by Sixstrings » Sat 22 Nov 2014, 19:41:29
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'A')re you really saying this, Six? That you have no idea re eroei or the apparent oil-price ceiling? Really? If so, then you need to slow down, catch your breath, do a little homework. I'd suggest
http://peakoil.com/ as a good place to start.

Well as I said I'm not an energy expert, I was just sharing this, I got no dog in the fight I won't argue about it or rant.
I'll just say,
You guys said the same EROEI thing about shale and tar sands and fracking. So okay, years go by, and now obviously there's some kind of energy returned on energy invested or else the USA wouldn't be #1 in energy now, and Canada wouldn't still be cooking tar sands.
So apparently you all are wrong, about EROEI.
Let's look at it logically:
a) some clever Germans have made this machine, it spits gasoline out the other end
b) it needs input of water and carbon dioxide
So, what is impossible about it?
You all are always talking about EROEI, but what if someone just buys this machine in Germany, and you can fly there first and make sure it really does spit out gasoline. Take the machine back home, hook it up to solar panels.. and you're getting gasoline for nothin, only issue is how much did the machine cost.
Just as a Tesla doesn't use gas, but the darn thing costs a hundred grand.
But then GM and others have EVs now that are what, twenty grand? Wait a few years, you can start to pick up cheap used car EVs.
I saw a used prius for like five grand that other day, ok now we're talkin my price range, maybe I'll go green after all.

(that's another thread, but when do those batteries go bad on ev's?)
So -- even if this German machine costs a million bucks or something, we all know from the law of ever cheaper tech that once something works, all that will happen is it will get cheaper.
You guys talk about EROEI, but, the reality is that whenever oil price climbs then all these alternatives flip on light a light switch and are profitable and peak oil crisis is averted -- the market just grew, it didn't shrink after all.
How am I wrong about that?
Who even cares if energy winds up being 30% of our economy or something. People need jobs anyway. So what's the difference if in the future it just takes more work to produce our energy? And then there never really is peak oil, you'll have things like this German machine making gas from c02 in the air, you'll have solar so viable, you'll have more shale and tar sands, and fusion power is coming too.
So where is the peak oil doom? If alternative energy gets cheaper, and if rising costs just mean that these alternatives flip on and life goes on. We're already running on ethanol and oil sands and shale, and fracking, there's been no peak oil doom. The price at the pump has stayed the same for years, and within a decade we'll probably all be on EVs.