by FoxV » Thu 23 Jun 2005, 12:15:47
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'T')he decline of real estate is going to put the breaks on the economy "big time" and PO will not be seen as an a legitimate cause.
as been noted in other topics, the housing bubble, and the federal debt are proping up the entire US economy (as well as most of this planet). Home ATMs and Bush's tax breaks are givng americans loads of cash to throw away. This is completely unsustainable so PO doesn't even have to exist for it to all crash (however higher energy prices will speed it up a bit).
The only way for PO to take credit for the crash is if there is mainstream PO awareness. Particularly the realization that not only will we not have infinite growth, we'll actually have a very large decline. This would be the death knell of our current economic system and send the stock markets into a panic sell off that would make the 30s look like just another bad day.
however there is no PO awareness so there will be no PO blame. This will create a consumer confidence lull that will make people think things are getting better before the PO storm hits (especially when oil prices drop from the economic slow down).
And its during this lull that we need to batten down the hatches while we still have money and/or jobs, because the next event is TSHTF