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Why will it take months to turn the electric back on ?

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Why will it take months to turn the electric back on ?

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Thu 03 Dec 2015, 14:28:26

OK, I did not know of those tests but I was not wrong about EMP effects from nuclear blasts, either. There were none of any significance directly below a 1.4 megaton explosion only 250 miles up. Nor were there any significant EMP impacts from any nuclear detonation anywhere. Those tests when interpreted properly say that nuclear EMP effects are trivial and probably confined to mobile devices immediately beneath the blast as I said.

That does not mean that significant EMP effects cannot happen, only that they arise from a cloud of solar plasma shrouding the earth and making a mighty TWANG in the magnetic field of the planet. The CME event is something that we should plan for and harden the infrastructure against - but like the asteroid strike in Yucatan or the megavolcano under Yosemite or the "Big One" earthquake in California, it need not frighten us overmuch - it is a rare event, but if you wait long enough, almost certain to occur.
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Re: Why will it take months to turn the electric back on ?

Unread postby Pops » Thu 03 Dec 2015, 14:49:20

Did a quick google on
tinker afb emp hardening
(I once heard Tinker AFB had a program)

and got this
http://www.gurevich-publications.com/co ... l_91_2.pdf

which says this
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')ntroduction. This ETL provides guidance for planning, programming,
designing, constructing, in-progress testing and acceptance testing of
electromagnetic barriers in facilities to limit the magnitude of HEMP-induced
electrical stresses (currents and voltages) that might reach mission-critical
electronic systems and components. The radioactive atmosphere produced by a
high altitude nuclear burst is a result of the interaction of radiation
(chiefly gamma rays) with the atmosphere at altitudes above 30 kilometers.
The radioactive atmosphere then propagates, with little attenuation, to all
points within line-of-sight of the burst. The high altitude burst can
produce high amplitude HEMP electric and magnetic fields. These fields will
create voltages along overhead transmission lines rising to a peak value of
about 50 kilovolts per meter within a few nanoseconds and then decaying
gradually over a period lasting hundreds of seconds.


Here is this from October
http://www.militaryaerospace.com/articl ... radar.html
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')ir Force asks Exelis to EMP-harden long-range ballistic missile warning radar systems
October 8, 2015
By John Keller
Editor

EMPPETERSON AIR FORCE BASE, Colo., 8 Oct. 2015. Radar experts at Exelis Inc. in Colorado Springs, Colo., will harden U.S. ballistic missile defense radar systems against the effects of electromagnetic pulse (EMP) under terms of a $12.4 million contract modification announced last week.


Don't know how authoritative this is
http://www.futurescience.com/emp/EMP-myths.html
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Re: Why will it take months to turn the electric back on ?

Unread postby Lore » Thu 03 Dec 2015, 16:27:14

You have more to worry about and a better likelihood for loss of electricity though a major pandemic. Key players gone and a loss of knowledge with people initially not reporting to work can quickly put many wide areas out of business.
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Re: Why will it take months to turn the electric back on ?

Unread postby vox_mundi » Thu 03 Dec 2015, 16:32:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KaiserJeep', '.').. I was not wrong about EMP effects from nuclear blasts, either. There were none of any significance directly below a 1.4 megaton explosion only 250 miles up. (... that's because it was done over the Pacific Ocean) Nor were there any significant EMP impacts from any nuclear detonation anywhere.
Incorrect:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')img]http://i.crackedcdn.com/phpimages/article/2/0/5/102205_v1.jpg[/img]
That warm, patriotic feeling is actually your organs slowly cooking

Effects of Starfish Prime: The detonation released an enormous electromagnetic pulse that knocked out power in Hawaii 870 miles away and wrecked one-third of all the satellites orbiting the earth at that time. Basically, unless a satellite was hiding behind the earth, it was rendered useless.

The strength of the pulse was so huge that it affected the flow of electricity on the Earth hundreds of kilometers away! In Hawaii it blew out hundreds of streetlights, and caused widespread telephone outages. Other effects included electrical surges on airplanes and radio blackouts.

And there was another effect that hadn’t been predicted accurately. Many of the electrons from the blast didn’t fall down into the Earth’s atmosphere, but instead lingered in space for months, trapped by Earth’s magnetic field, creating an artificial radiation belt high above our planet’s surface.

When a high-speed electron hits a satellite, it can generate a sort-of miniature EMP. The details are complex, but the net effect is that these electrons can zap satellites and damage their electronics. The pulse of electrons from the Starfish Prime detonation damaged at least six satellites (including one Soviet bird), all of which eventually failed due to the blast. Other satellite failures at the time may be linked to the explosion as well. link

In 2010, the Defense Threat Reduction Agency issued a report called "Collateral Damage to Satellites from an EMP Attack"

Video of Starfish Prime and Fishbowl tests

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')A high-altitude nuclear detonation produces an immediate flux of gamma rays from the nuclear reactions within the device. These photons in turn produce high energy free electrons by Compton scattering at altitudes between (roughly) 20 and 40 km. These electrons are then trapped in the Earth's magnetic field, giving rise to an oscillating electric current. This current is asymmetric in general and gives rise to a rapidly rising radiated electromagnetic field called an electromagnetic pulse (EMP). Because the electrons are trapped essentially simultaneously, a very large electromagnetic source radiates coherently.

The pulse can easily span continent-sized areas

The EMP produced by the Compton electrons typically lasts for about 1 microsecond, and this signal is called HEMP. In addition to the prompt EMP, scattered gammas and inelastic gammas produced by weapon neutrons produce an "intermediate time" signal from about 1 microsecond to 1 second. The energetic debris entering the ionosphere produces ionization and heating of the E-region. In turn, this causes the geomagnetic field to "heave," producing a "late-time" magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) EMP generally called a heave signal. link


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KaiserJeep', '.').. nuclear EMP effects are trivial and probably confined to mobile devices immediately beneath the blast as I said.
Incorrect:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.').. systems connected to long lines (e.g., power lines, telephone wires, and tracking wire antennas) are at risk because of the large size of the induced current. The additive effects of the MHD-EMP can cause damage to unprotected civilian and military systems that depend on or use long-line cables. Small, isolated, systems tend to be unaffected. link


Some other links to cyber effects on critical infrastructure ...

NSA Director Fears “Destructive” Element in Coming Cyberattacks

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')en. Alexander said two cases illustrate what could happen in an attack.

The first was the August 2003 electrical power outage in the Northeast U.S. that was caused by a tree damaging two high-voltage power lines. Electrical power-grid software that controlled the distribution of electricity to millions of people improperly entered “pause” mode and shut down all power through several states.

The example highlighted the threat of sophisticated cyberwarfare attackers breaking into electrical grid networks and using the access to shut down power.

The second example was the catastrophic destruction of a water-driven electrical generator at Russia’s Sayano-Shushenskaya dam, near the far eastern city of Cheremushki, in August 2009.

Gen. Alexander said one of the dam’s 10 650-megawatt hydroturbine generators, weighing more than 1,000 tons, was being serviced and, by mistake, was remotely restarted by a computer operator 500 miles away. The generator began spinning and rose 50 feet into the air before exploding. The flood caused by the accident killed 75 people and destroyed eight of the remaining nine turbines.

Image


FBI Cyber Alert: Unauthorized Access to a New Jersey Company’s Industrial Control System

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]The intruders were able to access a backdoor into the ICS system that allowed access to the main control mechanism for the company’s internal heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) units. US Business 1 was using the Tridium Niagara ICS system, which has been widely reported in the media to contain multiple vulnerabilities that could allow an attacker to remotely control the system.

The main control box for the HVAC system of US Business 1 was a Tridium brand, Niagara model controller. US Business 1 actively used this system in-house, but also installed the control system for customers, which included banking institutions and other commercial entities. An IT contractor of US Business 1 confirmed the Niagara control box was directly connected to the Internet with no interposing firewall.

US Business 1 had a controller for the system that was password protected, but was set up for remote/Internet access. By using the link posted by the hacktivist, the published backdoor URL provided the same level of access to the company’s control system as the password-protected administrator login. The backdoor required no password and allowed direct access to the control system.

White House Report Says International Cyberattacks Could Lead to Military Action

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he US has given the broadest hint yet that a cyber-attack on one Nato country will be regarded as an attack on all. The development is contained in a report by the Obama administration, International Strategy for Cyberspace ... It suggests that existing US treaties such as the one that set up Nato, which requires an attack on one member state to be treated as an attack on all, also cover cyber-attacks.

People’s Republic of China Cyber Warfare and Computer Network Exploitation Capability Report

Iranian Cyber Actors Targeting Defense Contractors, Schools and Energy Sector

Project 12 and the Public-Private Cybersecurity Complex

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'n') early 2008, President Bush signed National Security Presidential Directive 54/Homeland Security Presidential Directive 23 (NSPD-54/HSPD-23) formalizing the Comprehensive National Cybersecurity Initiative (CNCI). This initiative created a series of classified programs with a total budget of approximately $30 billion. Many of these programs remain secret and the their activities are largely unknown to the public.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.').. “a group of unnamed private sector executives representing industries including banking, telecommunications and energy have been meeting with the DHS to find ways to more efficiently swap data on cyber intrusions and digital espionage. The DHS wouldn’t share any details of the classified meetings, known as Project 12

... one of the stated goals of the Department of Homeland Security in the Project 12 report is to achieve “real-time cyber situational awareness” across all eighteen CIKR sectors

In order to facilitate this sort of “real-time” awareness, the report states that government resources must be co-located with private industry, either virtually or physically, to help monitor security
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Re: Why will it take months to turn the electric back on ?

Unread postby Lore » Thu 03 Dec 2015, 20:44:06

The outages we will be getting in the future will be coming from a collapsing infrastructure due to age and inability to repair. In 30 years we'll be on our way to candlelight once again.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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