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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby ennui2 » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 09:11:37

Feeling superior...much?
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby Ibon » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 09:22:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ennui2', 'F')eeling superior...much?


No, not superior, but yes, I have more huevos than most. I could dumb the conversation down the way the masses of sheeples like it and retort back to you....Feeling resentful......much?

To what end though? Sparring like kids in a sandbox has become the new status quo of communication, hasn't it.... you excel at it lately for whatever monkey it is you have on your back.

A little bit of wisdom......feeling superior, the need to even feel superior, has its origins in insecurity. Whenever you see anyone posturing from a place of superiority the seed from where this sprouts is always insecurity.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby Ibon » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 09:40:43

Putting aside a moment Ennui's love affair with always focusing on the messenger instead of the message, and in order to not get sidetracked, I most humbly do submit that the resiliency of the status quo and TPTB is atleast as equally related to the masses of humanity allowing themselves willingly to submit to mediocrity as much as it has to do with TPTB representing some controlling force.

That is a vein worth exploring. The reason I bring this up is that most folks today are employed and tied into the status quo more firmly than in the past where there was more occupations of "self made men" like farmers, fisherman, folks who made a living from their own resources. Today almost everyone is an employee or far more dependent on TPTB than in historical times.

In spite of all the "empowerment" that technology was supposed to have brought us in the end we are more dependent rather than less. This dependency leads to a more submissive population, a population less courageous to question the status quo.... a population content to distract themselves with their digital devices..... a population content with the mediocrity for example of the typical posts you would see on Facebook.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby Tanada » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 10:43:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'P')utting aside a moment Ennui's love affair with always focusing on the messenger instead of the message, and in order to not get sidetracked, I most humbly do submit that the resiliency of the status quo and TPTB is atleast as equally related to the masses of humanity allowing themselves willingly to submit to mediocrity as much as it has to do with TPTB representing some controlling force.

That is a vein worth exploring. The reason I bring this up is that most folks today are employed and tied into the status quo more firmly than in the past where there was more occupations of "self made men" like farmers, fisherman, folks who made a living from their own resources. Today almost everyone is an employee or far more dependent on TPTB than in historical times.

In spite of all the "empowerment" that technology was supposed to have brought us in the end we are more dependent rather than less. This dependency leads to a more submissive population, a population less courageous to question the status quo.... a population content to distract themselves with their digital devices..... a population content with the mediocrity for example of the typical posts you would see on Facebook.


As a history nut I will posit an unpopular view in our "democracy". The overwhelming majority of people do not care about anything beyond their immediate life. They leave religion to the preachers, medicine to the doctors and leadership to the politicians simply because they don't care to invest their time learning the details of any of it. Nearly half of Americans never read a book after they get out of high school or college. If you do not count books read for entertainment the percentage that reads to learn anything after graduation falls to about 15 percent. In local elections, the kind that are not constantly hyped by the media, less than 20 percent of eligible voters turn out to cast a ballot.

IOW 80 percent of the population do not care enough to vote for their own mayor and city council.

Joe6P ad Jane6P care about home/car/kids/bills/entertainment/reality TV. They do not care about the environment except when the weather makes them uncomfortable. They do not care about truth, justice or your right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness except when it impact on their lifestyle.

If they think about you at all it is probably because you are ahead of them in traffic and they wish you would get out of their way.

There is a sound psychological/sociological reason why feudal living arrangements by many names have been the norm for the entire history of agriculture. Humans are tribal animals, if you take any random group of 40 adults and plop them in an isolated location what happens? 2 or 3 people will start 'making suggestions' or 'giving orders' and the remaining 37 or 38 will pick one as 'leader' and follow their directions. It is the way the human brain is wired, nothing more, nothing less.

Only 5 to 10 percent of people even want to be leaders, the rest are unwilling to take the role unless they actually have no choice. In a tribal society you would find a 'head man' a 'lieutenant/enforcer' and a 'religious leader/shaman'. Other than those three positions everyone else was willingly or not a follower of orders, not a giver.

The 90-95 percent of people who would rather follow than make any decision will do what TPTB think is best until their situation is so bad they can no longer tolerate their personal living conditions. That pretty much gives TPTB license to do whatever they want so long as it doesn't actually blatantly harm their followers.

Three modern examples,
The primary reason the Syrian civil war broke out is simple, their was a drought, that lead to famine and TPTB were slow to respond to the hunger of the masses.

In Crimea the junta that expelled the democratically elected government of Ukraine picked them as the scapegoat and made noises about ruining their lives and business dealings even further than they already were.

In Egypt the Muslim Brotherhood that seized power during the 'Arab spring' went so far reactionary that the people revolted a second time and the Military went back into power as they had been for decades before the Arab Spring.

Keep Joe and Jane well fed and provide entertainment and they will let you get away with murder. Make them hungry or scare them and if you don't correct the situation quickly they will rise up and boot you out of power.

BAU is food and entertainment, what the Romans called 'bread and circuses' and the elites in every country either supply it or face the prospect of being booted. The only places that manage otherwise are truly repressive to a terrifying degree. Stalinist Russia, Nazi Germany, Maoist China, Kim worshiping North Korea. Even think about crossing the line in any of those regimes and the consequences to you and family or friends is dire. ISIS is cut from the same cloth and managed to preform a minimum of 72 mass executions because the people were too fearful to resist.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby onlooker » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 10:53:56

I agree Ibon with your assessment. However I am also noticing an uneasy feeling sweeping the consciousness of the general populace. This is because people may not know the particulars of our unsustainable path but seem to suspect the menacing nature of the situation. My wife is into spirituality and the ET phenomenon and is optimistic about our collective situation. So people are handling this feeling and knowledge in different ways. I do believe the status quo in general is not very reassuring to most people at present. I see tectonic people inspired movements beginning to take shape and becoming ever more prominent in the near future.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')orld politics has undergone a radical and often-overlooked transformation in the last fifteen years, resulting neither from the collapse of the Soviet Union nor the rising tide of fundamentalism, but from the unprecedented growth of non-governmental organizations around the globe.

https://www.globalpolicy.org/component/ ... 31423.html
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby Ibon » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 11:25:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '
')Joe6P ad Jane6P care about home/car/kids/bills/entertainment/reality TV. They do not care about the environment except when the weather makes them uncomfortable. They do not care about truth, justice or your right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness except when it impact on their lifestyle.


I enjoyed your post and pretty much solidly agree. In many ways it was a bit more of a bleak assessment than my own because what you are suggesting is that not only do the vast majority willingly submit to follow their leaders but beyond that they do not have much of an interest in inquiry beyond their myopic immediate families and comforts.

Many of us here on this site and other sites that are in any way related to social justice or environmental causes or progress in these areas should really take pause at what Tanada is suggesting here. That the vast majority of folks really do live mediocre lives void of much spiritual inquiry or intellectual curiosity and do willingly submit to quite a low common denominator of discourse.

When you truly consider this and then you further consider that technology and fossil fuels empowered so much of the worlds population to become middle class consumers, in the end of the day all we have done the past 200 years was propagate mediocrity.

I have on some threads suggested that the middle class consumer is in aggregate far more destructive to our environment then is the elites. Dohboi in particular disputes this.

When you deeply consider what Tanada is saying, that this is the innate inclination of the vast majority of humanity to follow relatively shallow interests, then how can we realistically expect any meaningful disruption of the status quo?

I'll take it a step further and shift the main responsibility of our planets perilous state on the very empowered middle class far more than on TPTB.

The only challenge I would make to Tanada's assessment is that this is pretty American centric. I did live 10 years in Europe and I would say your average European is far more engaged in poltical, cultural and in environmental issues. There is a lot of Euro trash of course as well but mostly folks in Europe do express a concern over politics and environmental issues far more than your average more hedonistic American. So culture does have some influence.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby Ibon » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 11:31:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('onlooker', 'I') agree Ibon with your assessment. However I am also noticing an uneasy feeling sweeping the consciousness of the general populace. This is because people may not know the particulars of our unsustainable path but seem to suspect the menacing nature of the situation. My wife is into spirituality and the ET phenomenon and is optimistic about our collective situation. So people are handling this feeling and knowledge in different ways. I do believe the status quo in general is not very reassuring to most people at present. I see tectonic people inspired movements beginning to take shape and becoming ever more prominent in the near future.


This is the other side of the coin, something brewing in the collective stew that represents some yearning for more depth and meaning. We have had social movements in the past where change swept the masses, the 60's for example, even though some may say this was far more hedonistic then anything else. There was great environmental and social awareness raised though in that and the following decade. Significant laws were enacted.

Are we perhaps approaching Peak Mundanaity ?? (new word)
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby kublikhan » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 13:27:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('claman', 'B')ut it is also, in present times, a way to keep the majority of the people out of contact with the ongoing global debate.
All africans and south americans can read peakoil, but only a small percent of arabs, chinese, russian or indians can have the pleasure of reading our rants or points of view.
That sounds awfully self centered to me. TPTB have been pushing globalization for a very simple reason: they make tons of profits from it. They have not been stifling it because of a few dozen posters on peakoil.com.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby Tanada » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 14:01:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'T')he only challenge I would make to Tanada's assessment is that this is pretty American centric. I did live 10 years in Europe and I would say your average European is far more engaged in poltical, cultural and in environmental issues. There is a lot of Euro trash of course as well but mostly folks in Europe do express a concern over politics and environmental issues far more than your average more hedonistic American. So culture does have some influence.


On a surface level they could be much more engaged as you say, however the European countries right up until Brexit were still building new coal burning power plants and natural gas pipelines from Russia at least as fast as renewable energy supplies. They could still prove me wrong, France did a great job of decarbonizing in the 1973-85 the period. Unfortunately the rest of western Europe did an about face on real decarbonization in 1986 and 2011.

Heck as far as that goes American politicians give lip service to environmental causes plenty often enough right along with their constituents. The problem is lip service is as far as it goes.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby kublikhan » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 14:23:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', 'F')rance did a great job of decarbonizing in the 1973-85 the period.
I think that might have had more to do with the fact France lacks abundant fossil fuel resources and the skyrocketing cost of importing their fuel needs. It seems more like their hand was forced rather than any kind of green streak. And even then it was done without consulting the masses:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he French prime minister, Pierre Messmer, outlined the pro-nuclear case in a speech on national television on March 6, 1974: 'France has not been favored by nature in energy resources. There is almost no petrol on our territory, we have less coal than England and Germany and much less gas than Holland'
EDF Concentrates on Nuclear Power in the 1970s

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he international 1973 oil crisis spurred France’s race to find a domestic source of energy. France’s Prime Minister, Pierre Messmer then decided to launch the Messmer Plan. The Messmer Plan called for dozens of nuclear reactors to be opened by 1985 and for 170 to be opened by 2000. As a result of the Plan, France constructed a total of 56 new reactors between the years of 1974 and 1989.

However, the Messmer Plan was enacted without any previous discussion or knowledge from the public. This resulted in criticism from the French public and opposing political parties accusing the ruling party as high-handed and authoritarian.
The Messmer Plan
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby ennui2 » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 14:54:27

That seems to also have been the rationale for Japan's nukes and look where that's gotten them.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby Ibon » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 15:18:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', ' ') The problem is lip service is as far as it goes.


Good points.

At Mount Totumas we generate our own power with a small hydro pelton wheel and on any given day we have to dump quite a bit of electricity generated that goes unused.

I observe an interesting difference between our European and North American guests. The Europeans keep the lights to a minimum in their cabins and it is often dark. The North Americans generally leave all the lights blazing. I have had to tell our European guests a number of times to please leave the lights on as much as they want since we have excess power with no one to offer this to being in such a remote location and it gets dumped anyway.

Lip service yes but also some socialized cultural behavioral differences that are noteworthy.
Adaptation to more fuel efficient vehicles. Folk referendums that vote to increase taxes to finance public transportation. Voting in laws that include the disposal costs at time of purchase of appliances, etc. There really are some noteworthy differences at the same time as lip service does come into play at not willingly sacrificing comfort levels all that much.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby ennui2 » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 15:39:03

You need to look into a battery backup of some sort eventually. Maybe Powerwall 1 isn't quite there yet, but one of its successors.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby Hawkcreek » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 20:00:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', '
')I observe an interesting difference between our European and North American guests. The Europeans keep the lights to a minimum in their cabins and it is often dark. The North Americans generally leave all the lights blazing. I have had to tell our European guests a number of times to please leave the lights on as much as they want since we have excess power with no one to offer this to being in such a remote location and it gets dumped anyway.

It would be pretty easy to dump that extra power into hot water heating. That way you could cut down on your propane use.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby ralfy » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 21:06:28

There's no need for posters in this forum to make TPTB "stifle" profits. The latter will go down on their own because of limits to growth. It just so happens that limits to growth is the point of this forum.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby shortonoil » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 22:00:39

According to a recent WSJ article China's debt is growing a rate equal of 40% of its GDP per year. Its GDP is overstated because it includes a great number of one time expenditures. Looking at that number it would be easy to conclude that the TPTB are overestimating their power to maintain the status quo.

With our female Hobbit FED chairperson afraid to lift rates 1/4% of one percent, as it is likely to collapse the entire equity market, the TPTP now have about as much control as a sky driver who forgot their parachute.

The only thing that the TPTP can control is their anxiety; that is because they can afford really good drugs.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby kublikhan » Fri 09 Sep 2016, 23:52:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', 'T')here's no need for posters in this forum to make TPTB "stifle" profits. The latter will go down on their own because of limits to growth.
That not what I said. An argument was brought forth that TBTB were using language barriers to keep people out of contact with each other. I countered that TPTB were trying to tear down language barriers via globalization because they are also barriers to profits.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', 'I')t just so happens that limits to growth is the point of this forum.
We were discussing languages. There are other topics discussed on this forum. Do you think you can go 1 post without mentioning limits to growth? Oh, and going 1 post without "scare quotes" would be great too.
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Re: Peakers underestimate TPTB at maintaining the Status Quo

Postby Ibon » Sat 10 Sep 2016, 07:47:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ennui2', 'Y')ou need to look into a battery backup of some sort eventually. Maybe Powerwall 1 isn't quite there yet, but one of its successors.

How about a simple bank of 8 sealed AGM 415 Ah 48 VDC 19,920 Wh.
Image
It's what I use. :razz: 8)


Not to go off topic, Our pelton wheel drives a 220V AC generator, we do not have inverters or batteries. The set up is simplicity itself, 8kw of AC power available 24 hours a day. Anyone using solar recognizes what a luxury that is.

The dump exists to keep the generator at full production and a load controller switches the power between use and dump, this keeps our frequency and voltage stable when you turn a dryer on and off or run toasters, hot water tanks etc.

To make use of batteries we would have to convert to DC, store the power in batteries and then convert back to AC for use. We would still need the dump once the batteries are fully charged and we have no use for the excess.

This would be lots of hardware and cost at the moment for little benefit. Yes, we would use less propane although currently the propane is mainly for cooking and as a back up for heating water. The propane provides an important benefit, it is a redundant power source, we can still heat water and cook on stoves if the penstock of our hydro gets damaged by tree fall or if any major maintenance would cause long down times of our hydro.
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