by Subjectivist » Tue 25 Apr 2017, 21:36:45
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Glut of Vehicles, Uneven Demand Put Trucking Profits in the Crosshairs
More cargo is moving through U.S. ports and on the nation’s highways, but whether the added volumes will boost trucking profits is another matter.
A test could come as soon as Monday, when J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc., JBHT -0.25% one of the biggest U.S. freight carriers, is expected to announce its first-quarter earnings. J.B. Hunt operates a large trucking fleet and is the leading provider of “intermodal” services, which involves arranging for trucks and trains to move freight around the country.
Often those journeys start at the docks, where imports have been surging in the past few weeks, including a 26% year-over-year jump in March at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, Calif. But trucking companies tell a different story in the interior, where a glut of trucks and uneven demand are holding down the rates carriers charge retailers, manufacturers and other shippers.
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Shippers ramped up activity in March, according to the online freight marketplace DAT Solutions LLC. Loads available for shipment on the spot truckload market, where companies book freight transportation on a daily basis, were up 46% last month compared with February and 92% year-over-year. But spot rates for dry vans, the most common type of tractor-trailers used for consumer goods, were up only 7.2% year-over-year, according to DAT.
Swift Transportation Co. , a large trucking company, lowered earnings guidance for the first quarter on April 10, citing soft demand. Swift said the company was “cautiously optimistic about the back half of 2017” but that it expected the difficult operating environment to persist into the second quarter. That same day the company said it would merge with Knight Transportation Inc.
Hub Group Inc., HUBG -1.10% a J.B. Hunt rival, slashed its profits forecast, also on April 10, causing its stock to tumble about 15% the next day. Hub attributed the shift to “extraordinarily aggressive intermodal pricing” and excess capacity in the truck market.
Analysts at Citi and Cowen & Co. lowered 2017 earnings estimates for J.B. Hunt after Hub’s announcement, citing pricing pressures for truckload and intermodal carriers. Analysts have an average forecast of 85 cents a share for the first quarter, according to FactSet. At the end of last year, the average forecast was for profit of 90 cents a share.
“Clearly, we’re in a soft patch,” said Citi analyst Christian Wetherbee. “The truck market has been under a good amount of pressure in the past two years.”
Many trucking companies have pulled trucks from service over the past year, in a bid to tighten up capacity and gain better leverage on pricing. J.B. Hunt, on the other hand, added trucks last year to its “dedicated” segment, where the company’s big rigs perform repeat business for specific customers. The firm has pared back its truckload fleet, which serves shippers who fill entire trailers with freight.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/glut-of-ve ... 1492254003