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Time Goes "Doomer"

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby Pops » Tue 04 Aug 2015, 10:21:18

Back in the day there were a different breed of doomer here, Timo.

how-important-is-climate-change-in-planning-for-the-future-t32905.html?

I think we are mostly hand wringers now.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby Lore » Tue 04 Aug 2015, 10:29:20

A lot changes in seven years when the problem comes more clearly into view and yet little is being done about it. Ten years ago we were told we had only ten years to avoid the worst impacts of climate change. That time is up!

So, I guess you really can't blame people for a little handwringing. At least from those who really care.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby onlooker » Tue 04 Aug 2015, 10:33:02

I think if I may add this sense of helplessness has arisen because since that topic was created in 2007, society at large in fact the whole darn planet has not done very little to prepare or anticipate climate change. Climate conferences have come and gone and little to nothing agreed upon much less acted upon. Since that time the pace of Carbon emissions has continued to grow until 2014 when apparently growth stalled yet did not decrease. Add to that, the more dramatic and visible signs of climate since 2007 showing that the worse scenarios are likely to happen faster then we presumed back in 2007. All this has led to I think the sensible conclusion that their is not much an individual can do to prepare other then moving to a relatively advantageous location. You cannot hide in some bunker to ride out climate change or stock up on guns and ammo or even get off the grid.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby davep » Tue 04 Aug 2015, 13:59:32

Move to a currently temperate area with good rainfall if you can (and if you're not already in one) and plant lots and lots of trees, including edibles.

I know I sound like a broken record, but it really is the cure for everything :-D
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby Timo » Tue 04 Aug 2015, 14:21:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'M')ove to a currently temperate area with good rainfall if you can (and if you're not already in one) and plant lots and lots of trees, including edibles.

I know I sound like a broken record, but it really is the cure for everything :-D



Trees with edibles?????

I found this over the weekend, and i soooooooooo want one of these trees!!!!!

http://grist.org/science/these-amazing-trees-grow-up-to-40-different-types-of-fruit/
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby davep » Tue 04 Aug 2015, 14:29:17

I guess that'd be cool if you were short on space. But I bet it's expensive.

If you've got the space go for loads of full-size fruit and nut trees with plenty of non-edibles too.

And maybe sort out a decent water capture and irrigation system for when the inevitable droughts come.

And if you have the time and money, create berms following contour lines to help trap as much water as possible before planting the trees.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Tue 04 Aug 2015, 15:13:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'M')ove to a currently temperate area with good rainfall if you can (and if you're not already in one) and plant lots and lots of trees, including edibles.

I know I sound like a broken record, but it really is the cure for everything :-D

Except that it's not.

Getting the 99.9% of people with an outsized carbon footprint (including yours truly, but I have been and continue to work on reducing mine -- significantly) to consume FAR less and produce less CO2 and other GHG is a far better long term solution.

But let's not talk about that. Let's pretend that spreading out and living in isolated doomsteads where even MORE carbon must be burned for things like transportation is the answer.

It's not that planting trees won't help. But by itself it won't begin to solve the real problem (a constantly increasing global carbon footprint).
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby Lore » Tue 04 Aug 2015, 15:40:05

Go to town once a week instead of three trips a day from the suburbs to the mall, grocery store and the gym. I now live in the country from the burbs and have cut my travel in half and I still go and do community work.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby davep » Wed 05 Aug 2015, 03:37:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'M')ove to a currently temperate area with good rainfall if you can (and if you're not already in one) and plant lots and lots of trees, including edibles.

I know I sound like a broken record, but it really is the cure for everything :-D

Except that it's not.

Getting the 99.9% of people with an outsized carbon footprint (including yours truly, but I have been and continue to work on reducing mine -- significantly) to consume FAR less and produce less CO2 and other GHG is a far better long term solution.

But let's not talk about that. Let's pretend that spreading out and living in isolated doomsteads where even MORE carbon must be burned for things like transportation is the answer.

It's not that planting trees won't help. But by itself it won't begin to solve the real problem (a constantly increasing global carbon footprint).


Fair point. I kind of took the reduced carbon footprint as read. Another of the great things you can do is build yourself a straw bale passive solar house, using external lime render and internal clay and lime render for huge thermal mass. It's all recyclable and cheap, as well as allowing the walls to "breathe" and being inexpensive. You'd need to have a clear south-facing area for the passive solar element.

For existing older houses, assuming you've already got double glazing, a high efficiency wood stove and roof insulation, external wall insulation using lime and hemp is also a great insulator (but not in the same ballpark as straw bales).

For me, it's not a question of pretending about spreading out into isolated doomsteads. It's my reality. I also think that current agricultural practices will soon be on the wane and we'll need to go back to smaller units with more care taken of the land. That would obviously necessitate a repopulation of rural areas.

As for transportation, a friend of mine has beefed up solar bikes that he charges from his 20m2 solar panels. It's a brilliant solution for going to the nearest town (about 20 miles) and he does about 40km/h. I'm just using a high mpg small diesel for now.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby jedrider » Wed 05 Aug 2015, 11:31:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Timo', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KaiserJeep', 'I') think Keith was talking about the long overdue eruption of the Yellowstone mega-volcano. This entirely natural event will eclipse mankind's feeble effect upon world climate in the first half-day of the eruption, then will spin the planet into a glacial age that will trap so much water as ice that the continental shelf will be the new shoreline, and the ice will last for tens of thousands of years.......leaving a narrow band of human-habitable temperate climate desert terrain around the equator.

Bring it on! I've got the Champagne.


In a choice between ice and fire, I think 'ice' is much preferable. Just thinking of Venus gives me the willies :-D
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby ennui2 » Sun 09 Aug 2015, 09:45:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'M')ove to a currently temperate area with good rainfall if you can (and if you're not already in one) and plant lots and lots of trees, including edibles.

I know I sound like a broken record, but it really is the cure for everything :-D


And one everyone else gets the same idea, then you're overrun with refugees. It's a zero-sum game, really. It just lulls you into thinking you've gamed the system when you've moved ahead of the wave.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby davep » Sun 09 Aug 2015, 09:56:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ennui2', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'M')ove to a currently temperate area with good rainfall if you can (and if you're not already in one) and plant lots and lots of trees, including edibles.

I know I sound like a broken record, but it really is the cure for everything :-D


And one everyone else gets the same idea, then you're overrun with refugees. It's a zero-sum game, really. It just lulls you into thinking you've gamed the system when you've moved ahead of the wave.


It's got nothing to do with gaming the system. It's about doing your bit for the transition away from the current destructive wasteful paradigm; leaving a bit of land in a better state than you found it, including perennial edibles. Someone in the future is going to thank the unknown predecessors who were wise enough to set this sort of multi-factor mitigation in motion.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby onlooker » Sun 09 Aug 2015, 10:08:57

This is what we are talking about in the -GW where you live thread-. It is about setting yourself as best as possible for the future while being "one" of those who are taking the correct path. Yeah one can be overrun in the future but one can also form part of a like-minded community which will incorporate all these sustainable practices and which by the way will defend their community against outsiders trying to "overrun" it.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby Ibon » Sun 09 Aug 2015, 12:15:17

I think the importance here is the fact that this article appeared in Time. Mainstream articles are like chisels slowly chipping away at denial. When another "event" happens like Sandy or Katrina or Andrew the collective is already primed by articles like this. Add to that insurance companies increasing current and future premiums beyond what the average depressed wage earner can pay and there you have it, a region spirals into economic decline lead by a falling housing market. We were discussing this on the Sea Level Rise thread and anyone paying attention to this has to take note that this article appeared in Time. Just another small nudge to the collective denial but for those of us who have coastal properties the day is ever nearer that you want to get out ahead of the curve while prices are still resilient.

Furthermore, do you want to be already integrated in a local community say for 5-10 or 20 years when climate change starts to bite or would you prefer to be part of the flood of recent arrivals where the locals look upon you with resentment.

Ennui mentioned its a zero sum game. I don't quite agree with that. If you are already integrated in a community and are a member of the local "in Group" then you are in a far better position than a recent climate refugee. To the fact that we all die in the end is indeed the ultimate zero sum game but between now and then it isn't. The choices you make of when to sell your home, where you choose to live, the decision to stay in your bioregion but getting out of a flood zone, all these small choices, make the journey between now and when you eventually die anything but a zero sum game.

There are wise choices to be made right now and in the short term just ahead of when insurance companies and the economy starts sending out the signals long before the climate change itself makes towns and regions no longer economically viable.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby Strummer » Sun 09 Aug 2015, 12:32:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'F')urthermore, do you want to be already integrated in a local community say for 5-10 or 20 years when climate change starts to bite or would you prefer to be part of the flood of recent arrivals where the locals look upon you with resentment.


That depends on where you live. Personally, I have decided to keep myself as unattached and mobile as possible. Living in Central Europe, things can get very ugly very fast, and specifically my home region is forecasted to turn extremely dry over the coming decades (if the current weather is any indication, it's already started), so getting attached to a local community makes no sense, when that community turns into dust in 20 years time. I prefer to be able to pack my things and move... working on keeping my skillset varied enough to be employable, and recently started refreshing my russian language skills, long forgotten since elementary school. Russians are actually quite welcoming to skilled immigrants, there are always shortages of workforce in the more remote regions. Varied IT skills, fluent German and English, no attachments, I find that a better plan that getting tied to a plot of land which will be worth nothing when the wells run dry.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby Ibon » Sun 09 Aug 2015, 12:39:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'B')ack in the day there were a different breed of doomer here, Timo.

how-important-is-climate-change-in-planning-for-the-future-t32905.html?

I think we are mostly hand wringers now.


I will share something. I enjoy the company here at PO.com. The interesting points of view and wisdom many share. I also learn from the ignorant who permit me to measure the pulse of the stubborn. At the same time as I enjoy this site I am also less and less interested in dissection on the cerebral level of everything we discuss. The more one immerses oneself in the actual organic application of what we verbalize, the less one is drawn into discussions here. Cerebral exercises analyzing our plight gets old after awhile, how much can one really rehash the same topics?

I am witnessing quite a few active homesteaders, in Panama and on a recent trip out west. Folks who have turned their properties into laboratories, workshops, gardens, hydroponics, renting out rooms, in other words, the place where they live is also their livelihood, an important part of their income, where they carry out their resiliency experiments. There are some here on this site like Careinke and Revi and Pops who have done this as well. But I would guess that there is quite a large population of folks practicing applied resiliency and localization that no census is measuring, and most of these folks are not interested in sites like PO.com. This is something worth mentioning here. Those who are already deep into preparation territory are not represented in the mainstream media and even not represented really in fringe sites like PO.COM. So I wonder how very large of a population is already there immersed in practicing various aspects of resiliency in preparation for the upcoming age of consequences?

I hope what I write here makes some of the posters who are on the fence feel a bit more agitated.

You either embrace BAU and carry on or you make choices to start increasing your resiliency in preparation for climate change and all the other consequences. Or have a foot in each door but being nimble and aware. But hanging around PO.COM as a cerebral arm chair expert on our civilization in decline isn't either here nor there.......it's kind of a stuck place. But it's a nice place to come and share if you are spending your time not on line actually doing something toward organic resiliency.

It is not hard to actually gauge where most posters are here in terms of the balance between cerebral analysis and actually living and applying resiliency to their lives. And we should remember, many former posters have moved on toward actually immersing themselves into local communities and learning skills and adapting resiliency, having graduated from cerebral discussions.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby Ibon » Sun 09 Aug 2015, 12:42:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Strummer', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'F')urthermore, do you want to be already integrated in a local community say for 5-10 or 20 years when climate change starts to bite or would you prefer to be part of the flood of recent arrivals where the locals look upon you with resentment.


That depends on where you live. Personally, I have decided to keep myself as unattached and mobile as possible. Living in Central Europe, things can get very ugly very fast, and specifically my home region is forecasted to turn extremely dry over the coming decades (if the current weather is any indication, it's already started), so getting attached to a local community makes no sense, when that community turns into dust in 20 years time. I prefer to be able to pack my things and move... working on keeping my skillset varied enough to be employable, and recently started refreshing my russian language skills, long forgotten since elementary school. Russians are actually quite welcoming to skilled immigrants, there are always shortages of workforce in the more remote regions. Varied IT skills, fluent German and English, no attachments, I find that a better plan that getting tied to a plot of land which will be worth nothing when the wells run dry.


That's a great point Strummer and this is a truly viable strategy, to be nomadic with a valuable skill set. But this works mostly for the young and strong and for those who do not have the baggage of family and kids etc. I am 60 years old and can remember fondly my nomadic youth. It wont work for me today where I am at and have to build on local resiliency and choose wisely. My daughters see things more like you!
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby Cog » Sun 09 Aug 2015, 12:53:14

Even if you are a full blown doomer, and I am not anymore, there are good reasons to live below your means, reduce your personal debt, and be prepared for changes in your circumstances. I still do the prepping thing for economic reasons if nothing else.
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby onlooker » Sun 09 Aug 2015, 12:55:45

I am wondering I have heard statistics about quite a number of people dropping out of the formal work force could this be a sign that people are deliberately seeking alternative ways to live or is this more reflective of a very weak economy?
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Re: Time Goes "Doomer"

Postby Cog » Sun 09 Aug 2015, 13:00:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('onlooker', 'I') am wondering I have heard statistics about quite a number of people dropping out of the formal work force could this be a sign that people are deliberately seeking alternative ways to live or is this more reflective of a very weak economy?


A combination of a lot of factors but a great number of baby boomers like myself are retiring. I haven't retired yet to make room for a millennial because I want to increase my ability to weather future economic storms. Also the economy is weak depending, on the sector of course.

I really don't know too many people who are doing to the alternative life-style deal. No doubt I don't travel in their circles so don't really know.
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