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Technocracy

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Technocracy

Unread postby JohnDenver » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 08:00:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergySpin', '
')Welcome to the world of Technocracy, Energy based currencies and all that stuff. The only reservation I have with fully adopting their values, is how to assess the impact of a scientist/engineer and possible reward.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', '
')Energyspin, let's figure out the remaining issues with Technocracy, since it would seem to be a logical paradigm for preserving civilized values and their applications. Ultimately it seems to be inescapable: an economy based on energy and resources.

Hubbert's point about equal distribution of goods is interesting. Strictly speaking he's correct (we're all getting freebies from stored energy, therefore cut the charades about individual contributions and distribute equitably), though that ends up leading to something like socialism, which isn't my idea of utopia.


EnergySpin and gg3, you are both concerned about the lack of incentives in the Hubbert system, but I'd like to get your input on possible synergies between Hubbert's ideas about equal distribution, and the free software model (Linux, Wikipedia).

-------------
For reference
Hubbert's idea:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')etting something for nothing

In the distribution to the public of the products of industry, the failure of the present system is the direct result of the faulty premise upon which it is based. This is: that somehow a man is able by his personal services to render to society the equivalent of what he receives, from which it follows that the distribution to each shall be in accordance with the services rendered and that those who do not work must not eat. This is what our propagandists call 'the impossibility of getting something for nothing.' Aside from the fact that only by means of the sophistries of lawyers and economists can it be explained how, on this basis, those who do nothing at all frequently receive the largest shares of the national income, the simple fact is that it is impossible for any man to contribute to the social system the physical equivalent of what it costs the system to maintain him form birth till death--and the higher the physical standard of living the greater is this discrepancy. This is because man is an engine operating under the limitations of the same physical laws as any other engine. The energy that it takes to operate him is several times as much as any amount of work he can possibly perform. If, in addition to his food, he receives also the products of modern industry, this is due to the fact that material and energy resources happen to be available and, as compared with any contribution he can make, constitute a free gift from heaven. Stated more specifically, it costs the social system on the North American Continent the energy equivalent to nearly 10 tons of coal per year to maintain one man at the average present standard of living, and no contribution he can possibly make in terms of the energy conversion of his individual effort will ever repay the social system the cost of his social maintenance. Is it not to be wondered at, therefore, that a distributive mechanism based upon so rank a fallacy should fail to distribute; the marvel is that it has worked as well as it has. Since any human being, regardless of his personal contribution, is a social dependent with respect to the energy resources upon which society operates, and since every operation within a given society is effected at the cost of a degradation of an available supply of energy, this energy degradation, measured in appropriate physical units such as kilowatt-hours, constitutes the common physical cost of all social operations. Since also the energy-cost of maintaining a human being exceeds by a large amount his ability to repay, we can abandon the fiction that what one is to receive is in payment for what one has done, and recognize that what we are really doing is utilizing the bounty that nature has provided us. Under these circumstances we recognize that we all are getting something for nothing, and the simplest way of effecting distribution is on a basis of equality, especially so when it is considered that production can be set equal to the limit of our capacity to consume, commensurate with adequate conservation of our physical resources.

http://www.energybulletin.net/3800.html

Background on technocracy:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technocratic_movement

An very interesting online novel illustrating technocratic ideas:
Manna
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Re: Technocracy

Unread postby JohnDenver » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 08:07:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', 'H')ubbert's point about equal distribution of goods is interesting. Strictly speaking he's correct (we're all getting freebies from stored energy, therefore cut the charades about individual contributions and distribute equitably), though that ends up leading to something like socialism, which isn't my idea of utopia.


gg3, do you regard Linux and Wikipedia as socialist? They return no incentives/rewards, and the product is given freely and equally to all.
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Unread postby EnergySpin » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 08:12:30

Nope ... I think that Hubbert was right. I do think that incentives like peer acceptance and social status (akin to the way the ancient Roman and ancient Greek cities were ran before money turned them into aristocracies) is the way to go. As a scientist, I need no other incentive to work (provided someone feeds me).
The limited focus of Technocracy in the NA continent is problematic though . I do see it as a model for the whole world
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Unread postby JohnDenver » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 08:25:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergySpin', 'A')s a scientist, I need no other incentive to work (provided someone feeds me).


Outstanding point, ES. Look at mathematicians, for example. They've contributed immensely to human civilization and technological culture, and NONE of them ever profited from it. How much did Newton get paid for the calculus? Nothing! Clearly, there is a powerful non-capitalist principle at work here.
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Unread postby EnergySpin » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 08:33:55

One year ago I wrote a piece of software to do calculations on a certain statistical problem in computational biology.
So one day I received an email; someone wanted to use my software.
It made me happier for about 2 months. I received much more pleasure compared to my first pay check or me buying my first car (which I gave to my brother for free, now I am a car-free person).
Research the ancient Roman and Athenian democracies; anyone could attain status (and lead the army btw) based on their participation to the commons. The slave issue had to do with the lack of machinery and it is unrelated to the whole project for a new world (hehehe). Similar values are driving the free software movement and the rest of science. The whole concept of consuming actually was considered a negative modus operandi till recently. Rifkin's book: The European Dream (who sometimes is unrealistic idealistic about EU) has an excellent review on the historical development of consumerism as an ideal behavioural norm.
The more I research Technocracy ... the more I become convinced that something along those lines is concerved. We can power the machines off the oil produced by thermally depolymerizing all the Nazi-Fascists :-D
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Unread postby WhistleWind » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 08:51:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ow much did Newton get paid for the calculus? Nothing!


Err, not quite.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')7. Means of Support
Primary: Academia, Personal Means, Government Newton was elected a Fellow of Trinity College in 1667 and remained one until he resigned the fellowship in 1701. The fellowship produced about £50-£60 per annum. He was appointed Lucasian Professor of Mathematics in 1669, with an income of about £100. He retained the chair until he resigned it in 1701.

Although it is difficult wholly to decypher his personal estate, he was the heir to his father's property at Woolsthorpe, and his stepfather added a property as part of the marriage settlement. It appears that Newton had income of about £150 from the estate. What is not clear is the point at which he received it--was it at the time of his majority (for he was his father's heir), or was it at the time of his mother's death? Note that his stepfather, who died when Newton was eleven, was a very wealthy man, so that his mother had an extensive estate after Smith's death.

Newton was appointed Warden of the Mint (salary £500) in 1696. He moved then from Cambridge to London, where he lived for more than thirty years. In 1699 he became Master, a position he held until his death. The income from this position (which had a base salary of £400) varied according to the amount of money coined, but averaged about £2000. Newton died quite a wealthy man.


Isaac Newton

He was not above using his status to diss his academic rivals and spent
his latter years proving the existance of fairies and other (now
considered) supernatural phenomena.
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Unread postby JohnDenver » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 09:09:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('WhistleWind', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ow much did Newton get paid for the calculus? Nothing!


Err, not quite.


I didn't see any payments for the calculus in there. In fact, I can't think of a single example in the entire history of mankind where a theorem was "owned" and "sold". It seems to me that this is a major foul-up in the capitalist construction of reality. We have this massive edifice of theorems, the entire corpus of mathematics, generated by the incredibly intense efforts of generations of human beings, serving as the very foundation of all technical culture, and yet nobody ever owned it, or bought or sold it as a product. It totally shoots down the idea that things of value only come into existence through markets, and monetary incentives for talented people.
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Unread postby thor » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 10:55:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergySpin', 'A')s a scientist, I need no other incentive to work (provided someone feeds me).


Clearly, there is a powerful non-capitalist principle at work here.


It's called passion, which need no monetary metric but mostly a tap on the shoulder of appreciation.
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Unread postby EnergySpin » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 14:56:10

Hi,
It is not just mathematics .that has been "open source" for ever. Biology is going there as well. There is an initiative for open-source biological research (even IBM is funding it, cause they get to sell us the computers we use for our compbio work). Looking back in the last 100 yrs I think that all this move to commercialize science hurt science. Remember the cold fusion fiasco (note, I am not taking positions for or against the existence of the phenomenon)? Any attempts to make it an object of inquiry were shot down when the IPR Officer of Utah university twisted the researchers into turning the announcement in a PR circus to get more money.
I believe that Newton developed the theory before he became a fellow of the Royal society - his main "income" was to use his position among his peers to advocate alchemy and paranormal research but I strongly believe that anyone reaching Newton's position should be able to "play" at will in the scientific playground.
The OS biological movement website: http://www.bios.net/
BTW one of the IPR lawyers I got drank with in a conference told me that with the use of computational tools/mathematical techniques, multiple patents on the same gene sequence are possible (they qualify as unique ways to come up with the gene) ... I dont know if this is true or not, the guy and myself were pretty drank
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Unread postby Licho » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 17:08:54

I was living under pre-technocracy for many years .. it was called communism. And it didn't work well :-)
Ultimate goal of communism was very similar to technocracy, society of abundance where is everything for free and work is voluntary.

Allocation planning didnt work well, there was huge overproduction on one hand (serving no good, only hurting ecology and filling landfills) and lack of certain good on other hand. Because there was lack of direct consumer drive, goods were often inadequate or too generic. (2 models of TV must suit all. And why do you need soap with nice aroma? Central planning commision was unaware of such needs).
While in terms of income society was far more equal than it's now in market economy, there were huge problems with corruption. Holding important post could help you at getting house built faster, acces to non-generic "rare" western goods and other privileges.
Centrally allocated research was well funded, but badly operated, unlike market operated research which is forced towards results.
Workers were generally poorly motivated - hard working people earn same money as lazy people - and you couldnt be fired (worst thing was, that you were given different job, there were no jobless or homeless). Propaganda did maximum to make you proud for your work and to make people interested in science and research, but it couldnt stop majority from simply bullying their work, lowering overall productivity of work.
Technocracy would suffer from same things.
(Communism only adds some extra ideological twists to it - like glorification of manual worker..)
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Unread postby EnergySpin » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 17:27:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')llocation planning didnt work well, there was huge overproduction on one hand (serving no good, only hurting ecology and filling landfills) and lack of certain good on other hand. Because there was lack of direct consumer drive, goods were often inadequate or too generic. (2 models of TV must suit all. And why do you need soap with nice aroma? Central planning commision was unaware of such needs).
While in terms of income society was far more equal than it's now in market economy, there were huge problems with corruption. Holding important post could help you at getting house built faster, acces to non-generic "rare" western goods and other privileges.
Centrally allocated research was well funded, but badly operated, unlike market operated research which is forced towards results.
Workers were generally poorly motivated - hard working people earn same money as lazy people - and you couldnt be fired (worst thing was, that you were given different job, there were no jobless or homeless). Propaganda did maximum to make you proud for your work and to make people interested in science and research, but it couldnt stop majority from simply bullying their work, lowering overall productivity of work.
Technocracy would suffer from same things.
(Communism only adds some extra ideological twists to it - like glorification of manual worker..)

The communist arguments AGAIN!!!
Technocracy has nothing to do with communism - the major problem with communo/socialism is that they are based on the fallacy of eternal growth.
The problem with all the ex-commie fasisto-utopias is that allocation of resources was based on a capitalist monetary system, using the usual crap about rewarding the individual through the state. Try and understand how the energy based currency is different: it cannot be sold, gambled away, stored in a bank. It can only be used within a pre-determined period of time ... after that it expires. Humans are not involved in the allocation of energy resources. So an important post ... means nothing, cause you still get the same amount of energy credits. And Technocracy is predicated on the machines doing all the production with only a minimal human input (by definition 90-95% of all inhabitants in the technate were unemployed ... they did not have to work). And the 5-10% that had to work, could be drafted (in the same manner we do army conscriptions); or one could rely on workaholics ... plenty of them around

Since the communist fasisto-utopias worked under the capitalist system (Marx was analyzing free market economy in Das Kapital), they suffered from the same problems as our free market economy in terms of ecological degradation. Technocracy and the Steady State Economics movement (I suggest you research Herman Daly) work under different premises.
Sorry to bring the bad news to you, but you were living in a system pretty much like your current one. Instead of the secret police, free credit and your debt is what keeps you chained down. So ... both the theory and the implementation of Communism are WRONG. Technocracy and other possible Steady State Economical systems are not identical to the failed experiments
Cheers
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Unread postby EnergySpin » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 17:33:06

Oops I meant Herman Dale instead of Herman Daly.
And I apologise up the from if my post sounds offensive.
Minor technical details on central planning: the former communist states/science failed to integrate tools of micro and macroeconomical forecasting and control. In reality this is still an open issue even in the western economies - but it is a problem we delegate to the future through the cheap credit and all that stuff. Research Hubbert's critique of the free market system and the relation of economy to thermodynamics ... you might be surprised about the dissimilarity between any technocratic based system and communism/fascism and quite likely socialism
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Unread postby Tyler_JC » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 17:35:45

JohnDenver, Newton loved math. He wanted to come up with new theorems because it made him happy.

I like messing around on this internet forum. It is one of many things that make me happy. It costs me nothing but time and I receive no material benefit from it (besides education and increased typing skill). And yet I'm still here? If I were a productive member of society, I would be working on some sort of product. Instead I have diverted my time to what I consider leisure.

Currently my material needs are met. I have no dreams about buying more video games or more clothes. I don't need new shoes. I don't need to pay for the vast majority of my meals (being a teenager has its advantages).

So why should I work harder? The material benefit motive doesn't work on me because my needs are basically met. Maybe I have low standards for what is "enough".

If I strictly followed your logic JD, I would be on peakoil.com because I wanted to benefit mankind. Screw mankind, I'm doing it because I find it enjoyable.

Newton would agree. Screw humanity, I'm going to play around with mathematical formulas because I think its fun.

Actually, I think almost everyone would agree. If you have the option between work and leisure (assuming current material needs are met), most would pick leisure. Those that pick work either find work enjoyable (and thus it is a kind of leisure) or they want to increase their material wellbeing (and thus their definition of “enough” is higher than what they currently have).

Forward planning effects the definition of enough as well. Many people work very hard in order to save money and thus guarantee that their material needs will be met in the future without work.

Wow, I’ve just written the Hedonist’s Manifesto…I should copyright this… :roll:
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Unread postby JohnDenver » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 20:53:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Licho', 'B')ecause there was lack of direct consumer drive, goods were often inadequate or too generic. (2 models of TV must suit all. And why do you need soap with nice aroma? Central planning commision was unaware of such needs).


Licho, why is it that Linux and Wikipedia don't suffer from this problem? I don't find either of them inadequate compared to their commercial rivals. In fact, I find them both to be superior to their commercial rivals.

Similarly, why doesn't mathematics produce inadequate, generic theorems?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')orkers were generally poorly motivated - hard working people earn same money as lazy people - and you couldnt be fired (worst thing was, that you were given different job, there were no jobless or homeless). Propaganda did maximum to make you proud for your work and to make people interested in science and research, but it couldnt stop majority from simply bullying their work, lowering overall productivity of work.
Technocracy would suffer from same things.


I'm not sure why that should be true if technocracy follows the model of free software and mathematics. Mathematicians, Linux programmers and Wikipedia authors don't have any financial incentives, and they're not lazy or underproductive.
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Unread postby I_Like_Plants » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 21:50:27

Newton was a wealthy man, he was born into wealth and was able to pursue math from a young age and go where he wanted, study where he wanted, etc because of this wealth.

An income of 100 lbs a year back then was roughly the same as getting 100k nowadays in the US. The Lucasian Chair mathematician gets about that today, as do most prominent professors anywhere in the "First World". Add in the other incomes, and Newton probably got about the same as a person getting a quarter of a million a year income today.

I've also heard Newton was a vindictive SOB when he thought someone was stepping on his toes, I'm not sure if he was that way about money but he sure was about a lot of things. Remember that most great British fiction is about person A connniving to deprive person B of their land, inheritance, etc yadda yadda. The meek did not get to hold onto their lbs in merrie olde England!
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Unread postby Licho » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 22:28:14

Communism is certainly much closer to technocracy than to capitalism. We had money, but prices were distorted by central planning. They didnt represent real value in most cases. They were "allocated" to you just like energy credits but you could be rewarded with more.
Communists did many crazy things with money, they could change ammount in circulation at will and could change price of most goods up or down at will..

One happy day they simply erased all savings. So it was really much closer to energy allocation credits than to tradeable proper currency. Prices of goods were set centrally.. for example, food was allways extremely cheap - not representing true value, and food industry was allways driven to overproduction.
Only difference is, that it was more complex and usefull than simple representation of energy. Because you cannot abstract everything to energy, allocation in technocracy will also have to set aproximate value and credits will have to represent more than just energy (materials, essential human labor, eco damage comes to mind)..
For example, if there is something rare - like diamonds, that many people people desire - it costs little energy to produce, but is extremely rare and desirable, how will you set energy cost in technocracy?
Some goods, will be so rare (arts?) that they will be completely outside scope of energy trading system. There you have your room for corruption and power benefits resulting from important posts in administration.

In communism, having "connections" to important people almost never resulted in more money. Money were not so important. But you could skip queue to get new model of car, your friend could save you some rare tropical fruits at shop where he worked, you could get treatment from better doctor and so on.
Same problems are goinng to be in technocracy - new highly desirable product cannot be produced at once in such quantity - who will get it first? There are only few specialists able to handle some complex neuro-surgery, who will be treated by them? Room for corruption everywhere .. And corruption damages any system.. It became really widespread and absurd here..
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Unread postby Licho » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 22:34:38

JohnDenver - I fail to see how is Wikipedia or Linux similar to communistic or technocratic country .. I really don't see where is your analogy here.. Btw wikipedia is commercial project, financed with commercial results in mind. Many distributions of linux are also "commercial" even if the yields don't come from direct sales, but rather from support services..

Btw I'm not saying that technocracy or communism cannot work, I'm pointing to common problems - widespread corruption, lack of desired goods, too generic goods, productivity decline, knowing right people becomes more important than anything else etc..
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Unread postby JohnDenver » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 23:23:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Licho', 'J')ohnDenver - I fail to see how is Wikipedia or Linux similar to communistic or technocratic country .. I really don't see where is your analogy here..


It is similar in that there are no financial incentives to do the labor, and the results of the labor are given free to all.
You and gg3 pointed out that, under communism, product quality and productivity decline because there is no financial incentive to do good work. But that same argument applies to mathematics, Wikipedia and Linux. Why doesn't product quality and productivity decline there?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')tw wikipedia is commercial project, financed with commercial results in mind.


I didn't know that. What sort of commercial results are they aiming for?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')tw I'm not saying that technocracy or communism cannot work, I'm pointing to common problems - widespread corruption, lack of desired goods, too generic goods, productivity decline, knowing right people becomes more important than anything else etc..


I understand, Licho. I'm interested in why enterprises like mathematics are extremely productive, even though they are basically run in a communist fashion: equality of payment to producers, and equality of distribution to consumers.
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Unread postby JohnDenver » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 23:31:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Licho', 'F')or example, if there is something rare - like diamonds, that many people people desire - it costs little energy to produce, but is extremely rare and desirable, how will you set energy cost in technocracy?


Diamonds are a bad example. They aren't scarce at all, and their value is propped up by the DeBeers cartel, which creates artificial scarcity. This is one of the key problems of capitalism which the Technocrats pointed out -- another similarity with free software. Windows, or music mp3s, are not actually scarce. Capitalism is interfering with efficiency in this case. It would be better for almost everyone if diamonds, Windows and music were all run according to a technocrat model. Then the artificial scarcity could be eliminated, and everyone could have them.
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Unread postby EnergySpin » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 23:39:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')or example, if there is something rare - like diamonds, that many people people desire - it costs little energy to produce, but is extremely rare and desirable, how will you set energy cost in technocracy?
Some goods, will be so rare (arts?) that they will be completely outside scope of energy trading system. There you have your room for corruption and power benefits resulting from important posts in administration.

Technocracy does not lead with scarce goods - it is beyond the scope of the system. If it cannot be produced by machine it does not exist. In fact diamonds would be massively produced (heat and pressurize those carbon atoms).
Same thing with cultural goods .... beyond the scope of the system. Anyone could produce them and distribute them, but he should not expect energy credits for it. Mathematicians and scientists have been doing these for centuries, and the same goes for many artists as well (who died horribly poor).

I am surprised that you fail to see that energy credits are not equivalent to money. In fact the dicking around with money in the former communist states cannot happen with energy. Energy is a physical entity ... you cannot cancel it, unless the system goes down. In fact since everything is derived from the system it is quite likely that people end up caring about it not the way it happened in the former communist states or the mother of capitalism (i.e. US)
I acknowledge the comment about other goods i.e. not everything is energy.The discussion has been raised in academic economical cycles in relation to steady state economics, and two lines of thought have emerged:
1) that there should be a multidimensional metric incorporating matter+energy
2) since energy is required to extract the raw materials in the first place, that energy should be internalized to the "price" of the product. Automatically you end up factoring the cost to the ecosystem since that energy has to come from somewhere (i.e. directly or indirectly one subtracts energy that should be available to other life forms for the technate's benefit
The comment about neurosurgical scarcity - people in the technate were required to know an art (τεχνη in greek) since the system depended on them to guide the machines. So there would be no scarcity of doctors, and in fact none of the formet communist countries had any shortages in personnel (at least in the health sector and engineering). Cuba has the highest doctor per capita ratio ... finding a doctor would not be a problem.
In terms of the political structure of the technate ... decisions about issues are made by majority voting in the scientific/technical bodies that are most relevant to the issue examined. Technates are organised bottom-up not top-down and the only thing that leaders have to do is select the colour of the flag.
In any case .... free market is irrelevant now or will be a few years after the peak. In fact it will deliver the blow and many people who believed in it will die from hunger unable to understand what hit them
You might be surprised how many people in the western world will even be deprived of food and health, things that Castro (a dictator by my standards) secured for his people post their peak. And btw ... the only reason the expected life time in Cuba is still higher than the most of the western world and food production is close to the levels it had been before the collapse of the industrial agriculture is that let their scientists run the show. This lead to widespread adoption of permaculture (there are some data that it may even be more productive than fuel based farming), and genetic engineering for edible plants and vaccines. But no market based economy would have put the burden to engineers, scientistis, physicians and farmers to ameliorate the collapse.
The technate is one way for people and machines to organise in purposeful societies and live within their limits. Enjoy the ride down the Hubbert peak ... most of the people will eat free market (how many calories is that, I wonder?)
Wikipedia / Linux/ scientific community should have been the way to organize our societies. The Greeks and the Romans said that years ago ... but they let their democracies weaken when money (which initially was a symbol of sovereignity and book keeping) eroded the basis of the political system. BTW inspite of their shortcomings, and at least in the first few centuries, they provided ther (male) population with enough education (approx equivalent to a college not university degree today) to be an active citizen in political/technical decisions that had to do with the state.
Anyone citizen (slaves included)could rise to a state position irrespective of their monetary status based on their argumentative power alone. The fact that they established their empire under that technate like system, only to collapse when they switched to a system similar to the one we have today ... should mean something.
I am usually one of the most optimistic people in this forum ... but my optimism withers when I hear the free market saga being thrown around. It is a good system for a flat earth world ... not a finite world. When big corporations start leasing land for food production (anyone remembers what this system was called? Maybe feudalism?), and when selling your kidney becomes the next big bubble due to the lack of health care ..... give me a buzz
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