by Tanada » Wed 26 Apr 2017, 13:28:17
If there is one lesson that has been pounded home to me in the 12 years I have been here it is this.
Here to STAY is never the case.
This is especially true of predictions that we are at peak, that prices will be higher, that price will be lower, that the end of the world is here to stay. This is profoundly the case in the USA.
The world as we know it is an illusion, everything is always in flux within a range. If you are just 21 years old then you were born into a world that was incredibly different than the world today. If you are 42 or 63 the differences between your birth and today are even more shocking than they are for the 21 year old. The vast changes are because while things cycle around the range I mentioned disruptive events come along that reset where that range is.
1954
If you are 63 then when you were born many homes had a single TV set that was a black and white CRT picture tube design. Those homes without a TV mostly wanted one but were getting by with a radio until they could afford to upgrade. That TV was highly likely to be circuited with vacuum tube electronics, but a modern table top radio was often transistors with no vacuum tubes.
1975
If you are 42 then when you were born most homes had a black and white TV and the better off folks also had a color TV as well. The poor folks who couldn't afford a TV before and wanted one now had used black and white TV's that they had gotten from neighbors or better off relatives when those people traded them in or gave them away after getting their color TV. The first microchip computer was an inventors prototype that only a tiny number of people had heard anything about. Your phone was a landline connected by wires to the wall with an attached handset receiver. A brand new piece of electronics had solid state transistors instead of vacuum tubes.
1996
If you are 21 then when you were born most homes had two or more color TV sets, often with an old Black and White as a spare stuck in the attic or in the garage and rarely used. None of the sets had vacuum tubes unless they were kept for nostalgic reasons because getting new tubes was difficult and expensive. The new rage was for average folks to carry a beeper/pager that was about the size of a deck of cards that would beep and read out a phone number or short text message telling you who needed you to call. If you were a show off you might have a cellular 'bag phone' but everyone still had landline phones. Almost everyone has a home Personal Computer that is supposed to be for business or homework but mostly gets used for playing games or chatting online with people through services like America Online.
2017
Look around and compare now to any of the brief synopses above. Admit to yourself that 'The End Of the World As We Know It' has happened repeatedly over the last 70 years, and if I felt like making the effort I could easily extent that to the 84 year old members who may be reading this that were born in 1933 at the depths of the Great Depression. Ask them if the world is the same as they remember from childhood. After they finish laughing they will tell you as much as you care to listen.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Alfred Tennyson', 'W')e are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.