$20 per bbl??? That remains to be seen IMHO. But at current prices? Folks that didn't understand the pressure that the managers of pubcos feel to increase booked reserves y-o-y that led to the original shale boom will also have trouble understanding this report.
From
http://www.rigzone.com/news/oil_gas/a/1 ... its_Expand"The shale surge that’s tied down global oil prices shows no signs of abating, as four of the biggest U.S. drillers said they’re not backing away from lofty production targets for 2017. In second-quarter earnings reports, EOG Resources Inc., Devon Energy Corp., Newfield Exploration Co. and Diamondback Energy Inc. all outlined goals on Tuesday that would help push U.S. output toward a record 10 million barrels a day next year. Even Pioneer Natural Resources Co., which trimmed the top end of its forecast due to delays in the Permian shale basin, still expects to increase oil and natural gas volumes by 16 percent at year’s end.
The reports suggest staying power for a supply glut that’s kept world oil prices on a roller-coaster ride this year, even as OPEC nations vowed to reduce output. The optimism from the U.S. shale fields followed quarterly reports last week that showed
major international producers including Exxon Mobil Corp. and Royal Dutch Shell Plc are also learning to make money at $50 a barrel,less than half the peak that crude reached three years ago.
“In the best parts of the basins, shale is here to stay," said Rob Thummel, managing director at Tortoise Capital Advisors LLC in Leawood, Kansas, which manages $16 billion in energy-related assets. “Shale production is going up. It’s not a matter of if; it’s just a matter of how much."
Learning to make a profit at $50 a bbl shouldn't be to difficult: all Big Oil has to do is remember how it made profits from 1982 to 2004 when the inflation adjusted price of oil was significantly less then the current price. The big question will be whether it finds a meaningful number of projects similar to what it found during those 2 decades.