by ralfy » Thu 28 May 2015, 03:34:37
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '
')Why doesn't that simply make you a pessimist? I mean after all, most folks believe they are right about most things and especially about their beliefs — that's why they are called beliefs. LOL
In other words, most everyone thinks they are a realist, that they have a grasp of reality. Probably more likely, most never even considers otherwise. Which is maybe why optical illusions like MC Esche's drawings are so fascinating, we are surprised because our preconceptions of reality are challenged.
I'm not turning into some transcendental swami seeking enlightenment on the astral plane, merely acknowledging the fact that sometimes my closely held beliefs, knee-jerks, gut reactions and off the cuff opinions —that I am completely positive about initially, turn out to be mistaken on closer inspection.
Perhaps I'm simply a poor specimen and you all have perfect insight. Or maybe you all [realists] just never consider the possibility you don't.
“
Positive, adj.: Mistaken at the top of one's voice.”
― Ambrose Bierce, The Unabridged Devil's Dictionary

Beliefs are usually based on something real. In the case of optimists, it might be news about one "game changer" or another to solve a crisis, if not skepticism or denial concerning that crisis. For pessimists, it might mean fearing one crisis or another, such as global warming, peak oil, and financial crisis. A realist, on the other hand, will bring all of these things together, and for me realize that we face multiple crises amplifying each other:
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfre ... g-collapseIn which case, multiple "game changers" will be needed combined with significant levels of coordination and cooperation between groups of people. Optimists might hope that this will happen. Pessimists will argue that it won't because the last few decades have shown the opposite. Realists will consider the past to predict the future.
Given that, we see reality eroding the optimistic view, i.e., from skepticism and denial to "game changers." Meanwhile, the same reality only strengthens the pessimistic view. That's why I think in time there will be no difference between reality and what pessimists believe will happen.
Finally, given these, why is it that I don't see myself as a pessimist? It's probably because I want to survive. It's just that I don't think I can count on a global capitalist system to ensure that.