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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Can wasteful, suburban, life continue for more than 5 years?

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Can it?

Poll ended at Sun 14 Aug 2005, 18:50:58

Yes, alternatives will make life as-is.
10
No votes
No, alternatives will not be enough to sustain it.
29
No votes
No, we are too far down the line for alternatives to have a major effect on anything.
36
No votes
 
Total votes : 75

Can wasteful, suburban, life continue for more than 5 years?

Unread postby Cyrus » Fri 15 Jul 2005, 18:50:58

Can It?
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Unread postby jaws » Fri 15 Jul 2005, 19:05:26

Obviously not. However harsh, lean suburban life will take its place. Let's face it where are people going to live?
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Unread postby pilferage » Fri 15 Jul 2005, 19:20:03

We can swing it for five more years.
"Humankind cannot gain anything without first giving something in return. To obtain, something of equal value must be lost. "
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Unread postby SpaciousDreamer » Fri 15 Jul 2005, 19:28:39

This winter if heating bills go sky-high, we will see a lot of suburban belt-tightening. Even without increasing energy prices, suburban families are over-extended due to debt, bills, and property tax. Their disposable income has already been frittered away.
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Unread postby BabyPeanut » Fri 15 Jul 2005, 20:07:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', 'O')bviously not. However harsh, lean suburban life will take its place. Let's face it where are people going to live?
In 1995 my house was appraised to be "suburban" (there's a checkbox on the form) but in 2004 it was re-appraised as "urban". It is on the edge of a single-use zone so there are stores within hiking distance (less than 2 miles away.)

Summit insulation called today to confirm they will be installing the RetroFoam into my house's wall on the 19th. I expect the last 12 days in July will not require nearly as much A/C to stay cool with all that insulation added.

My ASKO dishwasher outsaves Energy Star
http://www.askousa.com/dishwashers/model.php?id=D3121

My ASKO washer/dryer allowed me to plug the exaust hole which allowed outside air into my house 7/24 in the past.
http://www.askousa.com/laundry/model.php?id=WCAM1812

My Hampton Bay brand Windward II energy-star ceiling fan (Airflow Efficiency: 161.07) is installed in the hottest room in my house (upper floor and southern exposure.)
http://www.buildinggreen.com/auth/artic ... 00306a.xml

Naturally I switched to compact fluorescent lighting (well in most fixtures at this point.) I like http://www.fresh2.com/ bulbs.

The refrigerator is not energy star but it is a 21st century model and a smallish one at that. It replaced an 80's unit that was in bad shape after 20 years or so of service. Even the worst 21st century refrigerators far surpass 20-year-old systems for efficiency.

I put two different layers of insulation on the electric hot water heater tank. (1) A thin inner one of thin plastic with a bubble layer and aluminum sprayed on it by the manufacture and (2) an fiberglass layer with a vinyl wrap.

Ebay link to the inner insulation layer.

Jan - Jul 2001 I used 7724 kWh
Jan - Jul 2005 I used 3380 kWh
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Unread postby Cyrus » Fri 15 Jul 2005, 20:16:55

For those who said yes; how long do you think it can continue?
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Unread postby lawnchair » Fri 15 Jul 2005, 20:19:53

You can juggle the numbers (call former suburbs cities). Maybe even start to redevelop them. But, since Levittown in 1947, I don't think there's been a net gain in classically-urban space. Since 1950, the US has gone from 152 million to 297 million residents. Oh, and large parts of the country (rural Kansas my own example) have even less population than they did in 1950.

The suburbs aren't going away, there's too many people for 'urban' life without major investment in cities.
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Unread postby BabyPeanut » Fri 15 Jul 2005, 20:41:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cyrus', 'F')or those who said yes; how long do you think it can continue?

I didn't say "yes" because you poisoned your "yes" by forcing it to be an "alternative energy" future not a "conservation" one or a "new urbanist" one. I didn't vote at all in the poll.
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Unread postby TheTurtle » Fri 15 Jul 2005, 21:22:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', ' ')Let's face it where are people going to live?


There are many here among us who suggest that is precisely the point.:(

Millions live in Suburia.
After PO, Suburbia is not sustainable.
There is nowhere else for those in Suburbia to live.
Ergo, millions will die.

I would also say the same holds true for all major urban areas.
“Humankind has not woven the web of life. We are but one thread within it. Whatever we do to the web, we do to ourselves.” (Ted Perry)
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Unread postby I_Like_Plants » Sat 16 Jul 2005, 04:07:34

I'm not ready to count out suburbia yet. Lots of growing space in the avg. suburban lawn and roof, etc. Use your own shit and you can get good yeilds. Look up a thing called "possum living" on the net and you can see how that extra square footage in the house can be used for chickens and rabbits, no they're not smelly if cared for right.

I see suburbia maybe depopulating a bit, but I'm not ready to count the whole thing out.
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Unread postby BabyPeanut » Sat 16 Jul 2005, 07:28:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('I_Like_Plants', 'L')ook up a thing called "possum living" on the net

http://www.f4.ca/text/possumliving.htm

POSSUM LIVING
HOW TO LIVE WELL WITHOUT A JOB
AND WITH (almost) NO MONEY

DOLLY FREED

Universe Books New York
Published in the United States of America in 1978
by Universe Books 381 Park Avenue South, New York, N.Y. 10016
(c)1978 by Universe Books

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publishers.

Library of Congress Catalog Card Number: 78-52190
ISBN 0-87663-987-2
Printed in the United States of America

My favorite quote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e take out the brain to add to the sausage.
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Unread postby eastbay » Sat 16 Jul 2005, 15:50:34

I think 5-20 years from now we will see the decay of the burbs. Some will decline slow...others fast...for example the first waves of Peak Oil will likely wreck havoc in the Sunbelt..ie Vegas and the likes..The bubs in say Ohio may have a slower decline. But they wil all more likely be the slums of tommorow.
I predict by 2030 it will be an entirely new world in the North America.


Leaf,

That's what I was thinking too. Most of the buildings, houses, and assorted infrastructure such as roads, freeways and water systems will slowly deteriorate and in about 25 years it will be largely uninhabited weed-encrusted rubble, but not slums exactly because slums have people.

For the next 5 to 10 years or so, however, the vast suburbs of North America may not appear all that much different from today, but the following period of time will be like slowly crumbling up an empty paper bag.
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Unread postby Ludi » Sat 16 Jul 2005, 16:23:39

Hw large in square feet is the average suburban yard, does anyone know?
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Unread postby Ludi » Sat 16 Jul 2005, 21:49:33

Biointensive agriculture can feed a person on 4000 square feet (sometimes less), so the average suburban yard is probably too small for more than one person.

You might be interested in researching Biointensive, pstarr, it requires fewer square feet than your figures.
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Unread postby Sgs-Cruz » Sat 16 Jul 2005, 22:50:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'Y')ou might be interested in researching Biointensive, pstarr, it requires fewer square feet than your figures.


Out of interest (not making a judgement here) does biointensive agriculture produce a diet that meets Canada Food Guide or USDA guidelines, or is it vegan / vegetarian?
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Unread postby EnergySpin » Sat 16 Jul 2005, 22:58:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ut of interest (not making a judgement here) does biointensive agriculture produce a diet that meets Canada Food Guide or USDA guidelines

USDA or the American Heart Association have been pushing for a vegetarian diet ... so the point is mute :-D
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Unread postby Ludi » Sun 17 Jul 2005, 08:43:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sgs-Cruz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'Y')ou might be interested in researching Biointensive, pstarr, it requires fewer square feet than your figures.


Out of interest (not making a judgement here) does biointensive agriculture produce a diet that meets Canada Food Guide or USDA guidelines, or is it vegan / vegetarian?


The complete vegan diets outlined in papers published by Ecology Action which has done 30 years of Biointensive research meet USRDA for nutrients as of the time the papers were published. You might need to make adjustments based on current information. From what I understand, there might be a deficiency in iodide, but otherwise the diets supply sufficient calories, minerals, and amino acids. I think they could use refinement while still fitting within the parameters of Biointensive agriculture and not exceeding the recommended square footage.

Pamphlets: http://www.bountifulgardens.org/shop/gb ... apers.html

Books: http://www.bountifulgardens.org/shop/gr ... books.html

includes a book which outlines a complete diet to be grown in 1000 square feet, but I haven't read that one yet. :)
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