by vtsnowedin » Fri 21 Apr 2017, 09:54:14
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Well you are right about that, but you are a brave lad to take that bet on production. It takes 50% more Shale to produce a barrel of finished product than it does light sweet crude.
Again with the fifty percent loss BS Shorty ? You really are persistent if not all that clever.
But OK let's look at your statement ,false as it is, and see what that might mean using last weeks price of $53 for WTI.
Compare a well #1 of conventional oil with a ERoEI of 9 to 1 if your statement was correct the fracking well #2 it will take 50% more energy in the form of crude for each barrel so would have a ERoEI 5.7 to 1
Well #1 produces 10 barrels and uses 1 of them to produce the other 9 and well #2 produces 10 barrels and uses 1.5 of them to produce the other 8.5 . Are you following along?
So lets move on to cost per barrel to produce these crudes. Well #1 uses $53 of oil to produce 9 for a cost per barrel for a cost per barrel of $5.88/bl and well #2 uses $79.50 to produce 8.5 barrels for a cost of $9.35/ barrel.
Both the $5.88- 9 barrels and the $9.35 - 8.5 barrels have the same API and same BTUs per barrel as far as the refinery and final customers are concerned.
Now the fracking company is not going to be selling any oil for ten dollars a barrel but a difference in production costs of $3.47 is certainly not the end of the world in a $50 to $60 price world and won't be a problem until fracked oil becomes the majority of the worlds supply.