Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby Cog » Mon 07 Mar 2016, 17:24:35

If I could work my will, every idiot who goes about with "We Are All Doomed"on his lips, should be boiled with his own pudding, and buried with a stake of holly through his heart.*







*With considerable license from Dickens
User avatar
Cog
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 13416
Joined: Sat 17 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Northern Kekistan

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Mon 07 Mar 2016, 18:00:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cog', 'I')f I could work my will, every idiot who goes about with "We Are All Doomed"on his lips, should be boiled with his own pudding, and buried with a stake of holly through his heart.*

*With considerable license from Dickens

Why not each to his/her own, as long as they aren't hurting anyone?

These people put themselves through considerable angst and personal expense or opportunity cost via their preps, lack of exposure to markets (which are doomed, of course), etc. as payment for their attitudes. Now, if net net, the preps make them feel happier and secure and the cost is worth it to them, who are you or I to argue? I wish them well and just hope they don't NEED those preps to an overall collapse in the next few decades. And when something bad happens like a long power outage -- those preps might well be very helpful to them for a day or a week or two.

Now, I'll argue with them when they constantly preach short term doom while twisting facts to do so, but that's about the search for truth -- not that I have personal animosity toward their opinions.

They won't likely be welcome at meetings of the Optimist Club, but in the land of free speech, why should we be upset by them any more than the countless stupid clubs/cliques/habits that a huge number engage in to entertain themselves?
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
User avatar
Outcast_Searcher
COB
COB
 
Posts: 10142
Joined: Sat 27 Jun 2009, 21:26:42
Location: Central KY

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby Cog » Mon 07 Mar 2016, 19:24:25

@ Outcast

Don't get me wrong. I favor prepping and continue to do so myself. I have shifted more to financial preps rather than continue to pile up beans and rice.
User avatar
Cog
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 13416
Joined: Sat 17 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Northern Kekistan

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby SeaGypsy » Mon 07 Mar 2016, 19:52:29

Currently it is still possible to scam the hell out of a bank in the west, take as huge a loan as possible & clear out with the cash, as long as you don't care about going back. There's a financial prep.
SeaGypsy
Master Prognosticator
Master Prognosticator
 
Posts: 9285
Joined: Wed 04 Feb 2009, 04:00:00

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Mon 07 Mar 2016, 20:27:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cog', '@') Outcast

Don't get me wrong. I favor prepping and continue to do so myself. I have shifted more to financial preps rather than continue to pile up beans and rice.

Given that we are all 100% likely to get old and infirm, if we are lucky enough to live that long, KUDOS to you for this.

Not that I expect the short term doomers to show you any respect for this.

FWIW, that's how I conducted my entire career, which enabled me to retire confidently at age 48. Of course, I don't expect the planet's economy to collapse within the next few months all the time.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
User avatar
Outcast_Searcher
COB
COB
 
Posts: 10142
Joined: Sat 27 Jun 2009, 21:26:42
Location: Central KY

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby ralfy » Mon 07 Mar 2016, 20:53:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '
')
You've been predicting collapse since 2008. Is there any amount of wrong calls you make before you admit you just might be wrong? If the answer is no, don't worry. This just places you solidly in the camp of the (often wrong) short term doomers.

I'm not saying rapid growth continues forever. I am saying the oft-repeated calls for short term doom are wrong about 99% of the time.


You have to consider the point that most people worldwide live in poverty, which means "doom" has been in place for them for sometime. Meanwhile, short-term "doom" has been taking place for various economies during the past decade, driven by combinations of financial crashes, high oil production costs, and effects of climate change.
User avatar
ralfy
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 5651
Joined: Sat 28 Mar 2009, 11:36:38
Location: The Wasteland

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby ennui2 » Mon 07 Mar 2016, 21:29:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', '
')You have to consider the point that most people worldwide live in poverty, which means "doom" has been in place for them for sometime. Meanwhile, short-term "doom" has been taking place for various economies during the past decade, driven by combinations of financial crashes, high oil production costs, and effects of climate change.


Right, but that's a separate topic. Throughout history there have been localized dooms. Two world wars, the black plague, the crusades, etc... None of this is the same as what doomers are supposed to be talking about, which is the total crash of our entire civilization from which there will never be a recovery.

Of course, localized doom can claim any one of us, so when it comes to assessing risks, there's no difference. But rhetorically speaking, doomers like to pontificate about "the big one" because it gives them a chance to play judge, jury, and executioner on the human experiment. It's a great opiate for misanthropes.

What tends to happen, though, is when the doom that was supposed to happen doesn't pan out, then doomers just start camping out on google news to find something else worthy of our cortisol. Saber rattling, whining about debt, etc... Then if you pin them on this, they will try to connect the dots as best they can, even though only people in their own echo-chamber will see the tenuous connections.
"If the oil price crosses above the Etp maximum oil price curve within the next month, I will leave the forum." --SumYunGai (9/21/2016)
User avatar
ennui2
Permanently Banned
 
Posts: 3920
Joined: Tue 20 Sep 2011, 10:37:02
Location: Not on Homeworld

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby SeaGypsy » Mon 07 Mar 2016, 22:15:59

Actually Ralphy it depends how you define quality of life. In consumer terms things have gotten a lot better for the developing world, while environmentally things have gotten much worse.

Sent from my HUAWEI Y520-U33 using Tapatalk
SeaGypsy
Master Prognosticator
Master Prognosticator
 
Posts: 9285
Joined: Wed 04 Feb 2009, 04:00:00

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby jedrider » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 02:08:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SeaGypsy', 'A')ctually Ralphy it depends how you define quality of life. In consumer terms things have gotten a lot better for the developing world, while environmentally things have gotten much worse.


You're exactly right. As our lives get more comfortable with EVERY imaginable convenience, nature is getting a trashing it will not recover from. Unfortunately, it will catch up to us, actually overtake us, faster than we can react to it in any positive sense. Nature keeps track of debts as much as banks do, maybe, more.
User avatar
jedrider
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3107
Joined: Thu 28 May 2009, 10:10:44
Top

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby Cog » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 04:47:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SeaGypsy', 'C')urrently it is still possible to scam the hell out of a bank in the west, take as huge a loan as possible & clear out with the cash, as long as you don't care about going back. There's a financial prep.

Sounds like what Cog has in mind. You know, every dork for hisself lol


Not hardly. I'm doing it the old fashioned way. Working hard, saving, and eliminating debt. Banks have long memories in the USA and if you think you are going to walk away from them, you have another think coming. Even during the Great Depression banks foreclosed properties and turned you out in the street.

We will have another recession. Its best to consider that in your preparations.
User avatar
Cog
Fusion
Fusion
 
Posts: 13416
Joined: Sat 17 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Northern Kekistan
Top

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby SeaGypsy » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 04:54:55

The scam I am talking about involves a no warning full cash liquidation & permanent exit from the country to a country without treaties to collect you or your dodgy gains. Cog is an America loving American, no chance he would pull such a scam.
SeaGypsy
Master Prognosticator
Master Prognosticator
 
Posts: 9285
Joined: Wed 04 Feb 2009, 04:00:00

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby dolanbaker » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 05:07:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SeaGypsy', 'T')he scam I am talking about involves a no warning full cash liquidation & permanent exit from the country to a country without treaties to collect you or your dodgy gains. Cog is an America loving American, no chance he would pull such a scam.

You just have to hope that the bolt hole you choose remains stable in the turbulence caused by the collapse of the major economies. Your cash stash could suddenly become worthless!

I suspect that everything possible would be done to preserve the value of the major currencies to avoid such a situation ever happening. With the move to a cashless financial system, it may be that in the future, those with "ones & zeros" in will be safer than those with paper that could easily be rendered useless at the stroke of a pen.
Religion is regarded by the common people as true, by the wise as false, and by rulers as useful.:Anonymous
Our whole economy is based on planned obsolescence.
Hungrymoggy "I am now predicting that Europe will NUKE ITSELF sometime in the first week of January"
User avatar
dolanbaker
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3855
Joined: Wed 14 Apr 2010, 10:38:47
Location: Éire
Top

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby SeaGypsy » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 05:17:12

If I was ever to do such a thing I would be buying land in the Philippines, in an area where by making significant contributions to the local community I would be very near untouchable. The Philippines has banking secrecy laws, physical gold, no tax on offshore earnings, & an extremely localized power structure. Also my wife is from there & my kids & her are dual citizens. I wouldn't be leaving significant funds in the bank, would be donating to a community hospital, school, police station, & setting up an orchard.
SeaGypsy
Master Prognosticator
Master Prognosticator
 
Posts: 9285
Joined: Wed 04 Feb 2009, 04:00:00

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby ROCKMAN » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 09:30:32

"Currently it is still possible to scam the hell out of a bank in the west, take as huge a loan as possible & clear out with the cash, as long as you don't care about going back. There's a financial prep." Just a side bar: I would hope every now understands that this was one of the underlying factors that drove the shale boom. Again: the vast majority of the managements of the shale players were gray hairs that had survived the 80's bust so they understood the future quit well. Just a question of when and not if the shale bust would arrive. So borrowing mucho $BILLIONS with an expectation of not being able to repay wasn't a great concern: like the Rockman the vast majority of them won't be around when it comes times to recapitalize the industry. IOW the Rockman will never have to pitch a project to a banker, investor, fund manager, bond player, etc. when oil/NG prices eventually rise to boom level again: he'll have achieved room temperature by that time. LOL.

There have been tens $BILLIONS of profit made from the shale play. Made from selling stock and acreage position that increased multiple times once the boom hit. Like Petrohawk selling out for $15 BILLION. I don't know exactly how much they spent building their position but I'm certain it was less than $1 BILLION...probably a lot less.

But I'm the oil patch isn't unique and the same thing happened with the housing, dot-com, mortgage, etc. industries during their boom periods. No one in the oil patch had to lie to make those profits: greed drove the investors and bankers. All anyone had to do is have something they all wanted and they came begging to be let in. LOL.
User avatar
ROCKMAN
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 11397
Joined: Tue 27 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: TEXAS

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby ralfy » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 11:41:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jedrider', '
')
You're exactly right. As our lives get more comfortable with EVERY imaginable convenience, nature is getting a trashing it will not recover from. Unfortunately, it will catch up to us, actually overtake us, faster than we can react to it in any positive sense. Nature keeps track of debts as much as banks do, maybe, more.


From what I remember, most people worldwide earn less than $10 a day, with many earning only around $3 daily:

http://www.globalissues.org/article/26/ ... -and-stats
User avatar
ralfy
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 5651
Joined: Sat 28 Mar 2009, 11:36:38
Location: The Wasteland
Top

Re: Are most people clueless of the upcoming catastrophes?

Postby ROCKMAN » Tue 08 Mar 2016, 12:37:49

pstarr - "(by the way, the above is angry sarcasm lol)" IMHO that's a fair statement. What I don't understand is why you leave the Democrats out of it. When they were in complete control of the White House and Congress there was little to no difference in our foreign policies.

When it comes to how Americans view the rest of the world I see very little in any practical manner. Perhaps more differences in the speeches but "kind words" alone aren't going to change anything.
User avatar
ROCKMAN
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 11397
Joined: Tue 27 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: TEXAS

PreviousNext

Return to Open Topic Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron