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Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby ennui2 » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 13:08:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'w')hy you leave the Democrats out of it. When they were in complete control of the White House and Congress there was little to no difference in our foreign policies.


Unmitigated bullshit. GWB was never going to do a "mea culpa" tour of the middle-east, let alone win a Nobel peace prize. That Obama got dragged into conflict has more to do with the region's inherent dysfunctionality plus the degree of "you broke it you bought it" leftover by the GOP, not a deliberate hawkish policy on the part of Dems.
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 13:40:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ennui2', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'w')hy you leave the Democrats out of it. When they were in complete control of the White House and Congress there was little to no difference in our foreign policies.


Unmitigated bullshit. GWB was never going to do a "mea culpa" tour of the middle-east, let alone win a Nobel peace prize. That Obama got dragged into conflict has more to do with the region's inherent dysfunctionality plus the degree of "you broke it you bought it" leftover by the GOP, not a deliberate hawkish policy on the part of Dems.

Riiiiiiiiiiiiight. Obama winning the peace price, even as dronings continue with plenty of civilian collateral damage. And of course since he did win a peace prize, this makes the democrats polar opposites of the GOP in foreign policy. No BS there. :roll:

Funny how so many wars the US gets involved in under the "peace machine" democratic POTUS administrations since WWII (all major wars but the Persian Gulf mess). But let's pretend it's all the GOP's fault, shall we?
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby careinke » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 14:44:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ennui2', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'w')hy you leave the Democrats out of it. When they were in complete control of the White House and Congress there was little to no difference in our foreign policies.


Unmitigated bullshit. GWB was never going to do a "mea culpa" tour of the middle-east, let alone win a Nobel peace prize. That Obama got dragged into conflict has more to do with the region's inherent dysfunctionality plus the degree of "you broke it you bought it" leftover by the GOP, not a deliberate hawkish policy on the part of Dems.


The Nobel Peace Prize significantly decreased in relevance when they started to hand it out for winning an election.
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby ennui2 » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 17:00:08

Yeah, if only we had voted in McCain, then we'd "bomb bomb, Iran" and all the WWIII dreams we read about here would have come true by now.

Nobody here has proper perspective when it comes to foreign policy. It's either absolute isolationism or the US is deemed a hawkish "empire". No middle-ground.
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby Cog » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 18:57:25

There is a proper middle ground of course. Invading other countries to bring them our version of democracy is a fool's errand. Alliances to keep the peace and to keep other countries from getting too ambitious is a perfectly acceptable use of force or the implication of the use of force. NATO is such an alliance that has kept the peace and kept a hot war from developing between the USA and Russia. No nuclear war happened which I consider a win.

Ejecting Saddam Hussein from Kuwait and not pursuing the invasion of Iraq in 1991 was a model of restraint by the USA. The 2003 invasion of Iraq was just outright retarded.
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby DesuMaiden » Thu 10 Mar 2016, 17:25:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Rod_Cloutier', 'T')he company I work for announced major restructuring, and 1200 layoffs this week, because sales growth is only 7% instead of the target of 15%.

Most people don't understand that it is impossible for the economy to grow forever; furthermore 15% growth per year is increasingly unlikely.

The company argues and has shown 'proof' that growth over the last 30 years has averaged 15% per year. While this is impressive, it seems like a delusional fairy-tale to expect this to continue indefinitely.

It scares me to think- what will happen when the economy starts contracting at 1-2 % a year?

Sadly, most people don't understand how powerful exponential growth is. Of course, if you understood how powerful exponential growth is, then you will also realize how powerful exponential decline is.

Humanity has been growing in population for the most part during most of its history. It was only during a few instances our population growth was reversed by serious natural catastrophes like mega-volcanic eruptions, famine and plague.

There is a statistic some peak oiler's and environmentalists say: if human population continued to grow at its current rate (of 1% per year), we will have a population of humans so large that every square meter of dry land area will have a human standing on it by 2600-2700 AD.

This proves how laughable the claim that "growth can continue forever" is.

As many ecologists have already noticed, even at 7 billion people, the Earth's ecosystems and life support systems are under serious strain. I doubt we can support 7 billion people, let alone 9 billion people, for much longer given how much damage we've inflicted to the planet's biosphere.
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby Rod_Cloutier » Sat 12 Mar 2016, 21:28:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')As many ecologists have already noticed, even at 7 billion people, the Earth's ecosystems and life support systems are under serious strain. I doubt we can support 7 billion people, let alone 9 billion people, for much longer given how much damage we've inflicted to the planet's biosphere


Yet we still pretend that it is business as usual forever. I saw a couple of shows on youtube of some mega-structures that are going up this year, and I was thinking- these people don't get it, the future will be smaller, more local, and if after the collapse, things settle down to an economic level similar to the US in the 1890's, we should count ourselves lucky.

https://youtu.be/k0aSlqYICUY
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby ennui2 » Sun 13 Mar 2016, 01:45:10

I await your doomer novel, PStarr. I mean, you seem to have an unquenchable thirst to share your apocalyptic visions, no matter how over-the-top the imagery. You really missed the boat on your profession.
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby peripato » Sun 13 Mar 2016, 19:35:59

Most people's attitude towards the idea of real existential disaster is:

"All my life I have not died therefore the chances of me dying in the future are nil."

- Wolf Richter

Unless it deals with shit that is completely bogus, like Zombie Apocalypses, Alien Invasions, or the Rapture. Then it's got their full attention... :roll:
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby AdamB » Sun 13 Mar 2016, 21:41:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DesuMaiden', '
')Sadly, most people don't understand how powerful exponential growth is. Of course, if you understood how powerful exponential growth is, then you will also realize how powerful exponential decline is.

Humanity has been growing in population for the most part during most of its history. It was only during a few instances our population growth was reversed by serious natural catastrophes like mega-volcanic eruptions, famine and plague.

There is a statistic some peak oiler's and environmentalists say: if human population continued to grow at its current rate (of 1% per year), we will have a population of humans so large that every square meter of dry land area will have a human standing on it by 2600-2700 AD.

This proves how laughable the claim that "growth can continue forever" is.


Fortunate indeed then that the nature of growth is not exponential, but logistic.

Environmentalists and peak oilers who claim otherwise are attempting to utilize a strawman to distract from a much more important fact....that the claim being made today, was already disproven soon after Malthus said the same, and the same effects that disproved it, are still with us today.
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby ennui2 » Mon 14 Mar 2016, 00:05:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AdamB', 't')hat the claim being made today, was already disproven soon after Malthus said the same, and the same effects that disproved it, are still with us today.


The jury is out on your "logistic" theory. Don't present it as though it's case-closed. And also remember that population is a function of both birth and death rates. Total population trending downard can very well be driven by increased death rates and not some sort of benign demographic shift.
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby slackercruster » Mon 14 Mar 2016, 07:22:32

OP...I concur.

https://danielteolijr.files.wordpress.c ... oli-jr.jpg

People may have some sort of inner uneasiness about their future, maybe that is why heroin / drugs are so big nowadays as a means to escape life.
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby DesuMaiden » Mon 14 Mar 2016, 16:28:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ennui2', 'I') have a very low opinion of the average intelligence of humans, but youtube comments, or comments under news articles on controversial topics (like AGW), are the lowest of the low. Total knuckle-dragging trolls. So I would try to resist drawing conclusions from that alone.

When I was in Transition Training they explained how people's doom-awareness is not binary (red pill / blue pill) but rather a continuum. Dig a under people's denial and you'll find a large chunk, perhaps the vast majority of people, deep down, know we're screwed. They have constructed a denialist facade as a copying mechanism, sort of like how OJ has probably convinced himself he didn't kill Nicole to avoid the guilt/shame.

You'd think that if this were true, then it would be easier to maybe nudge people enough to reveal their true fears, but not necessarily. Those facades are on really tight.

Good point. I believe one shouldn't draw to extreme conclusions. All we can do is help make other people realize that nothing is limitless. Making people realize that infinite growth isn't possible on a finite planet is our key goal. Making people realize the consequences of reckless environmental exploitation I.e. the collapse of the Easter Island civilization is a real threat is all we can do. I think there is hope because most people are realizing this.
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby onlooker » Mon 14 Mar 2016, 23:28:55

Yes, I would say many people are now aware something is very wrong with the entire makeup of the planet, our worldwide civilization and the path we are on. Having said that I think what Ennui said is spot on, people do NOT want to deal with it and try to push this suspicion or knowledge to the unconscious or back of their mind. They simply do not wish to think about or deal with this realization.
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby DesuMaiden » Wed 23 Mar 2016, 18:02:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('onlooker', 'Y')es, I would say many people are now aware something is very wrong with the entire makeup of the planet, our worldwide civilization and the path we are on. Having said that I think what Ennui said is spot on, people do NOT want to deal with it and try to push this suspicion or knowledge to the unconscious or back of their mind. They simply do not wish to think about or deal with this realization.

Yeah, you are right, but it is better to accept reality, and figure out a way to adapt to a dystopian future...rather than delude one's self into thinking that everything is perfectly fine, and there is nothing to worry about. Taking steps to prepare for a chaotic future is better than doing nothing until it is too late to prepare.
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Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby AdamB » Wed 23 Mar 2016, 21:10:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ennui2', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AdamB', 't')hat the claim being made today, was already disproven soon after Malthus said the same, and the same effects that disproved it, are still with us today.


The jury is out on your "logistic" theory. Don't present it as though it's case-closed. And also remember that population is a function of both birth and death rates. Total population trending downard can very well be driven by increased death rates and not some sort of benign demographic shift.


Perhaps I should have been more clear.

You can have what looks like exponential growth for a short period of time, but you cannot have exponential growth for any length of time because it just isn't possible. I'm not sure who throw around the idea of "human population growth is exponential!" understand that it can't be, for any length of time that matters.
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