now not only is it fine to be childless, mainstream thought has it fine to have a wide variety of alternative lifestyles re sex, gender, etc. I call it progress (I like freedom of choice as long as long as it doesn't result in actual harm to people) -- many will strongly disagree of course.

2). Just looking at the variety of groups, of reading choices, etc. is astounding, IMO. Electronic communication has greatly broadened the choices people have in terms of what they read, watch, etc, and who they hang out with (virtually, at any rate).

So while I agree that the dependency is there, hopefully some of the wide variety of choices in terms of thought and social groups is at least some compensation. Heaven forbid the huge majority of people in the US (as one example) wanted the 50's conformity of the traditional family, white picket fence, no access for foreigners or non-whites, limited political beliefs that allowed things like McCarthyism, etc.

Now, maybe this is just putting lipstick on a pig (and if so I plead guilty), but to me it's not even close to all negatives in the electronic era.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 13 Jul 2017, 07:24:44

Those are valid comments. As the world contracts into survival factions those "freedoms" will evaporate into group conformity.

So, as the human world shrinks there is something to be lost as well as something to be gained.

Like most things in life it's not clear cut good vs evil. We are eternally ambivelent trying to hold multiple ideals and goals.

Such is life.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 13 Jul 2017, 07:37:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '
')
Now, maybe this is just putting lipstick on a pig (and if so I plead guilty), but to me it's not even close to all negatives in the electronic era.


Those were good points. It is interesting how we can see two contradictory trends. This digital matrix aiding in busting open long held social norms as you mentioned at the same time as it is creating a narrowing down and homogenization as well. This narrowing down is not so much ideological as it is about dependency on the digital matrix itself. It is so powerful that for the young generation emerging who never knew life before this matrix they are not even able to understand what this loss of independence even means. Living with the dominance of the digital matrix is all they know.

If I stay on the positive side in reference to the impact this digital matrix has on human overshoot then the best I can come up with is that if we do have a major cultural shift toward prioritizing sustainability and reducing our ecological impacts on the planet then the conduit of this digital matrix to spread these values can be quite formidable. This might happen. I am thinking along the lines of severe consequences pulling consensus together globally and how this digital matrix can be used to homogenize our whole civilization towards more sustainable cultural values.

It would be a crazy irony in and of itself since the digital matrix removes us from many aspects of organic life and yet it might help us become unified in preserving it.

This is the best spin I can put on it. I remain very dubious and basically I see this whole digital matrix as a big monkey on our backs that is far more toxic than enlightening. The way it eclipses organic reality is essentially taking us further from feeling connected to natural processes.

I feel grateful that this digital parasite was not yet present during my childhood. I also have the humility to recognize that my whole position here represents something quaint and now totally obsolete.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 13 Jul 2017, 09:45:06

Consider that the "digital matrix" is a new environment that we (well the kids anyway) are adapting to. Advantages/disadvantages aside, is this new environment sustainable?

Then again, we have destabilized the old environment.

So is ther ANY stable environment?

My bet is the next few hundred years will be characterized by rapid large scale changes not only in the physical environment but within the social/cultural environment.

Outcasts points out the social acceptance we have adopted. Cog fortells the social retreat to the tribe, the retrenchment of social acceptance. Ibon points out they are both adaptive mechanisms.

What are the limits of human adaption? Individually and as a species?

What are the adaptive limits within our ecosystem?
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Thu 13 Jul 2017, 12:44:33

Make no mistake, digital tech is a win/win in every sense. It enables efficiencies in manufacturing, agriculture, even personal craftsmanship. It makes for more efficient personal transportation, shipping, retailing, warehousing, ordering, and consumption.

There is simply NO WAY that digital electronics is unsustainable. Without it's added efficiency, the world economy would already be in collapse, oil in decline, famine rampant, and probably, resource wars underway.

There is no excuse for not understanding the benefit of digital tech. Just LOOK Around at the changes that have occurred since 1980. That is when personal digital tech became affordable.

If you long for the "simpler" lifestyle pre-1980, just remember that you would be relatively poor and scrambling to feed you and yours without it.

As I have said more than once, the last two people on Earth may be suffering from exposure and malnutrition, but they will be networked and messaging each other.
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 13 Jul 2017, 13:18:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KaiserJeep', '
')As I have said more than once, the last two people on Earth may be suffering from exposure and malnutrition, but they will be networked and messaging each other.


Here is the rub. Those last two would believe this to be true since they wouldn't have any idea of the existence of that small commune down that hidden canyon that chose to liberate themselves from digital handcuffs a generation before.

This is the inherent blind spot of being networked. When the network is all you know then outside of the network is not even in your consensus reality.

There is a whole world out there!
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Re: A global tug of war: strengthening or deconstructing sta

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Thu 13 Jul 2017, 16:36:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', '-')snip-

This is the inherent blind spot of being networked. When the network is all you know then outside of the network is not even in your consensus reality.

There is a whole world out there!


Irrelevent. The efficiency and conservation of resources is why the network exists. If you vanquish the network from one village, it dies years before the next village, identical in size and resources, because they utilize those resources more efficiently, then trade with other villages on the net, etc. etc.

There is nothing positive from relinquishing your network connection. You mentioned Mt. Totumas got a microwave link a few years back. Stop and think of everything you gained, including this Forum. Including the information network that allowed your implementation of a micro-hydro plant. Including everything that you can order online. Including an online booking system for guests, and website advertizing that sucks them in.

In fact the network is so embedded in modern society that those who relinquish or lose network connectivity end up being relatively poorer than before, since everyone else is networked. Your perspective that something was lost and could possibly be regained if the network were abandonned is a curious one, and something I really doubt.

The Catholic Church on the corner is distributing portable solar USB chargers to the homeless for their Obama phones. They appear to value these more than food, almost as much as the alcohol or drugs of their primary addictions.

There's no going back. I watch those entranced by the digital world every day, and step around them, feeling superior and smug, as do you. But in my car is a sealed burner phone for emergency use, and an e-reader with WiFi. Sometimes a few days pass between me connecting it to the network, which does not worry me. I try to read e-mail once a day, but a 3-5 day lapse is not unheard of. I think we of the senior class are each as networked as suits us.
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