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Can somebody help me debunk this?

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Can somebody help me debunk this?

Unread postby Henriksson » Sat 08 Nov 2014, 14:56:23

Image

Maybe if we insulate it we can run it on PVs...
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Re: Can somebody help me debunk this?

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Sat 08 Nov 2014, 15:07:27

I understand what you are saying, I know that most liquid fuels are consumed in transportation and not residential space heating. But EVs are a solution for the private citizen - I am close enough to retirement to have taken a good hard look at my actual requirements - I could live my life with an EV with a 50 mile range.

The single exception being my vacation. I just took a two week, old-fashioned road trip through Alberta and British Columbia, just rattling around in a fairly empty country, seeing the sights, and paying $1.27 or so Canadian per liter of Regular gasoline, while wondering if that was a good deal. We flew to Seattle and rented a small SUV (a Kia Sorrento) which got about 36 mpg (a Jeep Grand Cherokee it was not, but it sufficed). We returned on a Ferry from Prince Rupert, across the water from the Alaskan panhandle, along the Inland Passage route. Spent the last few days on Vancouver Island, Fidalgo Island, and Whidbey Island.

It's the kind of vacation that will be a lot less affordable in coming years as the price of gasoline soars. Which means only that one must make a different plan. But human beings CAN make plans, CAN plan on owning EVs, and CAN anticipate and plan around new requirements in a post-cheap-oil world.

Henriksson, there are enough materials such as steel already here that we do not need refining type blast furnaces, only recycling furnaces which are much less energy intensive (and require only coke and coal). The end of cheap oil doesn't have to be a disaster for those who plan.
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Warning: Messages timestamped before April 1, 2016, 06:00 PST were posted by the unmodified human KaiserJeep 1.0
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Re: Can somebody help me debunk this?

Unread postby tom_s2 » Sat 08 Nov 2014, 22:20:45

Hi henrikkson,

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '(')graph showing high temperatures for metal making).


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')ar more important than EROEI. While solar thermal can cover a lot of the heat demand, a critical part remains solely in the province of fossil fuels.


Sunlight can be concentrated using mirrors to produce very high temperatures. This is the principle of a solar furnace (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_furnace), and also tower-style concentrating solar plants. Using concentrated sunlight and mirrors, it's possible to produce temperatures of thousands of degrees which is far higher than metalmaking requires.

Of course, it's also possible to use charcoal for steelmaking, and charcoal is derived from wood.

I agree that solar furnaces for steelmaking are not imminent, however. I think that steelmaking will be the very last application of fossil fuels to be transitioned to renewables, probably centuries from now. Coal is an ideal fuel for steelmaking because of its chemical properties (it produces carbon monoxide which is helpful for steelmaking), its physical properties, and its extreme cheapness for just generating heat. Coal is much more ideal for steelmaking than it ever was for generating electricity, or for transportation.

In my opinion, coal will be used for steelmaking for a long, long time. Steelmaking is the last domain of the economy which will transition to renewables.

That said, steelmaking consumes only a very small fraction of the total energy of our civilization, so only a small amount of fossil fuels are needed for this purpose. Furthermore, even when the coal runs out, centuries from now, there are many alternatives for steelmaking. Probably, none of the alternatives will ever be as cheap as coal is now, but it's certainly possible to make steel without any coal.

-Tom S
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Re: Can somebody help me debunk this?

Unread postby ralfy » Sat 08 Nov 2014, 22:39:16

There is a review of the book mentioned here:

"Tilting at Windmills, Spain’s disastrous attempt to replace fossil fuels with Solar Photovoltaics"

http://energyskeptic.com/2013/tilting-a ... -solar-pv/

with several references at the end.

Finally, as mentioned in another thread, if the ultimate goal of using energy is to maintain economic growth (not just for more profits but to meet the needs and probably even wants of a growing human population), then many factors that are part of that issue (which includes manufacturers closing, infrastructure development, etc.) have to be considered.

In which case, returns drop for all energy sources. But economic growth requires both higher energy returns and higher energy quantity.
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Re: Can somebody help me debunk this?

Unread postby americandream » Sat 08 Nov 2014, 22:52:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', 'T')here is a review of the book mentioned here:

"Tilting at Windmills, Spain’s disastrous attempt to replace fossil fuels with Solar Photovoltaics"

http://energyskeptic.com/2013/tilting-a ... -solar-pv/

with several references at the end.

Finally, as mentioned in another thread, if the ultimate goal of using energy is to maintain economic growth (not just for more profits but to meet the needs and probably even wants of a growing human population), then many factors that are part of that issue (which includes manufacturers closing, infrastructure development, etc.) have to be considered.

In which case, returns drop for all energy sources. But economic growth requires both higher energy returns and higher energy quantity.


Capitalism basically requires exponential potential in an energy source for accumulation. Nothing possesses that apart from free energy which defies the laws of physics but of the finite mix, fossil fuels are the best.
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Re: Can somebody help me debunk this?

Unread postby Henriksson » Sun 09 Nov 2014, 11:24:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', 'T')here is a review of the book mentioned here:

"Tilting at Windmills, Spain’s disastrous attempt to replace fossil fuels with Solar Photovoltaics"

http://energyskeptic.com/2013/tilting-a ... -solar-pv/

with several references at the end.

Finally, as mentioned in another thread, if the ultimate goal of using energy is to maintain economic growth (not just for more profits but to meet the needs and probably even wants of a growing human population), then many factors that are part of that issue (which includes manufacturers closing, infrastructure development, etc.) have to be considered.

In which case, returns drop for all energy sources. But economic growth requires both higher energy returns and higher energy quantity.


Capitalism basically requires exponential potential in an energy source for accumulation. Nothing possesses that apart from free energy which defies the laws of physics but of the finite mix, fossil fuels are the best.

It's a bit of a two-edged sword. Abundant energy speeds up automation, which is a very tough nut to break - capital inevitably embraces automation in order to survive in the short-term, yet in the long-term it hurts accumulation.

Of course, it goes without saying that fossil fuels hurt accumulation in the long-term as well.
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