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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

THE Consumerism Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Unread postby EnergySpin » Mon 04 Jul 2005, 21:57:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') read somewhere that people who come from a background of privation to the US tend to jump onto the consumer treadmill most enthusiastically. Observations bear this out, from the Russian refugees and Cuban refugees who are most adamant about "The American Way Of Life" (tm) to people I see around here from India and China, who drive new cars, buy their kids every concievable toy and game and gadget.

My parents, emerged from the genocide of WWII in Europe and were the same ... it is a natural response to deal with your PTSD hehehe.

The key issue is that the media and the whole world around us try to persuade us that more is better and less = failure. I have a pretty good job in the health sector that allows me to flip-flop continents and I can see the same things across Europe (more in the recent years). I will use the example of my parent's homeland in Europe (plenty of relatives there). Before the 80s ... no cheap credit, people did leave within their means (they could not do otherwise) and limited consumption was directed to satisfy needs like food, shelter, education for children (for things that were not obtained within the public education system) and family entertainement or quality time with friends. Saving in a bank was a virtue ... and occasionaly extra cash were directed in a good that will allow to establish status (that was usually a car/VCR etc). With the free-credit mania starting in the 80s, the advertisement of the American Way of Life of owning more ... people's restraints disappeared. No one was happy unless they owned more ... and they started using credit cards/obtain bank loans to satisfy artificial needs. This is went the incidence of psychiatric disorders i.e. depression/anxiety sky-rocketed and people could only go on , medicated on Prozac/Xanax/Valium/Ativan and that trend happened both here and back in Europe (have given plenty of prescriptions in both continents LOL)
I was operating at the border of this craziness ... never incurred any debt but wanting more and on antidepressants (I guess I am a good doctor, and try my own medicine).
I discovered PO about a year ago; at that time I was working on my PhD and was exploring some mathematical aspects of modeling in biological systems which through a weird combination of events led me to appreciate the physical implausibility of the current way of life. I downscaled considerably ... I did not buy that BMW I planned to, and gave my car in Europe to my parents and brother. I lost 40 lbs (eating lower in the food chain now, helps with appearance and health), saving money in the bank (in case of an emergency) and direct my direction to cultural goods and education (i.e. subscription to journals, reading stuff, trying to educate others). In spite of the dismal possible scenaria, I am no longer depressed ... I feel I am contributing something. I spend my free time on myself, reading ..exploring different scientific fields and keeping my social nets alive in the two continents and 5 countries I have friends and colleagues.
I do use my "scientific leverage" (i.e. the fact that my peers do take me seriously) to educate other about the need to scale back. No blogs for now .... but I will work within my reach to wake-up family, colleagues, the non geological scientific community to the fallacies of their assumptions about the world.
The most difficult thing is to alert the people that you love. My brother dismiss this conversation as "something in the future", my parents say "I survived WWII I will be long dead" and my gf sees this as a potential danger to a fantasy world of "3 kids, 2 cars, vacation all over this planet, and 4 homes in US and Europe" (yeap, I could do that in the next 4 years if I wanted to). However people do take notice when they see you scaling back .... at first they thought I was kidding but when I shed the cars, took a research job for 1 yr instead of a lucrative clinical job and switched to a vegetarian diet they started wondering.
Yes we have to keep Hammering them to get rid of the Hummers ....
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Unread postby Choon » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 00:28:15

A lot of people in Kuala Lumpur have that "success = wealth" mentality as well. A couple of people were trying to get me to join their business in networking, saying things like "oh, you can earn x amount of money a month, work really hard for 2 or 3 years and you can retire when you're 30".

I've been trying to explain to them that success to me is personal and spiritual growth, not material growth. As long as I earn enough for me to pay my bills, pay for my food and enjoy myself a bit each month, that's enough.

"Oh sure, but you can do whatever you like when you retire, isn't that worth 2 or 3 years of hardship?"

I'd like to see their faces when the REAL hardship comes along when TSHTF. Right now, I've got the time to do what I like (LOTS of martial arts), be with my friends and family, and keep track of the PO situation. :)

But these guys don't seem to get it. One second, they talk about wanting to avoid the traffic by coming back from work late, and the next, they talk about buying the newest BMW/Mercedes. I'm wondering what the heck actually goes on in their minds.

Then again, they're probably wondering if I'm sane too. Everyone else is on the rat race, so the rat race HAS to be the right way to live, right?
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Unread postby I_Like_Plants » Tue 05 Jul 2005, 00:39:56

I just wish I'd seen the overall picture. Pat Buchanan said it well, you can't spend your way to prosperty. I'd sure like to see that guy in the White House, I dunno if he's up to speed on Peak Oil, I'd guess probably so, he's awfully smart.
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Re: Consuming/Purchasing Poll

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Tue 16 Aug 2005, 17:36:31

The die is cast. I'm young, have negligible savings, no house, significant credit card debt. I, and millions like me, are screwed. Who wants pie?
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Re: Consuming/Purchasing Poll

Unread postby turmoil » Tue 16 Aug 2005, 18:33:06

apple pie? :)
"If you are a real seeker after truth, it's necessary that at least once in your life you doubt all things as far as possible"-Rene Descartes

"When you have excluded the impossible, whatever remains however improbable must be the truth"-Sherlock Holmes
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Re: Consuming/Purchasing Poll

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Tue 16 Aug 2005, 18:38:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('stupid_monkeys', 'a')pple pie? :)


why, you read my mind! 8)
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Re: Consuming/Purchasing Poll

Unread postby turmoil » Tue 16 Aug 2005, 18:44:03

:-D
"If you are a real seeker after truth, it's necessary that at least once in your life you doubt all things as far as possible"-Rene Descartes

"When you have excluded the impossible, whatever remains however improbable must be the truth"-Sherlock Holmes
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Re: Consuming/Purchasing Poll

Unread postby PeakOiler » Tue 16 Aug 2005, 20:05:25

I've reduced my home energy consumption by about 50% since 2000 and my direct gasoline consumption by about 65% since 2003.

But I'm still drinking, eating and being merry, or at least trying to be merry.

There needed to be other choices in the poll; something like d) a and b, or e) all of the above!

Because I'm preparing for the future using savings from choice (a)!

:-D
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Re: Consuming/Purchasing Poll

Unread postby freelight » Tue 16 Aug 2005, 21:52:11

i moved within 4 blocks of my job, stopped buying stuff and going places i don't need to, have continued to buy organic (although i'm not buying food grown locally) gave up the car, am 500 bucks away from being debt free, own no house, have no land and therefore thinking of getting some kind of vehicle that may be veggie, bio-diesel or simply big enough to park and live in on my brothers property (he's peak oil aware - which is such a blessing, since i realize so many of you have no one to sit a nd talk with) i need panels, a pump and some tools. i want to build a cobb house if i can just get a few acres. damn! where am i gonna get some land?
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Re: Consuming/Purchasing Poll

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 16 Aug 2005, 21:59:48

1 & 2

I never purchase much, typically living in a rather frugal manner. My purchases are mainly things to help transition to a less energy intensive way of life, such as seeds and some tools. But I still buy icecream and beer.

Big purchase was a couple of solar panels.
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Re: Consuming/Purchasing Poll

Unread postby Specop_007 » Tue 16 Aug 2005, 22:01:13

More.

Take advantage while you can right? :-D
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Abyss, the Abyss gazes also into you."

Ammo at a gunfight is like bubblegum in grade school: If you havent brought enough for everyone, you're in trouble
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Re: Consuming/Purchasing Poll

Unread postby RonMN » Tue 16 Aug 2005, 22:30:08

Count me in for apple pie :razz: and could ya nuke it for 20 seconds & then throw a scoop of chocolate ice cream on top please!!!
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Re: Consuming/Purchasing Poll

Unread postby leal » Wed 17 Aug 2005, 03:19:15

September 1 I am moving closer to work, thus reducing my driving. :)
Is there any apple pie left? :razz:
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Re: Consuming/Purchasing Poll

Unread postby Evltre » Wed 17 Aug 2005, 03:50:17

Well, we're a 1 & 3! We've moved to the country - renting an old shack on the edge of a big farm, waiting until (hopefully) the price of land goes down a bit before buying - there are a lot of "lifestylers" around here who are already groaning under the weight of their gas bill - driving 60-70kms return into the city - often in two cars!

We're 4kms from a very small township, bit of a rural / farm science hub so good employment and low population. That's where hubby works, in a flat straight line (nice bike ride although you have to dodge the trucks a bit) and I'm waiting for a job to come up there, rather than take something immediately available in town.

So, for number 1 - we’re using a lot less gas, no more daily visits to the supermarket – we’ve learnt to shop bulk and make it last a couple of weeks! Buying a lot more local produce – loads of veges and stuff grown around here.

But, on the other hand for number 3 - I’ve got some new hobbies, which are burning up the cash a bit :) I’ve learnt to spin – brought a spinning wheel and all the bits to go with it including spares (second hand but still an investment). And brought several fleeces (although I have sorted an almost free future source for these). And I’ve gone knitting mad, and brought all sizes of knitting needles, pattern books etc

And to top it all off, I’m starting on the longer term food storage issue, with a bit of stocking up on the basics (salt, sugar, coffee, tea, rice etc) Not going over board on it as we live in a food production area, and have a good garden gearing up, but aiming to have a good 3-6 month supply of staples.
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Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 12:46:45

This season is shaping up like last year's. Big sales on "Black Friday," but flat for the rest of the season.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')The biggest surprise to me has been this absence of urgency on the part of consumers," said Marshal Cohen, industry analyst with market research firm NPD Group. "I've been doing this for a long time. Other than in 2001, I haven't seen such a lackluster tone during the holidays.

"This doesn't feel like Christmas to me," he added. "Some consumers have told me that they haven't even started their holiday shopping yet, others say they've already run out of money. If I can find a parking space in the first or second row of a major mall this close to Christmas, something's wrong."


Where are all the shoppers?

Of course, it could be that they're shopping online instead.

I also wonder if the increasing Hispanic population is affecting holiday sales. For many Hispanics, it's traditional to give gifts for Epiphany (the day the Wise Men supposedly arrived) rather than on Christmas. I think it's Jan. 6. My Hispanic friends gloat about how they wait until after New Year to buy gifts, and save big because everything's marked down.
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby Hegel » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 12:56:48

Very good news.
Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.

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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby FoxV » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 13:00:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 't')otal sales this year for the key November-December shopping period are expected to be nearly $440 billion.

"The biggest surprise to me has been this absence of urgency on the part of consumers," said Marshal Cohen,

I love how repeatedly through the article its stated that people are merely waiting to buy, and that they're fully expected to spend as much as they always have by the end of the season.

Nowhere does the article mention that people might be actually cutting back on spending

so come on people, chop, chop. Time to get out those credit cards and refinacne the home. $440B to go. We don't want Uncle Sam to have an unhappy christmas now do we.
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby Eli » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 13:08:48

I think it is more likely that a lot of consumers are tapped out. They have given themselves over to the credit card companies and have been shaken upside down to the point that "uh, no more money comes out".

That and "damn how am I going to pay my heating bill for this past month?" is at play here.

The other thing too is that wage increases are flat, while costs have gone up, it is not like everyone was given a raise because of the energy price spike , actually unlike other times inflation does not have to rise all that much if peoples income does not increase.
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby BO » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 13:19:33

Eli Wrote:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') think it is more likely that alot of consumers are tapped out. They have given themselves over to the credit card companys and have been shaken upside down to the point that "uh, no more money comes out".

That and "damn how am I going to pay my heating bill for this past month?" is at play here.


I agree 100%, I heard a statistic recently that last years spending was 350 billion more than after tax income in the US. Does anyone really think that is sustainable? Housing market made it happen, and now is ready to implode. What I didn't realize, was that people seem to be getting the idea that something is wrong. The article posted on the main page says it all, regarding 2006 trends:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'â')€¢The survival business will boom for the first time since the Cold War as Americans perceive their government as incapable of protecting them from terrorist attacks and natural disasters.

•Technology will continue to empower self-reliant, "off the grid" survivalists, who will seek to avoid payment of fuel, water, electricity and telephone bills.

•Citizen-driven movements for states to break away from the union will arise.

•Global sales of products "made in the USA" will suffer after media coverage of Hurricane Katrina, which greatly damaged the world's view of the United States.


•Real estate values in rural areas will continue to rise as it becomes fashionable to downsize from mega-mansions to log cabins.

•Entertainment that pokes fun at the consumption habits of the wealthy elite will become popular as reality TV's projection of "real life" becomes increasingly inaccurate.

•A new American labor movement will boost union power for workers in the lowest strata of the U.S. economy.

•Hometown economies will benefit as fuel costs soar and consumers become less willing to drive farther to do their errands; if a pandemic such as bird flu hits, people will patronize local merchants to avoid crowds.

•Discovering reliable new sources of alternative energy will be the primary drive in science and invention.

•Americans will address environmental concerns such as global warming, food safety and recycling.


In USA today of all places. This looks like it was taken right out of "The Long Emergency". Now, apparently there is an "Ice Storm" headed for the northeast. I wonder if this will bid up NG prices even more?
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Re: Where are all the shoppers?

Unread postby FairMaiden » Thu 15 Dec 2005, 13:39:48

The malls here are eerily quiet as well. I have been amazed by the lack of shoppers everywhere. I had no problem at 5pm on a Fri buying my fiance's gifts. No line ups anywhere. Given what I know about PO, it gave me the creeps. But then my second thought was: maybe ppl are waiting for the boxing day/week sales??
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