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Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Pops » Fri 22 Jan 2016, 10:38:59

You keep saying that newf.
But what jobs are necessary?
None.
Get rid of all those worthless jobs and then a few million can go out to the woods and eat grubs while everyone else starves.
See?
All jobs are worthless.
end of discussion
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby ralfy » Fri 22 Jan 2016, 11:32:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('radon1', '
')
This assumes that the entire existing global population has already been incorporated into the industrial/market economy. But this is not the case. Not even a slightest bit close. Eg., out of 1.5b or so of the Chinese, only about 200-300m have been involved by now, maybe a bit more.

Otherwise fair observations.


It's the other way round.
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby dolanbaker » Fri 22 Jan 2016, 12:30:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') little respect for the worker, a willingness to pay a little more (or buy one chachka less) so the people picking up your candy wrappers can make a living.

This will be your biggest hurdle, people want as much stuff as cheaply as possible as they can get and stuff you if you're on the bottom of the wage ladder.
If you're already on the bottom rung, you have no choice but to buy the cheapest (or go without).
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Fri 22 Jan 2016, 15:51:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dolanbaker', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') little respect for the worker, a willingness to pay a little more (or buy one chachka less) so the people picking up your candy wrappers can make a living.

This will be your biggest hurdle, people want as much stuff as cheaply as possible as they can get and stuff you if you're on the bottom of the wage ladder.
If you're already on the bottom rung, you have no choice but to buy the cheapest (or go without).

Here's a small example. At a lot of places I go, I give a modest tip to someone waiting on me who do a decent job, are pleasant etc.

An example: Subway, where they ban tip jars, etc. (so I just hand them a buck or two). Or someplace where you go and pick up your carry-out food, same deal but higher tip amounts if the food is more expensive.

It means little to me, but for those (likely minimum-ish wage) workers, if a decent number of people would do that, they would be likely earning a living wage.

It also seems to me, given how surprised and grateful the people generally are -- that this must not happen very often. (And I don't think it's because almost no one could afford such tips, when deserved). Just because people want good value for their money (I buy most of my stuff at Amazon or Walmart) doesn't mean they can't help some people out, even in small ways.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 22 Jan 2016, 18:45:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'Y')ou keep saying that newf.
But what jobs are necessary?
None.
Get rid of all those worthless jobs and then a few million can go out to the woods and eat grubs while everyone else starves.
See?
All jobs are worthless.
end of discussion


Baloney Pops and you know it.

Farmers, miners, manufacturing of necessities, doctors, nurses, SOME construction and engineering. It's probably about 15 to 20% of the work force.

I keep saying it because it's true and I a hard time engaging folks in a real discussion. I get a lot of snarky dismissive remarks. It been true for a long time, recognized as early as 1932.
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Pops » Fri 22 Jan 2016, 19:20:21

Newf, lol
You can't get anyone to engage because you sound like Trump.


Or Clint "get off my lawn" Kowalaski

:razz:
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Shaved Monkey » Fri 22 Jan 2016, 19:33:14

In Japan that would include knife/sword makers, kimono makers,ceramicists,the Ikebana guy,the geisha,the guy who folds the origami,the guy who runs the tea ceremony,the guy who ties the traditional knots.,the sushi master,including the more specialised fugu master etc,etc.
We just let the corporations and their accountants and politicians destroy any chance of having a more diverse and spiritually fulfilling economy/life.
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Shaved Monkey » Fri 22 Jan 2016, 20:26:57

They could then form a commune in the empty shells.
They could share skills and resources,learn some useful crafts and grow vegetables in the dug up car park and barter with other former Walmart/Costco dwelling communes.
Until the guys still "working" send in their militia to crush the dirty commies
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 22 Jan 2016, 22:00:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'N')ewf, lol
You can't get anyone to engage because you sound like Trump.


Or Clint "get off my lawn" Kowalaski

:razz:


OK Pops, I'll leave you alone behind your ad hominem.
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Newfie » Sat 23 Jan 2016, 01:08:38

PStar,

Just to elaborate a bit, when I say those are meaningless jobs, I don't mean to imply they have no meaning to the person who has the job or to the economy. They are meaningless in the sense that they build or produce nothing.

Let's take a hairdresser, or barber, for example. Her job contributes nothing to the material wealth of the society, unlike a farmer or miner. Her job could go away and society would function just as well. But her job DOES give her a place in society, a position where she feel like she is contributing. Now she could do that in an informal setting and not get paid, which brings us to the second meaning her job has. Is is a way to redistribute wealth. It's "trickle down" economics. I think is is the bit you were alluding to. So for her, and the current economic model, it is very important.

The hairdresser example is pretty benign. As is the insurance clerk. But let's look at a ballon salesman. His output puts mylar waste into the environment and it depletes our helium reserves. But also he has a store front nd maybe a delivery truck. All these things need resources; water, gas, electric, which consume resources.

Theoretically we could resolve much of this unnecessary consumption by changing how we distribute wealth. Just make direct payouts from the government for people to stay home and NOT CONSUME. That would address the financial aspect, but it would not allow folks the dignity, the feeling that they are doing something for the society. That's why it fails.

This is a temporary problem, created by a highly efficient agriculture system, made worse by automation. It will cease when the cheap fuel runs out. Then we will be back to hoeing fields by hand and being too tired to worry about our place, our contributions. They will be quite tangible.

.........
Buy me three beers (or one) and I'll go on about how prisoners have a valuable position in our economy. 8)
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby C8 » Sat 23 Jan 2016, 01:44:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '
')Let's take a hairdresser, or barber, for example. Her job contributes nothing to the material wealth of the society, unlike a farmer or miner. Her job could go away and society would function just as well. But her job DOES give her a place in society, a position where she feel like she is contributing.


The question becomes: how critical is this feeling of contributing to society? IOW- do we underestimate the intangible importance of jobs?

I do not know the answer but some things that I have noticed about most unemployed people are:

1. They are susceptible to depression and isolation- having lost the daily connection to people
2. They are very vulnerable to addictions and binges- there is no daily schedule to regulate excess
3. They tend to feel guilty and unimportant since they aren't contributing or necessary
4. They often lose coping skills- the daily battle of work has the effect of keeping us in the practice of adapting
5. Some turn to crime or deviance to get more stuff or relieve boredom.

I am very concerned what happens when a huge mass of people are out of the system. During the Great Depression there seemed to be a strong desire to not give handouts but to create jobs that met social needs. This didn't always work, but it did keep people contributing members of a society. I can think of many needs that go unmet today: lonely senior citizens, obese people in need of workout clubs, busted up neighborhoods. It doesn't seem we even care about using our unemployed and welfare recipients to improve society. It's like we are not even a community anymore- just a collection of individuals receiving checks with no obligations or responsibility to the whole.
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Shaved Monkey » Sat 23 Jan 2016, 03:49:53

Corporations have no responsibility to the community,they export jobs, they destroy the environment and they dodge tax,they buy governments all while benefiting from the safety and stability of the laws and infrastructure of a first world country.
Then the burden of their failures, falls on Governments, society and the tax payer,it should be passed back on to their share holders.
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Subjectivist » Sat 23 Jan 2016, 09:09:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shaved Monkey', 'C')orporations have no responsibility to the community,they export jobs, they destroy the environment and they dodge tax,they buy governments all while benefiting from the safety and stability of the laws and infrastructure of a first world country.
Then the burden of their failures, falls on Governments, society and the tax payer,it should be passed back on to their share holders.


There was a time, not all that long ago, when Corporation board members were patriotic members of whatever country they lived in. This shaped there actions at least as much as their greed did, and as a result they worked to make their homeland better while also making money.
II Chronicles 7:14 if my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and I will forgive their sin and will heal their land.
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Newfie » Sat 23 Jan 2016, 10:28:48

C8,

IMHO the intangibles, the feelings of self with and contribution, are very important for the social fabric. They are important in their own right.

But the bass a learn way we deal with this issue tends to drive consumption and doesn't do a great job of tending to folks. As a culture we do not vale caring for folks directly, even though we do on a personal level. That explains why Social Workers are the lowest paid college grads. Financially they would be better off flipping burgers, poor pay but no college debt.

Then the quests becomes...How do we support people for contributing to society in an equitable fashion? I think we need to look at our wealth redistribution system and try to move away from"trickle down". Maybe Monte's Helicopter Money could be melded here. The goal is to maintain or improve societies mental/physical condition while moving away from consumption.
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby C8 » Sat 23 Jan 2016, 12:27:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Subjectivist', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shaved Monkey', 'C')orporations have no responsibility to the community,they export jobs, they destroy the environment and they dodge tax,they buy governments all while benefiting from the safety and stability of the laws and infrastructure of a first world country.
Then the burden of their failures, falls on Governments, society and the tax payer,it should be passed back on to their share holders.


There was a time, not all that long ago, when Corporation board members were patriotic members of whatever country they lived in. This shaped there actions at least as much as their greed did, and as a result they worked to make their homeland better while also making money.


Yes, the big increase in international trade has produced a wealthy class that is often more at home with each other around the world than the people of their own native country. I think this is the dynamic that is driving the political changes we are seeing (Trump, Pediga). The international elites want to make money off of the cheap labor from migration but the people of the destination nations feel its a threat to their standard of living and are rebelling against the establishment.

We have achieved a globalized class warfare where (ironically) the rich of all nations feel solidarity with each other and have a common class consciousness.
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Shaved Monkey » Sat 23 Jan 2016, 22:18:09

In an automated and overpopulated future were the rich still rule, there will always be jobs for goons, coke dealers and hookers.

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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Ayoob » Fri 29 Jan 2016, 04:05:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'N')ot just low skill, computers have replaced legal researchers—lawyers— in retrieving relevant material and are 95% accurate... They have replaced writers in churning out lots of boilerplate news stories that contain say, stock prices.

Intelligent systems can hold more accessible knowledge than a human and play what if millions of times faster (think playing chess only with medical symptoms), I always use my own graphic design where computation power decimated the ranks of skilled workers in the printing trades, the same in all "creative" fields.

It is a thing. We go pooh pooh and turn around and wonder why the working population ratio is falling or the disability ranks are rising or unattached workers and part timers and contract workers are increasing.


The playing chess with medical symptoms is only as good as the written instructions. The interpretation of the symptoms is always going to trump a mechanistic approach. The people with the money are going to write the instructions, the people who want to help are going to interpret in a way that might not be designed to maximize the payoff to big pharma.

Automation is good for some things, but not so good for others. Medical care can be greatly augmented by automation but no level of automation will replace judgment.
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Re: Automation + overpopulation = unemployment: solutions?

Unread postby Ayoob » Fri 29 Jan 2016, 04:31:18

Another thought. Why allow any immigration at all into your nation under the automation+overpopulation=unemployment idea? It only makes sense to start population management with eugenics to cull the losers. This doesn't have to be done along the lines of IQ management, although that could be one component. Why not eliminate say-tachs disease and huntington's disease? It would only make sense to sterilize all females over the age of 21 to reduce the possibility of introducing a Downs syndrome child. Men would need to be sterilized by 35 or so to eliminate the same problem. People need to reproduce YOUNG. That's the only way to go. Reproduce young from healthy stock who have the highest likelihood of future success and happiness.

Offer a permanent welfare check to anyone who wants to take it in exchange for sterilization. Say an extra $2K/mo for sterilization. I'm 44, I would take it. Snip me, and give me the $2K/mo subsidy to avoid the future probability of my fathering a kid with Downs. Doesn't that make sense? Prices would adjust over time to account for this extra money flow and it would become almost a requirement at some point for people in the lowest quintile of economic achievement.

Diabetes, bipolar, high blood pressure, all these things could be reduced or eliminated by applying eugenic population pressure over several generations.
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